Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 96-102

32-22 21-29 25-21 18-30

Position#7

Record8-10

FormLLWLW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game92.5

Illawarra Hawks

Adelaide 🏆

Position#4

Record9-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game95.6

Allowed / game94.8

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

79-104

104

-25

A17/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-104

104

-19

A22/11

NBL

Adelaide

120-109

120

109

+11

H25/11

NBL

Cairns

95-84

+11

A07/12

NBL

Adelaide

87-86

A09/12

NBL

Sydney

68-83

-15

H16/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-96

-17

A21/12

NBL

Perth

81-77

H23/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

74-100

100

-26

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

78-71

H05/01

NBL

30-21

16-27

16-31

17-25

24-35

29-20

13-24

19-25

25-32

40-21

20-22

35-34

20-15

29-26

22-23

24-20

26-25

22-29

19-20

20-12

17-18

16-18

21-26

14-21

10-22

22-24

24-24

23-26

18-28

20-22

28-18

15-9

16-23

14-28

15-24

29-25

17-15

19-11

24-26

18-19

176.0Avg total

84.6Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	86.6	92.5	179.1	-5.9	44%
Season at home (9)	88.6	90.2	178.8	-1.7	56%
Season away (9)	84.7	94.8	179.4	-10.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	91.4	176.0	-6.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	85.4	161.4	-9.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	85.8	94.6	180.3	-8.8	33%
vs Similar (9)	90.3	84.7	175.0	+5.7	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

81-93

-12

H10/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

104-79

104

+25

H17/11

NBL

Cairns

109-95

109

+14

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

109-120

109

120

-11

A25/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-87

-1

H09/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

101-91

101

+10

A15/12

NBL

Cairns

87-82

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

103-101

103

101

A26/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

109-98

109

+11

H30/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-104

104

-8

H04/01

NBL

15-27

28-25

20-21

18-20

21-30

27-16

31-16

25-17

23-29

31-20

32-23

23-23

32-25

21-40

22-20

34-35

25-26

29-22

20-19

12-20

28-22

24-30

18-18

31-21

21-26

24-16

17-16

25-24

30-22

26-31

19-29

28-19

26-29

28-19

26-23

29-27

27-26

22-15

18-29

29-34

193.5Avg total

98.5Scored

95.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	95.6	94.8	190.4	+0.8	50%
Season at home (10)	95.9	93.1	189.0	+2.8	50%
Season away (8)	95.2	96.9	192.1	-1.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	98.5	95.0	193.5	+3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	99.2	95.2	194.4	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	99.0	190.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (20)	95.1	95.0	190.1	+0.1	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	99.1	90.0	189.1	+9.1	67%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	24.8	46.6	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	23.9	46.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	25.8	46.6	-4.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.4	43.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	21.7	26.1	47.8	-4.4	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	25.1	50.6	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	24.6	49.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	25.7	51.4	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	26.2	51.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	25.0	51.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	26.2	24.9	51.0	+1.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.0	26.0	50.0	-2.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.5	42.8	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	25.6	47.2	-4.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.6	45.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	22.1	23.3	45.4	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.8	22.6	48.4	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.9	19.7	46.7	+7.2	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.7	25.4	50.1	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	23.4	49.4	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.2	47.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	25.9	23.7	49.6	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	26.6	19.8	46.3	+6.8	78%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

46-48

-2

A17/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

53-55

-2

A22/11

NBL

Adelaide

65-53

+12

H25/11

NBL

Cairns

49-41

A07/12

NBL

Adelaide

48-54

-6

A09/12

NBL

Sydney

33-36

-3

H16/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

32-46

-14

A21/12

NBL

Perth

38-50

-12

H23/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

30-51

-21

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

36-26

+10

H05/01

NBL

89.0Avg total

43.0Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	47.7	91.5	-3.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	44.4	89.4	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	51.4	93.9	-9.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	46.0	89.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	41.8	75.6	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	43.8	49.4	93.2	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.7	43.8	87.4	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

43-52

-9

H10/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-46

H17/11

NBL

Cairns

54-49

H23/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-65

-12

A25/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-48

H09/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-52

A15/12

NBL

Cairns

45-42

H22/12

NBL

Melbourne United

56-53

A26/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-48

H30/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-41

H04/01

NBL

100.4Avg total

50.8Scored

49.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.3	47.7	99.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.1	44.3	96.4	+7.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	50.5	51.1	101.5	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.8	49.6	100.4	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	47.2	98.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	48.0	89.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	52.1	48.5	100.7	+3.6	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	50.6	45.8	96.3	+4.8	89%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.6	46.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.7	22.0	42.8	-1.3	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	23.8	43.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	26.0	58.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.6	23.8	44.3	-3.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	48%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.6	21.0	46.6	+4.6	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	23.0	46.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	23.3	46.0	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	22.7	46.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	24.0	49.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	25.0	53.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.4	22.7	45.1	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	26.2	23.4	49.7	+2.8	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	42.7	85.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.0	42.8	83.8	-1.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	42.7	86.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	45.4	87.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.6	85.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	40.3	43.5	83.9	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.7	40.9	87.6	+5.8	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	45.9	90.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	45.3	91.1	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	46.5	90.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	45.4	93.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	48.0	96.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	50.0	51.0	101.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	43.0	46.5	89.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	48.6	44.2	92.8	+4.3	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
09/12/18	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	86-87
25/11/18	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	120-109
17/11/18	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	104-79
11/02/18	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	87-111
21/01/18	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	93-112
19/01/18	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	112-90
11/11/17	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	87-96
23/02/17	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	98-106
19/02/17	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	100-94
16/02/17	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	93-78

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/19	H	Sydney	78-71
31/12/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	74-100
23/12/18	H	Perth	81-77
21/12/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	79-96
16/12/18	H	Sydney	68-83
09/12/18	A	Adelaide	87-86
07/12/18	A	Cairns	95-84
25/11/18	H	Adelaide	120-109
22/11/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	85-104
17/11/18	A	Adelaide	79-104

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/19	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-104
30/12/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	109-98
26/12/18	A	Melbourne United	103-101
22/12/18	H	Cairns	87-82
15/12/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	101-91
09/12/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	86-87
25/11/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	109-120
23/11/18	H	Cairns	109-95
17/11/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	104-79
10/11/18	H	Sydney	81-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	44%
Home	WLWLW	56%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	56%	33%
Points / game	86.6	88.6	84.7
Allowed / game	92.5	90.2	94.8
Point differential	-5.9	-1.7	-10.1
Avg total	179.1	178.8	179.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	11%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	50%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	95.6	95.9	95.2
Allowed / game	94.8	93.1	96.9
Point differential	+0.8	+2.8	-1.6
Avg total	190.4	189.0	192.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	30%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	18	12	6	67%	84.8	80.9	+3.9
2	Perth	19	12	7	63%	89.6	84.6	+5.0
3	Melbourne United	18	11	7	61%	90.2	88.6	+1.6
4	Brisbane Bullets	19	10	9	53%	89.0	88.4	+0.6
5	Adelaide	18	9	9	50%	95.6	94.8	+0.8
6	New Zealand Breakers	17	8	9	47%	90.6	90.2	+0.5
7	Illawarra Hawks	18	8	10	44%	86.6	92.5	-5.9
8	Cairns	17	2	15	12%	84.3	91.4	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	32	21	25	18	96
Adelaide	22	29	21	30	102

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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