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Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#17
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game111.9
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Toronto Raptors
01 Dec 2026
HOU v TOR
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
HOU113
TOR99
09 Feb 2025
HOU94
TOR87
02 Feb 2024
HOU135
TOR106
03 Feb 2023
HOU111
TOR117
10 Feb 2022
HOU120
TOR139
22 Mar 2021
HOU117
TOR99
05 Apr 2020
HOU v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2019
HOU121
TOR119
14 Nov 2017
HOU113
TOR129
23 Nov 2016
HOU102
TOR115
25 Mar 2016
HOU112
TOR109
21 Feb 2015
HOU98
TOR76
11 Nov 2013
HOU110
TOR104
27 Nov 2012
HOU117
TOR101
28 Feb 2012
HOU88
TOR85
31 Dec 2010
HOU114
TOR105
01 Mar 2010
HOU116
TOR92
03 Mar 2009
HOU107
TOR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
121-114
121
114
+7
116avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
120-110
120
110
+10
126avg 106
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
132-100
132
100
+32
127avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
111-116
111
116
-5
98avg 106
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
119-98
119
98
+21
110avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
109-93
109
93
+16
109avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
99-102
99
102
-3
81avg 106
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
110-100
110
100
+10
107avg 106
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
W
115-108
115
108
+7
108avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
29-22
33-33
29-33
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
35-26
27-25
30-24
27-23
29-29
28-21
25-23
27-20
30-33
27-24
27-25
23-35
23-35
24-12
28-29
24-26
32-24
22-16
23-28
33-32
35-20
21-31
29-28
30-29
220.1Avg total
114.3Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.4106.5221.9+8.975%
Season at home (7)115.4105.1220.6+10.386%
Season away (5)115.4108.4223.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)114.3105.8220.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)108.0104.0212.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)107.6105.7213.4+1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)121.1108.2229.3+12.981%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
112-102
112
102
+10
99avg 106
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
94-117
94
117
-23
52avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
129-99
129
99
+30
127avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
99avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
125-131
125
131
-6
111avg 106
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
115avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
109-128
109
128
-19
98avg 106
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
121-107
121
107
+14
111avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
102-118
102
118
-16
88avg 106
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
26-31
21-25
31-25
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
23-36
31-30
28-38
43-27
22-33
30-30
26-28
47-27
35-33
32-31
15-39
27-25
24-29
27-31
38-27
32-20
26-25
27-34
28-30
21-29
38-29
23-25
19-21
13-23
226.3Avg total
112.4Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.5111.9226.4+2.545%
Season at home (5)114.6105.6220.2+9.040%
Season away (6)114.3117.2231.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)112.4113.9226.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)110.0113.8223.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)104.0116.7220.7-12.70%
vs Similar (13)112.6111.1223.7+1.546%
vs Weaker (11)125.2108.4233.5+16.882%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.6+4.6
Houston RocketsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H12/11
NBA
105.2Avg total
56.3Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.850.8107.7+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.851.6111.4+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)53.549.9103.4+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)56.348.9105.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.0103.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)53.853.4107.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)59.548.6108.1+10.981%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H12/11
NBA
115.9Avg total
56.9Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.6111.7+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.651.8112.4+8.871%-
Last 30 away (16)54.057.1111.1-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)56.959.0115.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.860.0116.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)49.756.5106.2-6.817%-
vs Similar (13)57.453.7111.1+3.754%-
vs Weaker (11)60.754.6115.4+6.164%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.928.5
52.9%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.0
34.0%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.320.3
80.2%
77.1%20.3
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.227.9
49.6%
54.0%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.5
33.9%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws25.518.3
71.8%
77.1%18.3
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLLWWLWWW
Toronto Raptors
LLWLWLLWLW
#4
League position
#17
+1.8
Net rating
-0.9
111.5
Offensive rating
105.5
109.6
Defensive rating
106.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.0%
3-point %
33.9%
62.5%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 105.5Defence109.6 · 106.4Shooting52.1% · 50.1%3-point %34.0% · 33.9%Ball care14.2% · 12.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 24.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Houston Rockets wins
5
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HGolden State Warriors115-108
10/11/26HDenver Nuggets110-100
08/11/26APhoenix Suns99-102
05/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves107-117
03/11/26HBoston Celtics109-93
01/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-98
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
25/10/26AAtlanta Hawks121-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBoston Celtics93-98
10/11/26HMemphis Grizzlies102-118
07/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks121-107
05/11/26ADenver Nuggets109-128
03/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers125-118
02/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
23/10/26AWashington Wizards112-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game115.4115.4115.4
Allowed / game106.5105.1108.4
Point differential+8.9+10.3+7.0
Avg total221.9220.6223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game114.5114.6114.3
Allowed / game111.9105.6117.2
Point differential+2.5+9.0-2.8
Avg total226.4220.2231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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