Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 98-106

18-27 24-29 22-26 34-24

Position#2

Record18-12

FormLLLWL

Points / game92.3

Allowed / game89.4

Adelaide

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Position#3

Record16-14

FormWLWLW

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game87.7

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

100-73

100

+27

H12/01

NBL

Perth

95-84

+11

A14/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

101-68

101

+33

H19/01

NBL

Sydney

87-73

+14

H21/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

92-95

-3

A28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-88

-1

H04/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

85-89

-4

A09/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

89-98

-9

H11/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-78

+15

H16/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

94-100

100

-6

A19/02

NBL

17-24

24-18

24-17

35-14

17-24

24-20

25-22

29-18

29-15

29-22

23-15

20-16

25-28

20-9

23-22

19-14

29-25

20-19

21-27

22-24

16-22

29-27

27-12

15-27

18-18

27-31

23-15

17-25

24-19

28-24

17-33

20-22

24-27

28-15

21-23

20-13

22-28

27-26

29-25

16-21

176.9Avg total

92.3Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	92.3	89.4	181.7	+2.9	60%
Season at home (15)	90.6	83.3	173.9	+7.3	67%
Season away (15)	94.0	95.5	189.5	-1.5	53%
Last 10 (10)	92.3	84.6	176.9	+7.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	90.6	180.2	-1.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	91.7	89.8	181.5	+1.9	58%
vs Weaker (4)	96.2	87.2	183.5	+9.0	75%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

106-88

106

+18

H07/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-80

H13/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

86-95

-9

H20/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

79-85

-6

A22/01

NBL

Adelaide

95-92

H28/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

90-73

+17

H03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

72-78

-6

A06/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

106-79

106

+27

H11/02

NBL

Adelaide

78-93

-15

A16/02

NBL

Adelaide

100-94

100

H19/02

NBL

25-25

32-26

25-20

24-17

23-30

14-19

24-17

24-14

31-23

21-27

14-26

20-19

15-22

23-23

15-22

26-18

25-29

19-20

27-21

24-22

30-23

24-11

17-20

19-19

15-20

22-17

15-21

20-20

33-18

31-16

23-19

19-26

27-24

15-28

23-21

13-20

28-22

26-27

25-29

21-16

175.4Avg total

89.7Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	88.8	87.7	176.5	+1.1	53%
Season at home (15)	93.9	86.4	180.3	+7.5	67%
Season away (15)	83.7	89.0	172.7	-5.3	40%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	85.7	175.4	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	83.4	172.6	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	87.8	88.4	176.3	-0.6	46%
vs Weaker (4)	95.0	83.0	178.0	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	24.0	47.8	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	23.5	48.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	24.6	47.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	23.3	24.4	47.7	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	21.8	48.0	+4.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	23.9	48.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.1	23.7	49.9	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	24.1	46.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	23.6	48.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	21.4	48.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	24.0	24.2	48.3	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.0	21.8	46.8	+3.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	22.1	45.9	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.5	42.5	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.8	24.6	49.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	21.1	46.7	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	24.6	52.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	23.9	21.9	45.8	+2.0	65%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	22.5	45.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.9	43.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.5	50%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

41-42

-1

H12/01

NBL

Perth

41-44

-3

A14/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

58-37

+21

H19/01

NBL

Sydney

45-37

H21/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-44

A28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-49

-4

H04/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

45-49

-4

A09/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

52-43

H11/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-42

+10

H16/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-54

-5

A19/02

NBL

91.8Avg total

47.7Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.6	46.1	93.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.6	43.0	90.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.6	49.2	96.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	44.1	91.8	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	47.4	96.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	47.3	46.3	93.6	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	49.8	44.8	94.5	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

57-51

H07/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

37-49

-12

H13/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-50

H20/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

38-45

-7

A22/01

NBL

Adelaide

44-49

-5

H28/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

54-34

+20

H03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

37-37

A06/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

64-34

+30

H11/02

NBL

Adelaide

42-52

-10

A16/02

NBL

Adelaide

54-49

H19/02

NBL

92.9Avg total

47.9Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	46.1	92.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.5	46.2	95.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	46.0	89.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	45.0	92.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	41.2	91.4	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	46.3	47.0	93.3	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.2	40.5	87.8	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.1	44.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	22.2	22.2	44.3	-0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.2	22.2	42.3	-2.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	23.5	46.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	19.5	41.8	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.5	39.9	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	21.2	42.8	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	42.8	86.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	39.9	82.1	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.5	45.7	91.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	40.5	85.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.2	84.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	41.3	83.2	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	40.2	84.6	+4.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	42.5	81.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	40.7	82.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	42.2	81.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (26)	41.5	41.5	83.0	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.2	40.5	84.8	+3.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
19/02/17	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	100-94
16/02/17	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	93-78
28/01/17	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	95-92
05/01/17	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	117-85
12/11/16	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	74-85
07/10/16	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	122-88
12/02/16	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	106-95
30/01/16	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	104-90
28/01/16	Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide	104-97
21/11/15	Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks	89-77

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/02/17	A	Illawarra Hawks	94-100
16/02/17	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-78
11/02/17	H	Cairns Taipans	89-98
09/02/17	A	Cairns Taipans	85-89
04/02/17	H	New Zealand Breakers	87-88
28/01/17	A	Illawarra Hawks	92-95
21/01/17	H	Sydney	87-73
19/01/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	101-68
14/01/17	A	Perth	95-84
12/01/17	H	Melbourne United	100-73

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/02/17	H	Adelaide	100-94
16/02/17	A	Adelaide	78-93
11/02/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	106-79
06/02/17	A	Melbourne United	72-78
03/02/17	H	Cairns Taipans	90-73
28/01/17	H	Adelaide	95-92
22/01/17	A	Cairns Taipans	79-85
20/01/17	H	New Zealand Breakers	86-95
13/01/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	85-80
07/01/17	H	Melbourne United	106-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	60%
Home	WWLLW	67%
Away	WWLLL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	60%	67%	53%
Points / game	92.3	90.6	94.0
Allowed / game	89.4	83.3	95.5
Point differential	+2.9	+7.3	-1.5
Avg total	181.7	173.9	189.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	47%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	53%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	WLLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	53%	67%	40%
Points / game	88.8	93.9	83.7
Allowed / game	87.7	86.4	89.0
Point differential	+1.1	+7.5	-5.3
Avg total	176.5	180.3	172.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	75% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	30	18	12	60%	92.3	89.4	+2.9
2	Perth	30	17	13	57%	82.0	79.7	+2.2
3	Illawarra Hawks	30	16	14	53%	88.8	87.7	+1.1
4	Cairns Taipans	30	15	15	50%	81.3	82.2	-0.9
5	New Zealand Breakers	28	14	14	50%	84.0	85.2	-1.2
6	Melbourne United	28	13	15	46%	84.0	83.5	+0.5
7	Sydney	28	13	15	46%	82.0	82.5	-0.6
8	Brisbane Bullets	28	10	18	36%	81.0	85.4	-4.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	18	24	22	34	98
Illawarra Hawks	27	29	26	24	106

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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