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Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 100-102
32-27 22-25 27-29 19-21
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game88.3
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game95.3
AustraliaNBLRound 3· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide
19 Nov 2026
ILLA v ADEL
upcoming
02 Oct 2026
ILLA114
ADEL92
05 Feb 2026
ILLA100
ADEL99
20 Dec 2025
ILLA78
ADEL84
05 Oct 2024
ILLA100
ADEL102
20 Jan 2024
ILLA89
ADEL96
31 Dec 2023
ILLA91
ADEL84
03 Nov 2022
ILLA80
ADEL96
25 Feb 2022
ILLA87
ADEL71
24 Jan 2022
ILLA100
ADEL89
30 May 2021
ILLA97
ADEL83
11 May 2021
ILLA71
ADEL66
04 Mar 2021
ILLA98
ADEL89
21 Oct 2019
ILLA92
ADEL98
10 Jan 2019
ILLA96
ADEL102
25 Nov 2018
ILLA120
ADEL109
11 Feb 2018
ILLA87
ADEL111
21 Jan 2018
ILLA93
ADEL112
19 Feb 2017
ILLA100
ADEL94
28 Jan 2017
ILLA95
ADEL92
07 Oct 2016
ILLA122
ADEL88
12 Feb 2016
ILLA106
ADEL95
28 Jan 2016
ILLA104
ADEL97
22 Feb 2015
ILLA85
ADEL105
23 Jan 2015
ILLA85
ADEL89
28 Feb 2014
ILLA91
ADEL89
09 Feb 2014
ILLA102
ADEL80
23 Mar 2013
ILLA74
ADEL64
22 Feb 2013
ILLA90
ADEL91
25 Mar 2012
ILLA92
ADEL78
16 Oct 2011
ILLA97
ADEL89
12 Mar 2011
ILLA87
ADEL60
10 Dec 2010
ILLA81
ADEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
L
81-120
81
120
-39
no box
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
no box
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-107
79
107
-28
no box
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
100-112
100
112
-12
no box
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
102-75
102
75
+27
95avg 81
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 81
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
86avg 81
A29/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
27-27
18-30
21-35
21-23
18-21
24-19
22-22
25-19
20-29
14-22
34-27
16-23
15-30
20-26
28-28
23-24
23-34
23-26
31-28
20-23
24-21
17-20
28-31
19-21
14-21
14-26
27-25
26-21
28-24
18-15
30-15
38-25
21-35
30-20
24-21
27-15
21-32
27-20
21-22
192.1Avg total
92.7Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)103.788.3192.0+15.3100%
Season at home (1)113.0101.0214.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)99.082.0181.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.799.4192.1-6.730%
Last 5 (5)94.890.6185.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)84.6100.8185.4-16.212%
vs Similar (3)96.090.7186.7+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)103.788.3192.0+15.3100%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 82
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 82
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
77avg 82
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 82
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
70avg 82
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
76avg 82
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 82
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
93avg 82
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
97-101
97
101
-4
86avg 82
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
92avg 82
H03/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
34-17
19-20
23-25
21-15
21-24
26-23
28-27
28-25
25-13
22-15
13-18
17-18
20-23
17-18
31-19
21-31
24-26
24-26
17-26
20-22
24-30
23-24
17-26
17-14
20-21
21-12
18-23
28-27
20-24
27-19
19-32
32-28
22-30
23-19
20-24
25-16
27-19
19-23
22-25
179.9Avg total
90.9Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.795.3190.0-0.733%
Season at home (2)93.592.5186.0+1.050%
Season away (1)97.0101.0198.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)90.989.0179.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)88.891.6180.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)85.890.8176.6-5.039%
vs Similar (8)92.293.5185.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)97.095.2192.2+1.850%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
Illawarra HawksAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/09
NBL
93.7Avg total
44.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.549.092.5-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.049.394.3-4.329%-
Last 30 away (16)42.148.890.9-6.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.149.693.7-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)47.647.695.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.249.590.7-8.325%-
vs Similar (3)51.743.795.3+8.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)53.750.7104.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H03/10
NBL
92.6Avg total
48.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.146.190.3-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.843.387.1+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)44.549.493.9-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)48.044.692.6+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.046.293.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.245.286.4-4.128%-
vs Similar (8)48.045.693.6+2.462%-
vs Weaker (4)49.851.2101.0-1.525%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.423.8
51.3%
52.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws26.018.6
71.5%
74.7%18.6
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.122.9
48.6%
52.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.8
37.3%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.7
77.6%
74.7%17.7
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WWWLLLLLLL
Adelaide
WLLWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#6
+4.5
Net rating
+2.1
116.5
Offensive rating
111.0
112.1
Defensive rating
108.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
38.7%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.8%
3-point %
37.3%
56.2%
Assist %
54.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 111.0Defence112.1 · 108.9Shooting51.6% · 51.1%3-point %34.8% · 37.3%Ball care15.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds38.7% · 32.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide89-96
31/12/23Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide91-84
14/10/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks89-80
06/01/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks103-95
03/11/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide80-96
15/10/22Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks90-80
25/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide87-71
24/01/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-89
05/12/21Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks71-81
30/05/21Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide97-83
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24ASydney96-89
27/09/24HBrisbane Bullets113-101
21/09/24ACairns Taipans102-75
13/07/24ASutherland Sharks74-93
12/07/24HHills Hornets89-95
07/07/24AMaitland M.100-112
06/07/24AManly W.79-107
29/06/24HCentral Coast Crusaders93-97
22/06/24HBA CoE100-105 OT
15/06/24ASydney Comets81-120
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24HSouth East Melbourne93-83
28/09/24ACairns Taipans97-101
22/09/24HSydney94-102
18/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-70
09/02/24ABrisbane Bullets84-102
04/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-109
02/02/24HSydney85-78
27/01/24HCairns Taipans88-71
20/01/24AIllawarra Hawks96-89
17/01/24ASouth East Melbourne110-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.7113.099.0
Allowed / game88.3101.082.0
Point differential+15.3+12.0+17.0
Avg total192.0214.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game94.793.597.0
Allowed / game95.392.5101.0
Point differential-0.7+1.0-4.0
Avg total190.0186.0198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks330100%103.788.3+15.3
2 New Zealand Breakers220100%86.083.0+3.0
3 Melbourne United43175%88.278.0+10.2
4 Sydney32167%93.092.3+0.7
5 Cairns Taipans32167%88.792.3-3.7
6 Adelaide31233%94.795.3-0.7
7 Tasmania JackJumpers31233%79.383.3-4.0
8 Perth31233%87.094.3-7.3
9 Brisbane Bullets2020%94.0102.0-8.0
10 South East Melbourne4040%86.094.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks32222719100
Adelaide27252921102
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