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Illinois State vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 50-54
24-22 26-32
Position#96
Record15-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#203
Record9-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois State v Southern Illinois
27 Jan 2027
ILLI v SOUT
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
ILLI50
SOUT54
05 Jan 2025
ILLI85
SOUT54
06 Jan 2024
ILLI64
SOUT71
29 Jan 2023
ILLI72
SOUT66
05 Feb 2022
ILLI69
SOUT75
25 Jan 2020
ILLI55
SOUT58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
59-63 OT
59
63
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
43-40
31-27
42-29
46-28
27-19
23-35
48-42
25-28
26-23
42-51
47-43
44-29
44-33
24-16
35-38
36-44
33-36
35-29
35-36
139.9Avg total
73.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.567.0144.4+10.568%
Season at home (12)80.259.2139.4+20.992%
Season away (10)74.276.2150.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)73.666.3139.9+7.360%
Last 5 (5)75.071.0146.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.079.3158.3-0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.768.3139.0+2.460%
vs Weaker (16)77.967.7145.6+10.269%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
35-34
34-47
47-37
36-25
39-45
26-22
42-45
21-31
36-39
37-26
30-41
24-32
44-41
20-39
43-30
27-19
38-31
36-25
30-43
138.5Avg total
68.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.572.0146.5+2.641%
Season at home (11)75.466.5141.9+8.855%
Season away (11)73.777.4151.1-3.627%
Last 10 (10)68.570.0138.5-1.530%
Last 5 (5)67.067.2134.2-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.572.8143.3-2.340%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.377.5151.8-3.120%
vs Weaker (4)78.069.0147.0+9.075%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
Illinois StateSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
24-16
24
16
+8
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A29/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.967.8+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.227.266.4+11.981%-
Last 30 away (14)32.137.369.4-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.266.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.870.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.335.769.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.233.064.2-1.840%-
vs Weaker (16)38.631.269.8+7.369%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H01/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H01/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
29.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.566.8-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.429.465.8+7.080%-
Last 30 away (15)30.337.567.9-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)29.530.560.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)28.828.257.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.533.665.1-2.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.834.368.1-0.560%-
vs Weaker (4)34.833.268.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AMurray State70-65
24/01/26ABelmont69-80
22/01/26HNorthern Iowa59-54
17/01/26HBradley88-62
15/01/26AIndiana State89-94
10/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)59-63 OT
08/01/26AValparaiso71-77
01/01/26HEvansville73-47
30/12/25ADrake73-56
21/12/25HIndiana State85-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HIllinois (Chi.)66-68
29/01/26HNorthern Iowa65-50
22/01/26AValparaiso63-69
18/01/26HBelmont68-73
15/01/26HDrake73-76 OT
08/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)57-70
04/01/26ABelmont68-67
01/01/26HValparaiso75-70
30/12/25AMurray State81-84
21/12/25ABradley69-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %68%92%40%
Points / game77.580.274.2
Allowed / game67.059.276.2
Point differential+10.5+20.9-2.0
Avg total144.4139.4150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%75%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game74.575.473.7
Allowed / game72.066.577.4
Point differential+2.6+8.8-3.6
Avg total146.5141.9151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %14%9%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2420483%81.872.0+9.8
2 Murray State2316770%86.379.3+7.0
3 Illinois State2215768%77.567.0+10.5
4 Bradley2315865%78.173.3+4.8
5 Northern Iowa2314961%67.160.4+6.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)23131057%75.169.9+5.2
7 Drake23121152%77.273.0+4.2
8 Valparaiso22111150%71.470.2+1.2
9 Southern Illinois2291341%74.572.0+2.6
10 Indiana State2391439%75.375.2+0.1
11 Evansville2251723%67.274.0-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State242650
Southern Illinois223254
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