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Illiabum vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-73
18-21 15-21 19-20 9-11
Position#5
Record11-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game67.9
Illiabum
Portugal
vs
Braga 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game70.2
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illiabum v Braga
15 Feb 2025
ILLI61
BRAG73
19 Oct 2024
ILLI69
BRAG67
03 Dec 2023
ILLI74
BRAG63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
87-56
87
56
+31
93avg 70
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 70
A07/12
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 70
A13/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
90-70
90
70
+20
96avg 70
H21/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
92-84
92
84
+8
96avg 70
A28/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 70
H04/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
59avg 70
A11/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
50avg 70
A26/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
63-67
63
67
-4
62avg 70
H01/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
60-76
60
76
-16
52avg 70
A08/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
26-16
20-10
16-14
18-18
16-19
26-15
12-21
13-11
22-17
11-22
25-17
23-18
25-18
16-19
26-15
22-30
26-16
21-21
23-17
21-11
27-16
16-19
23-29
16-28
21-16
18-18
19-19
16-17
18-6
17-11
7-16
14-22
21-17
19-16
9-12
25-16
12-23
14-21
9-16
145.3Avg total
75.4Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.667.9143.5+7.865%
Season at home (8)76.867.8144.5+9.062%
Season away (9)74.768.0142.7+6.767%
Last 10 (10)75.469.9145.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)68.469.8138.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.778.3152.0-4.733%
vs Similar (12)71.375.4146.8-4.142%
vs Weaker (12)79.165.5144.6+13.675%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
100avg 76
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 76
A07/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 76
H13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
109-76
109
76
+33
107avg 76
H21/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
78-93
78
93
-15
65avg 76
A28/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
98avg 76
H04/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 76
A11/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
93-58
93
58
+35
80avg 76
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 76
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
81avg 76
H08/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
23-18
23-13
26-12
21-17
25-18
27-24
22-17
11-13
17-22
22-11
17-25
27-23
22-15
35-25
25-13
25-28
13-13
19-22
21-30
27-23
20-13
20-17
23-25
21-14
23-15
26-15
23-13
29-20
19-22
16-10
29-6
21-20
25-24
21-25
29-14
19-23
19-16
16-13
16-18
162.5Avg total
90.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.270.2156.5+16.082%
Season at home (9)88.168.7156.8+19.489%
Season away (8)84.172.0156.1+12.175%
Last 10 (10)90.072.5162.5+17.580%
Last 5 (5)91.070.0161.0+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (11)75.775.4151.1+0.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.270.2156.5+16.082%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.8+5.8
IlliabumBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A07/12
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H04/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A26/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/02
Proliga
75.8Avg total
40.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.273.7+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.536.277.6+5.362%-
Last 30 away (17)36.134.570.6+1.659%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.175.8+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.472.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.236.873.0-0.750%-
vs Similar (12)35.237.472.6-2.233%-
vs Weaker (12)42.832.275.1+10.692%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A07/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H21/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H04/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A11/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/02
Proliga
80.4Avg total
43.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.676.6+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.335.275.5+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)39.738.578.2+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.380.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.082.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (11)37.238.075.2-0.827%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.535.477.9+7.176%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
49.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
30.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
68.4%13.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.3
52.6%
49.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.1
38.2%
30.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.113.8
65.4%
68.4%13.8
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LLWLWWWWLW
Braga
WWWWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#1
+6.4
Net rating
+25.3
97.4
Offensive rating
112.3
91.0
Defensive rating
86.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.6%
21.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
38.2%
65.3%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 112.3Defence91.0 · 86.9Shooting49.8% · 54.3%3-point %32.9% · 38.2%Ball care21.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.6% · 35.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Illiabum   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illiabum wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
13/12/24Braga v Illiabum67-71
19/10/24Illiabum v Braga69-67
14/04/24Braga v Illiabum72-76
10/02/24Braga v Illiabum89-64
04/02/24Braga v Illiabum60-61
03/12/23Illiabum v Braga74-63
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25APortimonense60-76
01/02/25HVasco Da Gama63-67
26/01/25AImortal B58-50
11/01/25AVasco Da Gama74-81
04/01/25HSampaense87-75
28/12/24AGinasio92-84
21/12/24HGalitos Aveiro90-70
13/12/24ABraga71-67
07/12/24ASangalhos72-73
30/11/24HMaia87-56
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HSangalhos83-74 OT
01/02/25ACB Queluz96-83
25/01/25HCAB Madeira93-58
11/01/25AGalitos Aveiro93-57
04/01/25HSangalhos90-78
28/12/24AVasco Da Gama78-93
21/12/24HGinasio109-76
13/12/24HIlliabum67-71
07/12/24AMaia95-76
30/11/24HSampaense96-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL65%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game75.676.874.7
Allowed / game67.967.868.0
Point differential+7.8+9.0+6.7
Avg total143.5144.5142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game86.288.184.1
Allowed / game70.268.772.0
Point differential+16.0+19.4+12.1
Avg total156.5156.8156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%67%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1714382%86.270.2+16.0
2 Vasco Da Gama1814478%82.876.6+6.2
3 CB Queluz1712571%77.572.9+4.6
4 Illiabum1711665%75.667.9+7.8
5 Portimonense1711665%76.472.7+3.7
6 CAB Madeira1811761%74.768.3+6.4
7 Santo Andre1810856%71.968.9+2.9
8 Imortal B178947%67.270.2-3.0
9 Sampaense1881044%79.684.3-4.8
10 Ginasio1881044%81.186.3-5.2
11 Sangalhos1771041%77.877.4+0.4
12 Lusitania1771041%72.773.6-0.9
13 Maia1771041%75.582.2-6.7
14 Barreirense1751229%70.375.1-4.8
15 Benfica Lisboa B1751229%66.475.1-8.7
16 Galitos Aveiro181176%66.179.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum181519961
Braga2121201173
← all games of the day
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