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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 111-107
31-28 28-23 28-31 24-25
Position#8
Record29-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#24
Record19-29
FormWWLLL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game116.7
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks
01 Jan 2027
HOU v DAL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
HOU128
DAL110
31 Jan 2026
HOU111
DAL107
03 Nov 2025
HOU110
DAL102
14 Mar 2025
HOU133
DAL96
01 Jan 2025
HOU110
DAL99
31 Mar 2024
HOU107
DAL125
22 Dec 2023
HOU122
DAL96
02 Jan 2023
HOU106
DAL111
23 Dec 2022
HOU106
DAL112
11 Mar 2022
HOU100
DAL113
07 Jan 2022
HOU106
DAL130
07 Apr 2021
HOU102
DAL93
04 Jan 2021
HOU100
DAL113
31 Jan 2020
HOU128
DAL121
24 Nov 2019
HOU123
DAL137
11 Feb 2019
HOU120
DAL104
28 Nov 2018
HOU108
DAL128
11 Feb 2018
HOU104
DAL97
21 Oct 2017
HOU107
DAL91
10 Dec 2016
HOU109
DAL87
30 Oct 2016
HOU93
DAL92
24 Jan 2016
HOU115
DAL104
14 Nov 2015
HOU98
DAL110
28 Apr 2015
HOU103
DAL94
21 Apr 2015
HOU111
DAL99
18 Apr 2015
HOU118
DAL108
28 Jan 2015
HOU99
DAL94
22 Nov 2014
HOU95
DAL92
23 Dec 2013
HOU104
DAL111
01 Nov 2013
HOU113
DAL105
03 Mar 2013
HOU136
DAL103
08 Dec 2012
HOU109
DAL116
24 Mar 2012
HOU99
DAL101
11 Apr 2011
HOU91
DAL98
12 Feb 2011
HOU102
DAL106
31 Dec 2009
HOU97
DAL94
25 Nov 2009
HOU99
DAL130
20 Feb 2009
HOU93
DAL86
19 Nov 2008
HOU86
DAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
119-113
119
113
+6
114avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
91-111
91
111
-20
73avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
110-105
110
105
+5
96avg 107
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 107
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-106
111
106
+5
109avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
122-128 OT
122
128
-6
112avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
111-104
111
104
+7
105avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
108-99
108
99
+9
107avg 107
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-111
99
111
-12
82avg 107
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
28-36
33-28
29-25
19-21
29-34
27-22
16-34
29-34
24-21
28-27
29-23
32-30
32-24
23-26
32-30
28-39
32-31
22-22
29-14
34-32
27-36
27-22
27-25
28-20
24-32
34-20
25-32
23-24
28-30
25-23
32-22
36-26
26-28
24-30
13-27
23-23
20-19
35-24
26-20
216.7Avg total
109.4Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)116.1110.0226.1+6.163%
Season at home (20)115.6107.8223.4+7.880%
Season away (26)116.4111.7228.1+4.750%
Last 10 (10)109.4107.3216.7+2.170%
Last 5 (5)108.8105.6214.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0111.0202.0-20.00%
vs Similar (13)111.6105.6217.2+6.077%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)116.2113.1229.2+3.144%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
107-125
107
125
-18
94avg 104
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-105
113
105
+8
107avg 104
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
109-118
109
118
-9
91avg 104
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
144-122
144
122
+22
145avg 104
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
138-120
138
120
+18
136avg 104
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
114-97
114
97
+17
111avg 104
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
123-115
123
115
+8
122avg 104
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
110-116
110
116
-6
94avg 104
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
105-118
105
118
-13
97avg 104
H29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
121-123
121
123
-2
110avg 104
H30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-36
27-30
24-28
28-31
32-23
24-22
28-32
29-28
23-29
23-34
32-25
31-30
35-24
35-26
42-29
32-43
42-29
29-30
35-35
32-26
31-22
44-25
19-24
20-26
24-27
31-23
29-39
39-26
28-37
24-28
35-14
23-37
29-31
19-27
27-34
30-26
20-33
38-26
35-34
28-30
234.3Avg total
118.4Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)114.2116.7230.9-2.540%
Season at home (28)115.8116.0231.9-0.250%
Season away (20)112.0117.7229.7-5.725%
Last 10 (10)118.4115.9234.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)114.6113.8228.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)115.8117.2233.1-1.545%
vs Similar (6)124.8123.7248.5+1.233%
vs Weaker (4)109.8106.8216.5+3.075%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Houston RocketsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/01
NBA
111.5Avg total
55.1Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.554.6111.1+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.355.4112.7+1.938%-
Last 30 away (17)55.954.0109.9+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)55.156.4111.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)53.854.0107.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.055.0103.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (13)56.054.6110.6+1.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)57.554.6112.1+2.944%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
75-47
75
47
+28
A19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H25/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H29/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H30/01
NBA
114.8Avg total
58.6Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.559.4117.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.256.8116.0+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)57.961.9119.8-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)58.656.2114.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)57.655.8113.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)57.859.9117.7-2.140%-
vs Similar (6)64.860.2125.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (4)52.855.8108.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.430.4
49.5%
54.8%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.7
36.1%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.616.5
69.9%
78.1%16.5
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.931.3
55.0%
54.8%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.2
36.2%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws27.119.2
70.8%
78.1%19.2
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLWWLWWWLW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#24
+2.1
Net rating
+2.4
109.5
Offensive rating
113.7
107.4
Defensive rating
111.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
36.2%
58.4%
Assist %
60.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 113.7Defence107.4 · 111.3Shooting51.0% · 54.7%3-point %36.1% · 36.2%Ball care13.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds31.9% · 24.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AAtlanta Hawks104-86
29/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs99-111
27/01/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-99
24/01/26ADetroit Pistons111-104
23/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers122-128 OT
21/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-106
19/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans119-110
17/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves110-105
16/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder91-111
14/01/26HChicago Bulls119-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HCharlotte Hornets121-123
29/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves105-118
25/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers110-116
23/01/26HGolden State Warriors123-115
19/01/26ANew York Knicks114-97
17/01/26HUtah Jazz138-120
16/01/26HUtah Jazz144-122
15/01/26HDenver Nuggets109-118
13/01/26HBrooklyn Nets113-105
11/01/26AChicago Bulls107-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462026
Win %63%80%50%
Points / game116.1115.6116.4
Allowed / game110.0107.8111.7
Point differential+6.1+7.8+4.7
Avg total226.1223.4228.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)71% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %13%5%19%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482820
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game114.2115.8112.0
Allowed / game116.7116.0117.7
Point differential-2.5-0.2-5.7
Avg total230.9231.9229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)56% (9)40% (5)
Overtime %8%11%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder47371079%120.1108.3+11.9
2 Detroit Pistons47351274%117.1110.4+6.7
3 Denver Nuggets49331667%120.1115.6+4.5
4 San Antonio Spurs46301665%116.8112.0+4.8
5 Houston Rockets46291763%116.1110.0+6.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers46291763%116.4116.1+0.3
7 Boston Celtics48301862%116.3109.7+6.6
8 Phoenix Suns48301862%114.8110.7+4.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves50311962%119.3114.1+5.2
10 New York Knicks46281861%117.4112.4+5.0
11 Toronto Raptors49292059%114.0112.3+1.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers50292158%119.1116.3+2.8
13 Philadelphia 76ers48272156%116.7115.8+0.9
14 Golden State Warriors50272354%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Orlando Magic45242153%115.6115.5+0.1
16 Miami Heat49262353%120.0118.4+1.6
17 Chicago Bulls49242549%117.8119.7-1.9
18 Atlanta Hawks51242747%117.2118.3-1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers49232647%115.1117.6-2.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers47222547%112.6113.0-0.4
21 Charlotte Hornets50222844%116.2114.6+1.7
22 Dallas Mavericks48192940%114.2116.7-2.5
23 Milwaukee Bucks46182839%111.8115.8-4.0
24 Memphis Grizzlies47182938%114.6116.6-2.0
25 Utah Jazz49153431%118.4127.4-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets47133428%107.7114.4-6.7
27 Indiana Pacers49133627%110.7118.4-7.8
28 Washington Wizards47123526%112.2122.7-10.5
29 New Orleans Pelicans51133825%114.4120.9-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings50123824%110.1120.5-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets31282824111
Dallas Mavericks28233125107
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