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Illinois vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 86-90
42-41 44-49
Position#35
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game66.8
Illinois
USA
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#48
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game81.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois v Alabama
19 Nov 2025
ILLI86
ALAB90
20 Nov 2024
ILLI87
ALAB100
17 Mar 2015
ILLI58
ALAB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H13/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A14/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H22/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
113-55
113
55
+58
H04/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
113-70
113
70
+43
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
62-43
40-42
48-38
49-45
57-49
31-57
34-31
40-35
46-38
32-37
43-47
60-27
53-28
59-27
54-43
45-32
36-45
41-30
43-35
166.3Avg total
90.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.866.8164.5+31.0100%
Season at home (4)97.866.8164.5+31.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.475.9166.3+14.580%
Last 5 (5)93.270.2163.4+23.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.396.3163.7-29.00%
vs Similar (13)82.576.4158.9+6.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.573.1163.6+17.479%
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
82-104
82
104
-22
A15/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H21/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H23/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
113-88
113
88
+25
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A30/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H04/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
103-96
103
96
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-42
34-37
45-38
54-32
45-47
37-57
40-36
50-45
42-29
38-37
51-40
62-48
37-46
28-39
48-32
43-30
53-44
50-52
41-43
39-44
172.6Avg total
89.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.381.7173.0+9.767%
Season at home (2)85.574.5160.0+11.050%
Season away (1)103.096.0199.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.683.0172.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)90.483.6174.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.894.6178.4-10.820%
vs Similar (15)92.983.3176.2+9.573%
vs Weaker (10)93.175.1168.2+18.0100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +1.4+1.4
IllinoisAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A14/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H04/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
59-27
59
27
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/11
NCAA
79.0Avg total
42.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.975.9+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.633.175.7+9.572%-
Last 30 away (12)38.437.776.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.279.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.430.678.0+16.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.349.784.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (13)37.334.872.2+2.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.731.977.6+13.986%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A15/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H27/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/11
NCAA
84.4Avg total
44.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.381.6+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.934.478.4+9.576%-
Last 30 away (13)44.641.285.8+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)44.739.784.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.043.683.6-3.620%-
vs Similar (15)45.838.784.5+7.187%-
vs Weaker (10)44.032.276.2+11.880%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois wins
2
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24Illinois v Alabama87-100
18/03/15Illinois v Alabama58-79
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HColgate84-65
12/11/25HTexas Tech81-77
08/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast113-70
04/11/25HJackson State113-55
23/03/25AKentucky75-84
22/03/25HXavier86-73
14/03/25AMaryland65-88
13/03/25HIowa106-94
08/03/25HPurdue88-80
02/03/25AMichigan93-73
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HPurdue80-87
08/11/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)103-96
04/11/25HNorth Dakota91-62
30/03/25ADuke65-85
27/03/25HBrigham Young113-88
23/03/25HSt. Marys (CA)80-66
21/03/25HRobert Morris90-81
15/03/25AFlorida82-104
15/03/25HKentucky99-70
08/03/25AAuburn93-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.897.8-
Allowed / game66.866.8-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total164.5164.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game91.385.5103.0
Allowed / game81.774.596.0
Point differential+9.7+11.0+7.0
Avg total173.0160.0199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois440100%97.866.8+31.0
2 Wisconsin440100%93.265.0+28.2
3 Indiana440100%92.064.8+27.2
4 USC330100%98.371.3+27.0
5 Iowa440100%89.564.8+24.8
6 Northwestern440100%84.260.2+24.0
7 Nebraska440100%89.067.0+22.0
8 Michigan440100%89.871.5+18.2
9 Purdue440100%88.271.8+16.5
10 Ohio State440100%87.871.5+16.2
11 Penn State550100%82.066.2+15.8
12 Rutgers440100%79.264.0+15.2
13 Michigan State440100%77.865.2+12.5
14 Oregon440100%74.266.5+7.8
15 Minnesota54180%76.062.4+13.6
16 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
17 UCLA54180%76.263.2+13.0
18 Maryland54180%82.273.4+8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia550100%99.462.6+36.8
2 Vanderbilt440100%101.572.8+28.8
3 LSU440100%98.570.0+28.5
4 Tennessee440100%90.262.2+28.0
5 Missouri550100%91.470.4+21.0
6 South Carolina440100%85.567.5+18.0
7 Ole Miss550100%82.265.0+17.2
8 Mississippi St.330100%85.770.0+15.7
9 Texas54180%84.062.6+21.4
10 Arkansas54180%86.272.0+14.2
11 Auburn43175%88.870.5+18.2
12 Florida43175%87.875.2+12.5
13 Alabama32167%91.381.7+9.7
14 Kentucky53260%87.468.4+19.0
15 Texas A&M53260%85.078.4+6.6
16 Oklahoma42250%91.080.8+10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois424486
Alabama414990
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