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Houston vs Texas State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#147
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game62.3
Houston
USA
vs
Texas State
USA
Position#27
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Houston v Texas State
05 Dec 2026
HOUS v TEXA
upcoming
21 Dec 2023
HOUS72
TEXA37
22 Dec 2021
HOUS80
TEXA47
04 Dec 2019
HOUS68
TEXA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H14/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H20/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H21/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H27/03
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H03/11
NCAA
California
#84
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#214
W
92-46
92
46
+46
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
45-34
37-41
36-25
33-25
36-22
36-44
38-35
48-24
30-23
46-28
42-29
22-24
33-41
43-23
51-32
32-43
36-43
45-23
47-23
139.6Avg total
77.3Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.762.3147.0+22.367%
Season at home (2)93.050.5143.5+42.5100%
Season away (1)68.086.0154.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)77.362.3139.6+15.070%
Last 5 (5)79.461.8141.2+17.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)65.571.8137.2-6.20%
vs Weaker (26)79.862.6142.4+17.288%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H03/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
135-66
135
66
+69
H06/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#227
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
38-33
45-43
50-41
40-33
35-42
18-34
36-33
34-33
26-24
33-37
44-44
35-26
32-29
64-30
71-36
30-28
42-37
44-37
41-28
149.3Avg total
80.9Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.862.8152.5+27.0100%
Season at home (3)95.762.0157.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)72.065.0137.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.968.4149.3+12.580%
Last 5 (5)87.266.4153.6+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)72.475.7148.2-3.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.663.1143.7+17.592%
This opponent (Houston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: +6.8+6.8
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: +6.8+6.8
HoustonTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H14/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/03
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H20/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H21/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H27/03
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H03/11
NCAA
California
#84
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#214
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H12/11
NCAA
69.5Avg total
37.9Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.830.668.4+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.326.464.7+11.972%-
Last 30 away (12)37.136.974.0+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)37.931.669.5+6.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.628.265.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (4)32.236.869.0-4.50%-
vs Weaker (26)38.729.768.3+9.069%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A21/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#216
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
64-30
64
30
+34
H06/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#227
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
37.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.033.768.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.332.169.4+5.367%-
Last 30 away (12)31.536.267.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.070.9+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.231.672.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)32.335.667.9-3.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.030.969.9+8.192%-
This opponent (Houston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston wins
0
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Houston v Texas State72-37
23/12/21Houston v Texas State80-47
05/12/19Houston v Texas State68-60
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HJacksonville State92-46
09/11/26ACalifornia68-86
03/11/26HLa Salle94-55
27/03/26HIllinois55-65
21/03/26HTexas A&M88-57
20/03/26HIdaho78-47
14/03/26AArizona74-79
14/03/26HKansas69-47
12/03/26HBrigham Young73-66
07/03/26AOklahoma State82-75
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouthern Miss85-65
11/11/26AUTRGV72-65
06/11/26HHoward Payne135-66
03/11/26HTexas A&M-CC67-55
06/03/26HSouthern Miss77-81
28/02/26HAppalachian State60-57
21/02/26ALouisiana Lafayette54-67
20/02/26ASouth Alabama90-82 OT
14/02/26HLouisiana Monroe95-84
12/02/26HTroy74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.793.068.0
Allowed / game62.350.586.0
Point differential+22.3+42.5-18.0
Avg total147.0143.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.895.772.0
Allowed / game62.862.065.0
Point differential+27.0+33.7+7.0
Avg total152.5157.7137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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