PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 112-109
29-21 25-37 25-20 33-31
Position#19
Record35-37
FormLWLLL
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Position#5
Record48-22
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game98.2
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Toronto Raptors
01 Dec 2026
HOU v TOR
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
HOU113
TOR99
09 Feb 2025
HOU94
TOR87
02 Feb 2024
HOU135
TOR106
03 Feb 2023
HOU111
TOR117
10 Feb 2022
HOU120
TOR139
22 Mar 2021
HOU117
TOR99
05 Apr 2020
HOU v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2019
HOU121
TOR119
14 Nov 2017
HOU113
TOR129
23 Nov 2016
HOU102
TOR115
25 Mar 2016
HOU112
TOR109
21 Feb 2015
HOU98
TOR76
11 Nov 2013
HOU110
TOR104
27 Nov 2012
HOU117
TOR101
28 Feb 2012
HOU88
TOR85
31 Dec 2010
HOU114
TOR105
01 Mar 2010
HOU116
TOR92
03 Mar 2009
HOU107
TOR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
113-107
113
107
+6
106avg 95
A06/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
118-104
118
104
+14
107avg 95
A10/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
92avg 95
A12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
109-125
109
125
-16
92avg 95
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
130-81
130
81
+49
131avg 95
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
106-122
106
122
-16
97avg 95
H17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
116-111
116
111
+5
116avg 95
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
97-109
97
109
-12
85avg 95
A19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
107-111
107
111
-4
99avg 95
A23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
87-89
87
89
-2
76avg 95
H24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
25-31
26-24
36-22
21-27
40-25
32-27
25-25
19-23
27-20
31-30
25-25
19-34
38-28
30-28
22-35
34-22
31-19
32-15
33-25
26-35
24-37
25-25
31-25
31-23
23-29
34-26
28-33
16-30
42-22
25-30
14-27
27-28
29-27
21-23
30-33
25-21
24-13
17-26
21-29
214.2Avg total
108.5Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)105.9106.8212.7-0.949%
Season at home (35)104.7104.3209.1+0.454%
Season away (37)107.0109.1216.1-2.143%
Last 10 (10)108.5105.7214.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)102.6108.4211.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)106.6119.4226.0-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (19)109.1107.2216.3+1.953%
vs Weaker (3)115.0103.0218.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
107-113
107
113
-6
105avg 92
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-99
104
99
+5
99avg 92
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
94avg 92
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-104 OT
112
104
+8
98avg 92
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
107-109
107
109
-2
92avg 92
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-89
107
89
+18
107avg 92
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
85avg 92
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
105-91
105
91
+14
96avg 92
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
91avg 92
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
61avg 92
A23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
31-25
24-26
22-36
28-23
14-35
36-22
26-19
20-21
32-27
30-27
22-21
28-24
25-22
17-25
27-26
29-34
23-24
25-26
30-25
22-28
30-21
29-17
26-23
27-25
16-21
20-14
22-25
30-14
25-27
24-33
26-17
30-25
23-30
27-27
25-18
25-25
21-21
16-23
17-22
201.7Avg total
103.1Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)102.798.2200.8+4.569%
Season at home (36)104.798.1202.8+6.678%
Season away (34)100.598.2198.7+2.359%
Last 10 (10)103.198.6201.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)99.493.0192.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)105.198.9204.0+6.282%
vs Weaker (13)106.7101.3208.0+5.469%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Houston RocketsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A06/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H24/03
NBA
107.1Avg total
54.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.055.6108.6-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.252.5103.7-1.358%-
Last 30 away (18)54.357.7111.9-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)54.752.4107.1+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.0106.4+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)52.560.2112.8-7.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.554.2106.7-1.742%-
vs Weaker (3)57.752.0109.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H06/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H18/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
NBA
100.7Avg total
50.9Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.549.8103.3+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)53.750.1103.8+3.674%-
Last 30 away (11)53.249.3102.5+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)50.949.8100.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.847.497.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.648.6102.2+5.071%-
vs Weaker (13)53.551.4104.8+2.169%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.329.8
52.9%
49.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.0
31.5%
35.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws26.918.9
70.3%
75.5%18.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 103.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.227.3
46.9%
49.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.7
36.2%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws29.522.4
75.9%
75.5%22.4
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLWLWLWWW
Toronto Raptors
LWWWWLWWWL
#19
League position
#5
-2.9
Net rating
+4.7
106.4
Offensive rating
107.4
109.3
Defensive rating
102.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.5%
3-point %
36.2%
58.8%
Assist %
50.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 107.4Defence109.3 · 102.7Shooting51.0% · 49.1%3-point %31.5% · 36.2%Ball care14.7% · 12.3%Off. rebounds28.0% · 26.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/16HUtah Jazz87-89
23/03/16AOklahoma City Thunder107-111
19/03/16AAtlanta Hawks97-109
19/03/16HMinnesota Timberwolves116-111
17/03/16HLos Angeles Clippers106-122
15/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies130-81
13/03/16ACharlotte Hornets109-125
12/03/16ABoston Celtics102-98
10/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers118-104
06/03/16AToronto Raptors113-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/16ABoston Celtics79-91
20/03/16HOrlando Magic105-100
18/03/16HBoston Celtics105-91
17/03/16AIndiana Pacers101-94 OT
16/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-89
14/03/16HChicago Bulls107-109
13/03/16HMiami Heat112-104 OT
11/03/16HAtlanta Hawks104-96
09/03/16HBrooklyn Nets104-99
06/03/16HHouston Rockets107-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL49%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %49%54%43%
Points / game105.9104.7107.0
Allowed / game106.8104.3109.1
Point differential-0.9+0.4-2.1
Avg total212.7209.1216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (25)71% (14)55% (11)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %69%78%59%
Points / game102.7104.7100.5
Allowed / game98.298.198.2
Point differential+4.5+6.6+2.3
Avg total200.8202.8198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (22)60% (15)43% (7)
Overtime %6%3%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7164790%115.3104.1+11.2
2 San Antonio Spurs71601185%104.492.2+12.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers72512171%103.997.9+5.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder72502269%110.2102.9+7.3
5 Toronto Raptors70482269%102.798.2+4.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers71442762%104.4101.1+3.2
7 Boston Celtics72423058%105.8102.0+3.8
8 Atlanta Hawks72423058%102.899.1+3.8
9 Miami Heat71413058%99.498.2+1.2
10 Charlotte Hornets72413157%103.0101.0+2.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies72413157%99.2100.6-1.4
12 Indiana Pacers71383354%101.6100.1+1.5
13 Detroit Pistons73393453%102.5101.5+1.0
14 Chicago Bulls71363551%101.7103.1-1.4
15 Portland Trail Blazers73373651%104.5104.0+0.5
16 Dallas Mavericks71353649%102.9103.4-0.5
17 Utah Jazz72353749%97.696.6+1.0
18 Houston Rockets72353749%105.9106.8-0.9
19 Washington Wizards72353749%103.5104.6-1.1
20 Denver Nuggets72304242%102.3104.9-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks72304242%99.1102.8-3.6
22 New York Knicks73304341%98.8101.4-2.5
23 Orlando Magic71294241%100.8103.3-2.5
24 Sacramento Kings71274438%106.4109.2-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans71264537%102.9106.3-3.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves72244833%102.3106.1-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets71205128%98.4104.6-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns71205128%100.5107.6-7.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers71155621%98.0106.7-8.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers7296312%96.9107.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets29252533112
Toronto Raptors21372031109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.