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Illiabum vs Maia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game81.7
PortugalProligaRound 9· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illiabum v Maia
28 Nov 2026
ILLI v MAIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ILLI72
MAIA69
04 Oct 2025
ILLI87
MAIA81
30 Nov 2024
ILLI87
MAIA56
18 Nov 2023
ILLI63
MAIA81
21 Jan 2023
ILLI72
MAIA67
01 Feb 2020
ILLI93
MAIA60
30 Dec 2016
ILLI86
MAIA65
20 Dec 2014
ILLI71
MAIA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Illiabum
5.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.5
69.4▼ 4.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 71.3
76.2▲ 4.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
58%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.5
13.0▼ 2.5
🔥 Form · Maia
5.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.2
80.8▼ 3.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.4
78.2▲ 2.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
55%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.8
17.2▲ 0.4
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
77-40
77
40
+37
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#9
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
30-19
23-13
17-23
24-7
17-7
23-15
13-11
11-16
18-16
18-8
12-23
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
143.2Avg total
72.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
Season at home (2)80.072.5152.5+7.5100%
Season away (2)63.580.0143.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)72.470.8143.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)69.476.2145.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.577.0138.5-15.50%
vs Similar (12)69.671.0140.6-1.450%
vs Weaker (12)83.068.9151.9+14.183%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
109-81
109
81
+28
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
24-18
19-22
18-15
26-25
29-18
20-16
32-28
28-19
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
163.7Avg total
85.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.081.7163.7+0.367%
Season at home (2)93.586.5180.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)59.072.0131.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)85.078.7163.7+6.380%
Last 5 (5)80.878.2159.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.082.2155.2-9.233%
vs Similar (7)79.177.1156.3+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.470.7159.1+17.682%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
IlliabumMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
72.3Avg total
36.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.171.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.275.3+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)33.435.068.4-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.072.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.269.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.336.765.0-8.317%-
vs Similar (12)35.136.671.7-1.542%-
vs Weaker (12)42.632.875.4+9.883%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
79.5Avg total
42.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.677.8+4.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.937.179.1+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)40.436.076.4+4.471%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.379.5+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.679.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.240.574.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (7)39.437.977.3+1.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.534.779.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.3
51.1%
53.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.65.6
30.1%
30.1%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
66.9%13.2
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.419.8
46.7%
53.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
30.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.318.5
70.3%
66.9%18.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LWLWLLWLWW
Maia
WLWWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
+6.4
87.5
Offensive rating
90.0
87.1
Defensive rating
83.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.1%
3-point %
35.3%
61.8%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 90.0Defence87.1 · 83.7Shooting49.1% · 49.0%3-point %30.1% · 35.3%Ball care17.9% · 16.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Illiabum   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illiabum wins
3
Maia wins
DateGameScore
21/03/26Illiabum v Maia72-69
31/01/26Maia v Illiabum75-79
22/11/25Maia v Illiabum71-64
04/10/25Illiabum v Maia87-81
30/11/24Illiabum v Maia87-56
05/10/24Maia v Illiabum65-78
20/01/24Maia v Illiabum73-88
18/11/23Illiabum v Maia63-81
21/01/23Illiabum v Maia72-67
13/11/22Maia v Illiabum79-75
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69
25/04/26APortimonense59-63
19/04/26AImortal B77-40
04/04/26HGinasio Olhanense91-67
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
29/03/26AGinasio109-81
28/03/26HGinasio87-80
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.880.063.5
Allowed / game76.272.580.0
Point differential-4.5+7.5-16.5
Avg total148.0152.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game82.093.559.0
Allowed / game81.786.572.0
Point differential+0.3+7.0-13.0
Avg total163.7180.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
6 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
7 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
8 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
9 Galitos Barreiro42250%71.573.2-1.8
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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