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Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 78-84
21-21 18-20 20-19 19-24
Position#8
Record6-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game96.9
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record14-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game86.9
AustraliaNBLRound 13· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide
19 Nov 2026
ILLA v ADEL
upcoming
02 Oct 2026
ILLA114
ADEL92
05 Feb 2026
ILLA100
ADEL99
20 Dec 2025
ILLA78
ADEL84
05 Oct 2024
ILLA100
ADEL102
20 Jan 2024
ILLA89
ADEL96
31 Dec 2023
ILLA91
ADEL84
03 Nov 2022
ILLA80
ADEL96
25 Feb 2022
ILLA87
ADEL71
24 Jan 2022
ILLA100
ADEL89
30 May 2021
ILLA97
ADEL83
11 May 2021
ILLA71
ADEL66
04 Mar 2021
ILLA98
ADEL89
21 Oct 2019
ILLA92
ADEL98
10 Jan 2019
ILLA96
ADEL102
25 Nov 2018
ILLA120
ADEL109
11 Feb 2018
ILLA87
ADEL111
21 Jan 2018
ILLA93
ADEL112
19 Feb 2017
ILLA100
ADEL94
28 Jan 2017
ILLA95
ADEL92
07 Oct 2016
ILLA122
ADEL88
12 Feb 2016
ILLA106
ADEL95
28 Jan 2016
ILLA104
ADEL97
22 Feb 2015
ILLA85
ADEL105
23 Jan 2015
ILLA85
ADEL89
28 Feb 2014
ILLA91
ADEL89
09 Feb 2014
ILLA102
ADEL80
23 Mar 2013
ILLA74
ADEL64
22 Feb 2013
ILLA90
ADEL91
25 Mar 2012
ILLA92
ADEL78
16 Oct 2011
ILLA97
ADEL89
12 Mar 2011
ILLA87
ADEL60
10 Dec 2010
ILLA81
ADEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
90avg 88
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 88
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
107-90
107
90
+17
108avg 88
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
66avg 88
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
67avg 88
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
102-105
102
105
-3
95avg 88
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
118avg 88
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 88
H06/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
100-85
100
85
+15
99avg 88
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 88
A18/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-20
26-31
21-18
32-22
25-21
22-25
28-25
25-22
27-26
29-20
26-22
14-18
18-35
18-18
21-27
22-21
27-23
15-27
21-26
33-38
19-20
31-28
19-19
31-13
23-26
20-22
19-32
20-20
14-29
24-24
18-20
23-33
26-17
22-18
29-17
20-24
21-23
26-27
8-23
188.1Avg total
92.4Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.496.9186.3-7.635%
Season at home (9)92.396.1188.4-3.844%
Season away (8)86.097.9183.9-11.925%
Last 10 (10)92.495.7188.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)93.297.8191.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)88.698.1186.7-9.530%
vs Similar (3)78.0103.3181.3-25.30%
vs Weaker (17)96.588.9185.5+7.665%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 87
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 87
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
97-86
97
86
+11
91avg 87
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
93avg 87
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 87
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 87
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
92avg 87
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
95-94
95
94
+1
94avg 87
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
114-105 OT
114
105
+9
110avg 87
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
86avg 87
A17/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
21-33
23-21
17-11
18-17
27-27
31-28
11-22
26-15
26-23
28-17
17-31
26-27
25-23
27-18
13-23
21-22
23-27
27-15
26-21
19-23
18-20
30-21
27-17
23-20
27-13
27-12
13-20
22-25
18-25
20-28
35-16
27-22
32-26
22-19
14-28
29-23
27-20
9-23
20-19
184.2Avg total
95.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)93.286.9180.1+6.378%
Season at home (10)93.588.1181.6+5.480%
Season away (8)92.985.4178.2+7.575%
Last 10 (10)95.588.7184.2+6.880%
Last 5 (5)97.288.4185.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)93.893.1186.9+0.850%
vs Similar (10)94.090.2184.2+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.182.4178.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
Illawarra HawksAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H05/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A07/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H16/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A19/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H21/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H04/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
NBL
93.3Avg total
46.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.146.093.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.146.695.7+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)44.945.390.1-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)46.147.293.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.694.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)45.046.991.9-1.940%-
vs Similar (3)42.753.796.3-11.00%-
vs Weaker (17)49.144.193.2+5.065%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/12
NBL
92.2Avg total
47.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.943.192.1+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.042.692.6+7.479%-
Last 30 away (16)48.043.691.6+4.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.592.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)49.244.793.8+4.558%-
vs Similar (10)48.242.790.9+5.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.541.490.9+8.175%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.227.2
53.1%
54.6%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
74.8%14.8
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.423.7
50.0%
54.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.4
35.3%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.119.4
77.3%
74.8%19.4
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWLWLLLWWL
Adelaide
LWWWWWWWLW
#8
League position
#3
-4.5
Net rating
+9.1
106.8
Offensive rating
118.6
111.3
Defensive rating
109.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
10.7%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
35.3%
59.9%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 118.6Defence111.3 · 109.5Shooting52.3% · 51.1%3-point %33.6% · 35.3%Ball care17.6% · 10.7%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illawarra Hawks wins
9
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
19/11/25Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks97-85
02/11/25Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks90-88
13/01/25Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks91-88
10/11/24Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks93-79
05/10/24Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-102
20/01/24Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide89-96
31/12/23Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide91-84
14/10/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks89-80
06/01/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks103-95
03/11/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide80-96
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AMelbourne United75-97
11/12/25HBrisbane Bullets100-85
06/12/25HCairns Taipans76-93
04/12/25HSouth East Melbourne113-109 OT
21/11/25HMelbourne United102-105
19/11/25AAdelaide85-97
16/11/25HSydney71-98
07/11/25ACairns Taipans107-90
05/11/25HMelbourne United107-93
02/11/25AAdelaide88-90
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ASydney93-97 OT
12/12/25HMelbourne United114-105 OT
07/12/25APerth95-94
05/12/25HBrisbane Bullets90-65
22/11/25ASouth East Melbourne94-81
19/11/25HIllawarra Hawks97-85
16/11/25HCairns Taipans105-101 OT
13/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers97-86
09/11/25HPerth87-94
06/11/25ANew Zealand Breakers83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL35%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game89.492.386.0
Allowed / game96.996.197.9
Point differential-7.6-3.8-11.9
Avg total186.3188.4183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game93.293.592.9
Allowed / game86.988.185.4
Point differential+6.3+5.4+7.5
Avg total180.1181.6178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %17%20%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1814478%93.286.9+6.3
2 Melbourne United2014670%95.988.8+7.1
3 South East Melbourne1812667%95.888.5+7.3
4 Sydney1710759%92.486.4+6.0
5 Perth1910953%88.386.3+1.9
6 Tasmania JackJumpers1881044%85.686.1-0.5
7 New Zealand Breakers1971237%89.188.9+0.2
8 Illawarra Hawks1761135%89.496.9-7.6
9 Brisbane Bullets1851328%85.795.4-9.7
10 Cairns Taipans1851328%82.394.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2118201978
Adelaide2120192484
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