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Illiabum vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-81
21-18 22-21 25-26 19-16
Position#7
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalProligaRound 1· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illiabum v Maia
28 Nov 2026
ILLI v MAIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ILLI72
MAIA69
04 Oct 2025
ILLI87
MAIA81
30 Nov 2024
ILLI87
MAIA56
18 Nov 2023
ILLI63
MAIA81
21 Jan 2023
ILLI72
MAIA67
01 Feb 2020
ILLI93
MAIA60
30 Dec 2016
ILLI86
MAIA65
20 Dec 2014
ILLI71
MAIA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
63avg 70
A22/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
65avg 70
H01/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
61-65
61
65
-4
53avg 70
A08/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
97-67
97
67
+30
98avg 70
H16/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 70
A22/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
84avg 70
H29/03
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 70
A05/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 70
H19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
45avg 70
A26/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 70
H03/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
13-19
20-18
16-20
9-23
23-11
24-19
16-12
10-15
11-14
19-13
21-23
19-16
25-22
29-20
24-9
27-13
15-27
12-16
17-22
17-21
21-14
17-20
25-15
28-12
21-22
19-23
14-19
22-18
22-29
14-13
23-14
25-19
12-20
15-21
13-25
12-22
18-20
18-21
21-17
147.7Avg total
74.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.673.1147.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.672.4142.0-2.860%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.073.9143.9-3.927%
vs Weaker (14)79.766.7146.4+13.079%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 65
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
56avg 65
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 65
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
54avg 65
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 65
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 65
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
64-60
64
60
+4
53avg 65
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 65
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 65
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 65
A04/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
13-14
21-14
24-16
19-17
17-17
16-16
16-15
19-28
30-14
18-17
26-27
13-20
23-29
16-17
20-30
22-14
18-13
24-26
13-18
18-16
23-16
10-19
20-20
19-18
9-13
19-21
17-8
25-16
14-28
21-17
18-12
21-17
10-18
28-18
29-21
22-21
13-17
18-17
23-17
152.9Avg total
78.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.574.4152.9+4.190%
Last 5 (5)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.583.2157.8-8.833%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.080.7159.7-1.757%
vs Weaker (4)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
IlliabumMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A22/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A08/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/03
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/03
Proliga
Braga
#1
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A05/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A26/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H03/05
Proliga
74.0Avg total
36.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.473.5+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.175.8+3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)36.834.771.5+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.174.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.479.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.636.473.0+0.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.238.372.5-4.118%-
vs Weaker (14)41.832.774.5+9.179%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/05
Proliga
74.3Avg total
37.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.877.4-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.475.9-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)35.643.278.8-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.874.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.070.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.843.879.7-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.740.177.9-2.450%-
vs Weaker (4)34.834.068.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.6
48.5%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.45.4
27.8%
30.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
67.4%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.4
45.8%
50.0%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.7
35.8%
30.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
67.4%16.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LLWWWLWLWL
Maia
WWWWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#4
+2.5
Net rating
+6.0
97.6
Offensive rating
107.9
95.1
Defensive rating
102.0
46.5%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.8%
3-point %
35.8%
64.1%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 107.9Defence95.1 · 102.0Shooting46.5% · 49.2%3-point %27.8% · 35.8%Ball care21.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds34.3% · 31.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Illiabum   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illiabum wins
3
Maia wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Illiabum v Maia87-56
05/10/24Maia v Illiabum65-78
20/01/24Maia v Illiabum73-88
18/11/23Illiabum v Maia63-81
21/01/23Illiabum v Maia72-67
13/11/22Maia v Illiabum79-75
01/02/20Illiabum v Maia93-60
02/11/19Maia v Illiabum76-72
30/12/16Illiabum v Maia86-65
15/10/16Maia v Illiabum86-89
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HCAB Madeira69-80
26/04/25ASangalhos65-85
19/04/25HCB Queluz81-74
05/04/25ABraga82-76
29/03/25HPortimonense80-70
22/03/25AVasco Da Gama71-78
16/03/25HImortal B97-67
08/03/25ACAB Madeira61-65
01/03/25HSangalhos72-65
22/02/25ACB Queluz68-71
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25ABarreirense76-72
25/04/25HGinasio88-74
19/04/25ASanto Andre78-73
16/04/25HSanto Andre64-60
05/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B84-81 OT
29/03/25AGalitos Aveiro77-71
22/03/25ASampaense72-96
16/03/25HLusitania93-86
08/03/25HBarreirense68-65
01/03/25AGinasio85-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CAB Madeira110100%88.063.0+25.0
2 CD Povoa110100%80.056.0+24.0
3 Ginasio110100%85.067.0+18.0
4 Ginasio Olhanense110100%93.086.0+7.0
5 Sampaense110100%80.074.0+6.0
6 Lusitania1010%74.080.0-6.0
7 Galomar1010%86.093.0-7.0
8 Academica1010%67.085.0-18.0
9 Sangalhos1010%56.080.0-24.0
10 CB Queluz1010%63.088.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2122251987
Maia1821261681
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