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Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
In play
Position#25
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game118.6
vs
Position#21
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game122.8
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Dallas Mavericks
23 Oct 2026
IND v DAL
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
IND130
DAL134
19 Mar 2025
IND135
DAL131
25 Feb 2024
IND133
DAL111
14 Jul 2023
IND91
DAL112
27 Mar 2023
IND104
DAL127
10 Dec 2021
IND106
DAL93
20 Jan 2021
IND112
DAL124
03 Feb 2020
IND103
DAL112
19 Jan 2019
IND111
DAL99
27 Dec 2017
IND94
DAL98
26 Oct 2016
IND130
DAL121
16 Dec 2015
IND107
DAL81
29 Mar 2015
IND104
DAL99
18 Oct 2014
IND98
DAL93
12 Feb 2014
IND73
DAL81
16 Oct 2013
IND85
DAL92
16 Nov 2012
IND103
DAL83
12 Jan 2011
IND102
DAL89
27 Nov 2009
IND92
DAL113
20 Mar 2009
IND92
DAL94
15 Oct 2008
IND100
DAL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers win
-no forecast
Best odds1.42
Implied68.9%
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best odds3.26
Implied31.1%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-117
108
117
-9
A05/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
104-124
104
124
-20
H07/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
123-94
123
94
+29
A09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
94-105
94
105
-11
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
121-133
121
133
-12
H12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
123-112
123
112
+11
H07/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
117-119
117
119
-2
H10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
A14/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
127-128 OT
127
128
-1
H16/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
123-120
123
120
+3
A22/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
26-24
33-35
17-27
27-35
26-28
24-39
27-22
31-14
32-23
35-35
25-22
21-28
30-30
26-31
17-16
27-41
36-40
26-27
32-25
32-27
29-38
38-26
24-21
32-31
28-31
26-34
31-23
33-25
28-34
23-26
16-15
29-21
42-35
22-34
24-27
38-31
18-35
30-26
37-28
231.8Avg total
115.2Scored
116.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)120.4118.6239.0+1.840%
Season at home (3)122.3119.7242.0+2.733%
Season away (2)117.5117.0234.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)115.2116.6231.8-1.430%
Last 5 (5)120.4118.6239.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)113.5124.7238.2-11.215%
vs Similar ◀ (9)120.9120.0240.9+0.933%
vs Weaker (1)127.0128.0255.0-1.00%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
134-128
134
128
+6
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
103-116
103
116
-13
A08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A09/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
120-139
120
139
-19
A11/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
149-128
149
128
+21
H13/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
117-135
117
135
-18
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
132-115
132
115
+17
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
111-135
111
135
-24
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-128
110
128
-18
A22/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-30
26-31
40-36
27-31
26-39
29-26
29-24
19-27
29-33
24-28
27-27
27-24
26-37
39-31
28-40
27-31
45-34
35-22
39-32
30-40
19-27
26-38
35-34
37-36
28-27
30-24
37-34
37-30
18-24
27-32
18-19
34-26
34-39
20-34
24-29
33-33
26-32
12-38
38-30
34-28
241.7Avg total
118.0Scored
123.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)113.4122.8236.2-9.420%
Season at home (3)108.3123.7232.0-15.30%
Season away (2)121.0121.5242.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)118.0123.7241.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)113.4122.8236.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)113.7126.3240.0-12.514%
vs Similar ◀ (7)111.6115.7227.3-4.143%
vs Weaker (1)121.0130.0251.0-9.00%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 235
Over 235
no forecast
@ 1.75
Under 235
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Be
1.53
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathon Be
2.12
Over/Under 240 · main line
Over 240
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under 240
no forecast
@ 1.94
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
SBO
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.88
Over/Under 245
Over 245
no forecast
@ 2.36
Under 245
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.36
1xBet
2.34
Marathon Be
2.18
Under
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.54

📊 3. Team Totals

Indiana Pacers total 119.5
Over 119.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under 119.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.60
1xBet
2.59
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.31
WilliamHill
2.20
Indiana Pacers total 123.5 · main line
Over 123.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
Under 123.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Indiana Pacers total 127.5
Over 127.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 127.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Dallas Mavericks total 112.5
Over 112.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
Under 112.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.35
Dallas Mavericks total 116.5 · main line
Over 116.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under 116.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Dallas Mavericks total 120.5
Over 120.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under 120.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Indiana Pacers -10
IND -10
no forecast
@ 2.42
DAL +10
no forecast
@ 1.62
Best 5 market prices
IND
Pinnacle
2.42
1xBet
2.30
Marathon Be
2.27
Bet365
2.22
DAL
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Be
1.56
Spread Indiana Pacers -7 · main line
IND -7
no forecast
@ 1.94
DAL +7
no forecast
@ 1.96
Best 5 market prices
IND
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.93
SBO
1.89
Marathon Be
1.89
Bet365
1.80
DAL
Pinnacle
1.96
SBO
1.95
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
Spread Indiana Pacers -4
IND -4
no forecast
@ 1.66
DAL +4
no forecast
@ 2.35
Best 5 market prices
IND
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.54
Marathon Be
1.54
Bet365
1.54
DAL
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.25
Marathon Be
2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Indiana PacersDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A05/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H07/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H07/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A14/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H16/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A22/10
NBA
119.9Avg total
59.7Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 123
Last 30 (30)59.664.0123.5-4.430%43%
Last 30 at home (16)60.166.6126.7-6.419%62%
Last 30 away (14)58.961.0119.9-2.143%21%
Last 10 (10)59.760.2119.9-0.540%30%
Last 5 (5)61.861.6123.4+0.240%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)57.166.7123.8-9.515%40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)63.758.9122.6+4.856%44%
vs Weaker (1)71.056.0127.0+15.0100%100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A09/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A11/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H13/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
38-70
38
70
-32
A22/10
NBA
118.6Avg total
56.0Scored
62.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 123
Last 30 (30)55.662.1117.7-6.530%30%
Last 30 at home (14)56.863.4120.2-6.629%50%
Last 30 away (16)54.660.9115.6-6.331%12%
Last 10 (10)56.062.6118.6-6.630%40%
Last 5 (5)48.063.0111.0-15.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)55.462.8118.2-7.527%32%
vs Similar ◀ (7)56.459.0115.4-2.643%14%
vs Weaker (1)56.068.0124.0-12.00%100%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
IND win
no forecast
@ 1.50
DAL win
no forecast
@ 2.75
1st half Spread Indiana Pacers -4 · main line
IND -4
no forecast
@ 1.96
DAL +4
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 123 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Indiana Pacers 1st half total 63 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
Dallas Mavericks 1st half total 59.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under
no forecast
@ 1.94
1st half: IND + total 123.5
IND & over
no forecast
@ 2.85
IND & under
no forecast
@ 2.85
1st half: Draw + total 123.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: DAL + total 123.5
DAL & over
no forecast
@ 5.25
DAL & under
no forecast
@ 5.25
1st half Over/Under 121.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 124.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.13
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Indiana Pacers -5
IND -5
no forecast
@ 2.14
DAL +5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Indiana Pacers -3
IND -3
no forecast
@ 1.79
DAL +3
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Spread Indiana Pacers -6
IND -6
no forecast
@ 2.33
DAL +6
no forecast
@ 1.64
1st half Spread Indiana Pacers -2
IND -2
no forecast
@ 1.68
DAL +2
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 119.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
IND
no forecast
@ 1.53
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
DAL
no forecast
@ 2.88

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
IND win + total 240.5
🔒 Pro
DAL win + total 240.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: IND leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DAL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.327.8
56.4%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.2
35.9%
34.9%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
76.4%17.0
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.127.8
53.4%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.813.3
34.3%
34.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws28.623.5
82.2%
76.4%23.5
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WLLLWLLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWLWLLLW
#25
League position
#21
-1.2
Net rating
-4.4
101.8
Offensive rating
105.1
103.1
Defensive rating
109.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
12.5%
8.7%
Off. rebound %
7.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.9%
3-point %
34.3%
74.3%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 105.1Defence103.1 · 109.5Shooting55.3% · 52.5%3-point %35.9% · 34.3%Ball care15.7% · 12.5%Off. rebounds8.7% · 7.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indiana Pacers wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans123-120
16/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks127-128 OT
14/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder112-114 OT
10/10/26HAtlanta Hawks117-119
07/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
12/04/26HDetroit Pistons121-133
10/04/26HPhiladelphia 76ers94-105
09/04/26ABrooklyn Nets123-94
07/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves104-124
05/04/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26AHouston Rockets110-128
17/10/26HAtlanta Hawks111-135
15/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans97-101
11/10/26AHouston Rockets132-115
09/10/26HHouston Rockets117-135
13/04/26HChicago Bulls149-128
11/04/26ASan Antonio Spurs120-139
09/04/26APhoenix Suns107-112
08/04/26ALos Angeles Clippers103-116
05/04/26HLos Angeles Lakers134-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game120.4122.3117.5
Allowed / game118.6119.7117.0
Point differential+1.8+2.7+0.5
Avg total239.0242.0234.5
Over 24040%33%50%
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %40%33%50%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game113.4108.3121.0
Allowed / game122.8123.7121.5
Point differential-9.4-15.3-0.5
Avg total236.2232.0242.5
Over 24060%67%50%
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atlanta Hawks65183%124.2118.5+5.7
2 Boston Celtics54180%124.0110.6+13.4
3 Memphis Grizzlies54180%118.6109.2+9.4
4 Detroit Pistons54180%119.0113.0+6.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers43175%118.8106.8+12.0
6 Houston Rockets43175%123.5112.0+11.5
7 Los Angeles Clippers43175%113.2105.2+8.0
8 Brooklyn Nets53260%120.0114.8+5.2
9 Orlando Magic53260%124.0120.0+4.0
10 Washington Wizards53260%116.2114.2+2.0
11 New Orleans Pelicans53260%112.4112.8-0.4
12 Utah Jazz53260%111.2112.4-1.2
13 Golden State Warriors74357%112.6109.3+3.3
14 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%118.3116.4+1.9
15 Chicago Bulls74357%119.1119.1+0.0
16 Toronto Raptors63350%124.5112.7+11.8
17 Miami Heat63350%124.3123.8+0.5
18 Los Angeles Lakers63350%110.2110.7-0.5
19 Denver Nuggets63350%110.3111.2-0.8
20 Philadelphia 76ers63350%112.3114.3-2.0
21 Oklahoma City Thunder73443%108.7110.4-1.7
22 Indiana Pacers52340%120.4118.6+1.8
23 Charlotte Hornets52340%99.2109.4-10.2
24 San Antonio Spurs62433%112.7110.0+2.7
25 Milwaukee Bucks72529%112.6122.7-10.1
26 Cleveland Cavaliers41325%113.5118.8-5.2
27 Dallas Mavericks51420%113.4122.8-9.4
28 Phoenix Suns61517%104.7116.2-11.5
29 New York Knicks61517%105.0121.2-16.2
30 Sacramento Kings6060%101.7118.2-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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