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Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-63
39-20 30-43
Position#170
Record9-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#203
Record8-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valparaiso v Southern Illinois
02 Jan 2027
VALP v SOUT
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
VALP69
SOUT63
28 Jan 2025
VALP75
SOUT79
10 Jan 2024
VALP68
SOUT77
14 Feb 2023
VALP62
SOUT66
08 Jan 2022
VALP60
SOUT63
22 Feb 2021
VALP64
SOUT67
12 Feb 2020
VALP55
SOUT38
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#17
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
30-42
30-39
40-47
39-36
40-49
22-22
26-36
25-36
45-39
31-32
35-27
35-23
42-48
36-45
43-47
39-41
35-37
22-18
32-26
140.8Avg total
68.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.970.1141.0+0.947%
Season at home (11)71.562.3133.7+9.273%
Season away (8)70.280.8151.0-10.512%
Last 10 (10)68.772.1140.8-3.430%
Last 5 (5)70.068.8138.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.269.9134.1-5.740%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.374.9147.2-2.643%
vs Weaker (6)77.563.5141.0+14.067%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H19/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
49-27
36-32
38-42
35-30
33-45
34-39
35-34
34-47
47-37
36-25
39-45
26-22
42-45
21-31
36-39
37-26
30-41
24-32
44-41
146.1Avg total
72.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.173.5149.6+2.642%
Season at home (9)77.668.2145.8+9.356%
Season away (10)74.878.2153.0-3.430%
Last 10 (10)72.673.5146.1-0.930%
Last 5 (5)68.271.2139.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.374.5145.8-3.336%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.377.4152.7-2.129%
vs Weaker (4)78.069.0147.0+9.075%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -0.3-0.3
ValparaisoSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
D
22-22
22
22
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
22-18
22
18
+4
H17/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.231.965.1+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.328.561.7+4.867%-
Last 30 away (15)33.235.368.5-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.364.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.864.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.331.663.9+0.760%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.132.965.0-0.943%-
vs Weaker (6)37.530.067.5+7.567%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#72
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H01/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H18/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
31.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.166.9+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.029.865.8+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)31.536.568.0-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.162.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)28.827.256.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.433.464.7-2.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.933.968.8+1.164%-
vs Weaker (4)34.833.268.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
8
Southern Illinois wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HNorthern Iowa54-44
14/01/26ABelmont74-78
10/01/26AMurray State79-92
08/01/26HIllinois State77-71
04/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)66-59
01/01/26ASouthern Illinois70-75
30/12/25ANorthern Iowa48-58
21/12/25HMurray State79-85
17/12/25ANorthwestern70-86
13/12/25HNC Wilmington70-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HBelmont68-73
15/01/26HDrake73-76 OT
08/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)57-70
04/01/26ABelmont68-67
01/01/26HValparaiso75-70
30/12/25AMurray State81-84
21/12/25ABradley69-73
19/12/25HIllinois State68-75
13/12/25ARichmond Spiders84-93 OT
11/12/25HUT Martin83-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %47%73%12%
Points / game70.971.570.2
Allowed / game70.162.380.8
Point differential+0.9+9.2-10.5
Avg total141.0133.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeWLWLL56%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game76.177.674.8
Allowed / game73.568.278.2
Point differential+2.6+9.3-3.4
Avg total149.6145.8153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %16%11%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2117481%81.171.2+9.9
2 Murray State2016480%87.978.5+9.4
3 Illinois State1913668%79.367.1+12.2
4 Bradley2114767%78.072.7+5.3
5 Northern Iowa1912763%67.859.7+8.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)20101050%75.069.9+5.0
7 Drake20101050%77.272.6+4.6
8 Valparaiso1991047%70.970.1+0.9
9 Indiana State2091145%76.275.1+1.1
10 Southern Illinois1981142%76.173.5+2.6
11 Evansville2051525%67.273.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso393069
Southern Illinois204363
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