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Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-124
27-35 26-28 24-39 27-22
Position#29
Record20-62
FormLWWLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game120.9
vs
Position#10
Record47-36
FormLWLLL
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game114.6
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Jan 2027
IND v MIN
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
IND123
MIN112
07 Apr 2026
IND104
MIN124
24 Mar 2025
IND119
MIN103
14 Jul 2024
IND94
MIN105
07 Mar 2024
IND111
MIN113
23 Nov 2022
IND101
MIN115
13 Feb 2022
IND120
MIN129
07 Apr 2021
IND141
MIN137
17 Jan 2020
IND116
MIN114
15 Oct 2019
IND111
MIN119
28 Feb 2019
IND122
MIN115
31 Dec 2017
IND90
MIN107
28 Mar 2017
IND114
MIN115
13 Nov 2015
IND107
MIN103
13 Jan 2015
IND101
MIN110
07 Oct 2014
IND103
MIN90
25 Nov 2013
IND98
MIN84
13 Mar 2013
IND107
MIN91
12 Oct 2012
IND96
MIN91
16 Apr 2012
IND111
MIN88
11 Feb 2011
IND116
MIN105
13 Oct 2010
IND98
MIN86
02 Jan 2010
IND122
MIN111
03 Feb 2009
IND111
MIN116
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Indiana Pacers
4.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 112.6
121.8▲ 9.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 118.1
120.8▲ 2.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
62%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 27.0
35.2▲ 8.2
🔥 Form · Minnesota Timberwolves
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.3
106.0▼ 9.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 111.9
110.6▼ 1.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
53%▼ 6%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.6
23.6▼ 2.0
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
110-136
110
136
-26
A17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
119-127
119
127
-8
H18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
119-134
119
134
-15
A22/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
130-137
130
137
-7
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
113-114
113
114
-1
H27/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
135-118
135
118
+17
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
145-126
145
126
+19
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
108-129
108
129
-21
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-117
108
117
-9
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-38
30-34
27-33
19-31
33-37
29-42
24-26
33-22
29-42
24-24
32-34
34-34
34-24
25-40
44-31
25-31
28-45
31-30
26-30
45-32
42-21
18-29
28-36
25-28
34-36
45-39
29-32
27-11
39-33
44-33
34-26
28-34
24-38
26-31
32-31
26-29
32-31
26-24
33-35
17-27
247.9Avg total
121.5Scored
126.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)112.7120.9233.5-8.224%
Season at home (40)114.3118.8233.0-4.530%
Season away (42)111.2122.9234.0-11.719%
Last 10 (10)121.5126.4247.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)121.8120.8242.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)115.6125.8241.4-10.220%
vs Similar (10)117.2122.2239.4-5.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-111
147
111
+36
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-108
104
108
-4
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
87-109
87
109
-22
H28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
124-94
124
94
+30
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
108-113
108
113
-5
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
103-115
103
115
-12
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
108-122
108
122
-14
H05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-39
28-24
28-23
24-18
43-31
29-27
38-26
37-27
28-33
31-35
27-19
18-21
14-23
33-21
29-33
26-15
23-19
21-24
26-25
25-27
24-33
20-16
16-25
27-35
35-23
21-23
38-25
30-23
31-30
23-24
26-25
28-34
17-19
30-22
24-42
32-32
21-29
39-26
19-34
29-33
218.5Avg total
110.9Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)117.5114.6232.0+2.957%
Season at home (41)114.8111.3226.1+3.561%
Season away (42)120.0117.8237.8+2.352%
Last 10 (10)110.9107.6218.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)106.0110.6216.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)104.6108.2212.8-3.640%
vs Similar (18)113.7116.2229.9-2.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)126.3113.7240.0+12.671%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
Indiana PacersMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A22/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#12
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H27/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A03/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A05/04
NBA
129.8Avg total
62.7Scored
67.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.963.8122.6-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.267.1128.2-5.923%-
Last 30 away (17)57.161.2118.4-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)62.767.1129.8-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)66.063.0129.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)58.165.8123.9-7.725%-
vs Similar (10)60.459.6120.0+0.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/04
NBA
106.8Avg total
54.7Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.554.6112.0+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.356.5115.8+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)55.452.4107.7+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)54.752.1106.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)52.249.0101.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.248.8101.0+3.460%-
vs Similar (18)56.855.5112.3+1.361%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)62.956.3119.1+6.671%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 121.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.129.4
57.5%
54.8%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.616.3
43.4%
35.8%48.9
🏀 Free throws16.713.8
82.6%
78.1%13.8
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.928.2
50.4%
54.8%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.212.5
34.5%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
78.1%17.0
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLWWLLWLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWLWWLWW
#29
League position
#10
-4.7
Net rating
+3.1
115.5
Offensive rating
105.6
120.2
Defensive rating
102.5
60.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
12.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
11.6%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
43.4%
3-point %
34.5%
74.8%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 105.6Defence120.2 · 102.5Shooting60.7% · 51.0%3-point %43.4% · 34.5%Ball care12.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds11.6% · 29.2%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-117
03/04/26ACharlotte Hornets108-129
02/04/26AChicago Bulls145-126
29/03/26HMiami Heat135-118
27/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers113-114
25/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers130-137
23/03/26AOrlando Magic128-126
22/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs119-134
18/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-127
17/03/26ANew York Knicks110-136
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26HCharlotte Hornets108-122
03/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers103-115
02/04/26ADetroit Pistons108-113
31/03/26ADallas Mavericks124-94
28/03/26HDetroit Pistons87-109
26/03/26HHouston Rockets110-108 OT
23/03/26ABoston Celtics102-92
21/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers104-108
19/03/26HUtah Jazz147-111
18/03/26HPhoenix Suns116-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL24%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLWWLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824042
Win %24%30%19%
Points / game112.7114.3111.2
Allowed / game120.9118.8122.9
Point differential-8.2-4.5-11.7
Avg total233.5233.0234.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (23)38% (13)60% (10)
Overtime %4%2%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL57%
HomeWLWLL61%
AwayLWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %57%61%52%
Points / game117.5114.8120.0
Allowed / game114.6111.3117.8
Point differential+2.9+3.5+2.3
Avg total232.0226.1237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%37%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (24)54% (13)27% (11)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder82651779%118.4107.8+10.6
2 San Antonio Spurs81621977%120.0111.3+8.6
3 Detroit Pistons83592471%117.2109.7+7.5
4 Boston Celtics82562668%114.8107.0+7.9
5 New York Knicks82532965%116.0109.9+6.1
6 Houston Rockets82532965%115.6110.5+5.1
7 Denver Nuggets84543064%121.0116.5+4.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers83513261%119.3115.4+3.8
9 Los Angeles Lakers83513261%115.7114.9+0.8
10 Phoenix Suns81463557%113.3110.7+2.6
11 Orlando Magic81463557%116.0114.9+1.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves83473657%117.5114.6+2.9
13 Toronto Raptors83473657%114.5112.1+2.4
14 Atlanta Hawks83473657%118.4116.1+2.3
15 Charlotte Hornets84453954%116.7111.8+4.9
16 Philadelphia 76ers83443953%115.4116.3-0.9
17 Los Angeles Clippers81423952%113.6112.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat83414249%120.2118.6+1.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers83414249%115.9116.6-0.7
20 Golden State Warriors83394447%114.9115.1-0.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks82344841%111.0116.5-5.6
22 Chicago Bulls83325139%116.4121.5-5.1
23 Dallas Mavericks82285434%113.9118.5-4.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies84265831%115.1120.5-5.4
25 New Orleans Pelicans81255631%115.1119.6-4.5
26 Utah Jazz83226127%117.4126.0-8.7
27 Sacramento Kings83226127%111.0121.1-10.1
28 Brooklyn Nets81206125%106.7115.9-9.3
29 Indiana Pacers82206224%112.7120.9-8.2
30 Washington Wizards81186322%112.9124.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers27262427104
Minnesota Timberwolves35283922124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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