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Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 89-96
15-21 24-21 23-26 27-28
Position#4
Record9-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game90.8
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#9
Record8-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game92.9
AustraliaNBLRound 16· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide
19 Nov 2026
ILLA v ADEL
upcoming
02 Oct 2026
ILLA114
ADEL92
05 Feb 2026
ILLA100
ADEL99
20 Dec 2025
ILLA78
ADEL84
05 Oct 2024
ILLA100
ADEL102
20 Jan 2024
ILLA89
ADEL96
31 Dec 2023
ILLA91
ADEL84
03 Nov 2022
ILLA80
ADEL96
25 Feb 2022
ILLA87
ADEL71
24 Jan 2022
ILLA100
ADEL89
30 May 2021
ILLA97
ADEL83
11 May 2021
ILLA71
ADEL66
04 Mar 2021
ILLA98
ADEL89
21 Oct 2019
ILLA92
ADEL98
10 Jan 2019
ILLA96
ADEL102
25 Nov 2018
ILLA120
ADEL109
11 Feb 2018
ILLA87
ADEL111
21 Jan 2018
ILLA93
ADEL112
19 Feb 2017
ILLA100
ADEL94
28 Jan 2017
ILLA95
ADEL92
07 Oct 2016
ILLA122
ADEL88
12 Feb 2016
ILLA106
ADEL95
28 Jan 2016
ILLA104
ADEL97
22 Feb 2015
ILLA85
ADEL105
23 Jan 2015
ILLA85
ADEL89
28 Feb 2014
ILLA91
ADEL89
09 Feb 2014
ILLA102
ADEL80
23 Mar 2013
ILLA74
ADEL64
22 Feb 2013
ILLA90
ADEL91
25 Mar 2012
ILLA92
ADEL78
16 Oct 2011
ILLA97
ADEL89
12 Mar 2011
ILLA87
ADEL60
10 Dec 2010
ILLA81
ADEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 77
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 77
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-72
100
72
+28
98avg 77
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 77
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
94-90
94
90
+4
80avg 77
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 77
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 77
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 77
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
92-93
92
93
-1
86avg 77
H18/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
23-22
12-15
16-13
38-18
20-25
15-22
27-17
22-27
26-12
25-19
27-14
10-23
20-28
26-22
33-27
17-29
29-19
31-25
17-17
19-12
21-29
31-12
20-31
24-15
29-21
33-23
30-19
18-20
18-15
20-15
30-36
26-30
30-29
24-31
23-20
23-19
17-25
23-23
29-26
186.4Avg total
97.0Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.090.8180.8-0.945%
Season at home (10)94.092.6186.6+1.450%
Season away (10)85.989.1175.0-3.240%
Last 10 (10)97.089.4186.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)102.094.4196.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)84.995.1180.0-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.589.0174.5-3.538%
vs Weaker (3)109.785.3195.0+24.3100%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
44avg 80
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 80
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 80
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 80
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 80
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 80
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 80
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 80
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 80
A17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
8-20
20-28
16-21
26-35
31-26
27-24
17-31
23-28
19-27
30-25
24-27
27-23
25-19
18-21
25-25
29-34
19-20
9-28
25-18
12-19
29-21
12-31
31-20
27-23
19-19
31-24
23-30
20-19
22-8
28-27
25-28
28-27
28-26
26-19
12-22
34-23
34-17
19-20
23-25
189.3Avg total
92.3Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.392.9181.2-4.636%
Season at home (11)88.990.8179.7-1.955%
Season away (11)87.695.0182.6-7.418%
Last 10 (10)92.397.0189.3-4.740%
Last 5 (5)98.093.0191.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)87.992.6180.5-4.638%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.499.2190.6-7.820%
vs Weaker (4)98.096.5194.5+1.550%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
Illawarra HawksAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NBL
90.2Avg total
45.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.890.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.747.593.1-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.187.3-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.690.2+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.088.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.547.289.7-4.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.344.889.2-0.538%-
vs Weaker (3)53.743.397.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A17/01
NBL
93.4Avg total
47.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.947.791.6-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.645.489.1-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)44.149.793.8-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)47.545.993.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.640.491.0+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.847.088.8-5.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.448.594.9-2.150%-
vs Weaker (4)45.848.594.2-2.825%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.225.6
55.4%
50.9%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
73.8%14.8
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.725.3
49.9%
50.9%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
33.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.318.7
77.0%
73.8%18.7
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LLWWWWLWWL
Adelaide
WLWWLLWLLL
#4
League position
#9
+9.4
Net rating
-5.8
118.6
Offensive rating
108.4
109.2
Defensive rating
114.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.7%
3-point %
30.4%
52.2%
Assist %
54.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 108.4Defence109.2 · 114.2Shooting54.7% · 48.6%3-point %35.7% · 30.4%Ball care13.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
4
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
31/12/23Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide91-84
14/10/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks89-80
06/01/23Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks103-95
03/11/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide80-96
15/10/22Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks90-80
25/02/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide87-71
24/01/22Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide100-89
05/12/21Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks71-81
30/05/21Illawarra Hawks v Adelaide97-83
21/05/21Adelaide v Illawarra Hawks73-81
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HCairns Taipans92-93
14/01/24ABrisbane Bullets103-110
12/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers108-107 OT
05/01/24HSouth East Melbourne116-78
31/12/23HAdelaide91-84
25/12/23ASydney94-90
23/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-100
16/12/23ASouth East Melbourne100-72
08/12/23HPerth100-82
03/12/23ABrisbane Bullets77-78
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24ASouth East Melbourne110-85
13/01/24ACairns Taipans101-111 OT
11/01/24HSydney95-82
06/01/24HMelbourne United100-96
31/12/23AIllawarra Hawks84-91
28/12/23HPerth82-100
24/12/23HBrisbane Bullets95-88
16/12/23AMelbourne United96-107
09/12/23HCairns Taipans101-116
02/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers59-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game90.094.085.9
Allowed / game90.892.689.1
Point differential-0.9+1.4-3.2
Avg total180.8186.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW36%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game88.388.987.6
Allowed / game92.990.895.0
Point differential-4.6-1.9-7.4
Avg total181.2179.7182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2216673%93.887.8+6.0
2 Perth2114767%94.690.9+3.8
3 Tasmania JackJumpers23121152%91.085.8+5.2
4 Sydney22111150%94.793.2+1.5
5 Cairns Taipans23111248%90.491.3-0.9
6 Brisbane Bullets23111248%87.690.5-2.9
7 Illawarra Hawks2091145%90.090.8-0.9
8 New Zealand Breakers2191243%89.989.7+0.2
9 South East Melbourne2391439%87.594.6-7.0
10 Adelaide2281436%88.392.9-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks1524232789
Adelaide2121262896
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