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Illinois State vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 56-61
28-33 28-28
Position#240
Record11-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#303
Record8-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois State v Illinois (Chi.)
10 Jan 2026
ILLI59
ILLI63
29 Dec 2024
ILLI67
ILLI73
07 Feb 2024
ILLI56
ILLI61
01 Feb 2023
ILLI68
ILLI62
18 Dec 2019
ILLI67
ILLI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
56-77
56
77
-21
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-47
43-41
29-31
35-40
34-34
26-33
20-28
30-31
27-43
29-34
42-33
27-27
41-30
36-37
21-27
33-31
24-26
37-33
20-39
40-34
130.1Avg total
62.2Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)65.867.8133.7-2.048%
Season at home (13)66.864.6131.4+2.262%
Season away (10)64.672.0136.6-7.430%
Last 10 (10)62.267.9130.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)64.263.4127.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.577.8139.2-16.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.265.8134.0+2.464%
vs Weaker (3)69.058.7127.7+10.367%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H13/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
30-42
42-36
28-28
32-35
27-32
26-39
33-38
31-33
27-40
39-34
38-50
39-41
44-48
25-22
40-52
30-37
30-40
35-31
36-43
143.9Avg total
67.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.568.7138.2+0.735%
Season at home (12)73.667.5141.1+6.142%
Season away (11)65.070.1135.1-5.127%
Last 10 (10)67.576.4143.9-8.910%
Last 5 (5)71.279.6150.8-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.071.6136.6-6.621%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.970.5140.4-0.536%
vs Weaker (4)73.872.8146.5+1.050%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -8.0-8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -8.0-8.0
Illinois StateIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H03/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
28.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.134.764.8-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.331.661.9-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)29.938.268.1-8.47%-
Last 10 (10)28.633.862.4-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)29.631.060.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)26.239.365.5-13.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.732.665.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker (3)31.028.059.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.467.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.732.768.4+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.167.4-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.169.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.066.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.034.565.5-3.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.532.569.1+4.064%-
vs Weaker (4)38.234.572.8+3.875%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois State wins
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HBradley60-73
31/01/24AMurray State61-59
27/01/24AEvansville54-58
24/01/24HBelmont77-67
20/01/24AMissouri State69-60
18/01/24HDrake56-77
14/01/24HValparaiso50-59
11/01/24ABelmont60-67
07/01/24HSouthern Illinois64-71
03/01/24ADrake71-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HSouthern Illinois71-74
01/02/24AEvansville60-77
27/01/24ABelmont65-74
25/01/24HIndiana State83-89
20/01/24AValparaiso77-84
18/01/24HMurray State58-73
13/01/24HBradley59-77
11/01/24ANorthern Iowa59-67
07/01/24HValparaiso70-64
03/01/24AMurray State73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLLLWL62%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %48%62%30%
Points / game65.866.864.6
Allowed / game67.864.672.0
Point differential-2.0+2.2-7.4
Avg total133.7131.4136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL42%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%42%27%
Points / game69.573.665.0
Allowed / game68.767.570.1
Point differential+0.7+6.1-5.1
Avg total138.2141.1135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2421388%86.172.0+14.2
2 Drake2318578%79.167.8+11.3
3 Bradley2317674%76.067.4+8.6
4 Southern Illinois2315865%72.665.3+7.3
5 Evansville2314961%73.172.5+0.6
6 Northern Iowa23121152%72.571.4+1.1
7 Belmont23121152%77.078.5-1.5
8 Illinois State23111248%65.867.8-2.0
9 Murray State2391439%70.467.8+2.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)2381535%69.568.7+0.7
11 Valparaiso2461825%67.673.5-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State282856
Illinois (Chi.)332861
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