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Southern Illinois vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-75
35-30 33-45
Position#203
Record6-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game73.5
Southern Illinois
USA
vs
Illinois State 🏆
USA
Position#96
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Illinois State
18 Dec 2025
SOUT68
ILLI75
25 Feb 2025
SOUT88
ILLI79
10 Feb 2024
SOUT69
ILLI66
14 Jan 2023
SOUT69
ILLI57
23 Feb 2022
SOUT90
ILLI69
22 Feb 2022
SOUT v ILLI
upcoming
14 Feb 2021
SOUT59
ILLI49
13 Feb 2021
SOUT55
ILLI80
04 Jan 2020
SOUT67
ILLI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
101-78
101
78
+23
H08/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
79-59
79
59
+20
A23/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A27/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H30/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
84-93 OT
84
93
-9
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-34
53-44
34-32
38-40
46-53
39-39
33-24
46-35
35-36
38-45
29-42
29-32
29-33
45-32
34-46
52-38
34-27
49-27
36-32
38-42
157.0Avg total
80.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.673.5154.1+7.255%
Season at home (5)82.864.0146.8+18.880%
Season away (6)78.881.3160.2-2.533%
Last 10 (10)80.476.6157.0+3.850%
Last 5 (5)77.074.0151.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.475.9148.4-3.536%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.276.4155.5+2.855%
vs Weaker (4)78.069.0147.0+9.075%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
94-42
94
42
+52
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
42-33
26-40
41-47
42-34
40-46
48-21
45-27
55-20
39-22
43-34
36-35
33-36
39-29
49-41
40-37
45-13
50-40
33-40
45-43
149.5Avg total
82.5Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.267.5148.6+13.773%
Season at home (7)85.460.0145.4+25.4100%
Season away (4)73.880.5154.2-6.825%
Last 10 (10)82.567.0149.5+15.580%
Last 5 (5)82.669.6152.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.273.0144.2-1.820%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.976.0152.9+0.960%
vs Weaker (14)76.166.8142.9+9.371%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +5.8+5.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +5.8+5.8
Southern IllinoisIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A13/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A23/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A27/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.467.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.329.365.6+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)32.637.169.7-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.971.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.068.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.935.468.2-2.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.532.367.8+3.373%-
vs Weaker (4)34.833.268.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
55-20
55
20
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
40.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.569.1+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.929.969.8+9.976%-
Last 30 away (13)32.335.868.2-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.831.171.9+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.873.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.233.865.0-2.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.236.372.5-0.160%-
vs Weaker (14)38.030.168.1+7.964%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Southern Illinois wins
3
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Southern Illinois v Illinois State88-79
05/01/25Illinois State v Southern Illinois85-54
11/02/24Southern Illinois v Illinois State69-66
07/01/24Illinois State v Southern Illinois64-71
29/01/23Illinois State v Southern Illinois72-66
15/01/23Southern Illinois v Illinois State69-57
24/02/22Southern Illinois v Illinois State90-69
06/02/22Illinois State v Southern Illinois69-75
14/02/21Southern Illinois v Illinois State59-49
13/02/21Southern Illinois v Illinois State55-80
Southern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ARichmond Spiders84-93 OT
11/12/25HUT Martin83-54
04/12/25AHigh Point86-84
30/11/25HUALR74-65
27/11/25AMemphis58-74
24/11/25HUAB73-81
23/11/25ADelaware79-59
18/11/25ANorth Dakota St85-92
13/11/25ANevada81-86 OT
08/11/25HUMKC101-78
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AUtah State78-83
07/12/25HChicago State95-53
04/12/25HEastern Kentucky89-78
28/11/25HFurman72-65
27/11/25HCharlotte79-69
23/11/25HCoastal Carolina94-42
21/11/25HRockford University93-48
17/11/25ALong Beach State82-80
15/11/25AUSC67-87
09/11/25HCornell76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game80.682.878.8
Allowed / game73.564.081.3
Point differential+7.2+18.8-2.5
Avg total154.1146.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %18%0%33%
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%100%25%
Points / game81.285.473.8
Allowed / game67.560.080.5
Point differential+13.7+25.4-6.8
Avg total148.6145.4154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1311285%82.871.4+11.5
2 Northern Iowa119282%72.457.6+14.7
3 Murray State129375%89.778.0+11.7
4 Illinois State118373%81.267.5+13.7
5 Bradley128467%78.969.6+9.3
6 Indiana State127558%77.372.2+5.1
7 Southern Illinois116555%80.673.5+7.2
8 Valparaiso116555%72.869.9+2.9
9 Drake126650%80.269.5+10.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)114736%75.773.3+2.5
11 Evansville124833%69.873.4-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois353368
Illinois State304575
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