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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 112-107
33-29 28-24 27-27 24-27
Position#16
Record43-35
FormWLLWL
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game111.1
vs
Position#24
Record25-54
FormLLLWL
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game119.4
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
27 Nov 2026
PHX v DAL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
PHX112
DAL107
10 Feb 2026
PHX120
DAL111
27 Dec 2024
PHX89
DAL98
26 Oct 2024
PHX114
DAL102
25 Dec 2023
PHX114
DAL128
26 Jan 2023
PHX95
DAL99
19 Oct 2022
PHX107
DAL105
15 May 2022
PHX90
DAL123
10 May 2022
PHX110
DAL80
04 May 2022
PHX129
DAL109
02 May 2022
PHX121
DAL114
19 Nov 2021
PHX112
DAL104
17 Nov 2021
PHX105
DAL98
23 Dec 2020
PHX106
DAL102
13 Aug 2020
PHX128
DAL102
02 Aug 2020
PHX117
DAL115
29 Nov 2019
PHX113
DAL120
13 Dec 2018
PHX99
DAL89
17 Oct 2018
PHX121
DAL100
31 Jan 2018
PHX102
DAL88
09 Apr 2017
PHX124
DAL111
12 Jan 2017
PHX108
DAL113
28 Oct 2015
PHX95
DAL111
22 Mar 2015
PHX98
DAL92
23 Dec 2014
PHX124
DAL115
17 Jan 2014
PHX107
DAL110
21 Dec 2013
PHX123
DAL108
01 Feb 2013
PHX99
DAL109
06 Dec 2012
PHX94
DAL97
08 Mar 2012
PHX96
DAL94
30 Jan 2012
PHX99
DAL122
27 Mar 2011
PHX83
DAL91
17 Feb 2011
PHX106
DAL112
28 Jan 2010
PHX112
DAL106
10 Mar 2009
PHX117
DAL122
09 Jan 2009
PHX128
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-101
100
101
-1
92avg 102
A20/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
105-108
105
108
-3
93avg 102
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
120-98
120
98
+22
114avg 102
H23/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
123-125
123
125
-2
110avg 102
H25/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
134-109
134
109
+25
129avg 102
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-105
131
105
+26
126avg 102
A31/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
111-115
111
115
-4
98avg 102
A31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
107-127
107
127
-20
90avg 102
A02/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
120-110
120
110
+10
110avg 102
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-119
105
119
-14
91avg 102
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
33-28
20-21
21-28
26-15
26-42
30-24
23-27
34-20
32-28
31-21
23-29
35-28
22-39
38-30
28-28
39-21
34-24
35-38
26-26
34-31
31-30
26-28
40-16
21-28
35-42
38-24
17-21
41-33
19-33
27-36
20-25
30-30
33-26
23-28
34-26
37-21
20-33
27-27
21-38
227.3Avg total
115.6Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)113.1111.1224.2+2.155%
Season at home (40)112.0108.5220.4+3.560%
Season away (38)114.3113.8228.1+0.550%
Last 10 (10)115.6111.7227.3+3.940%
Last 5 (5)114.8115.2230.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)99.2115.0214.2-15.80%
vs Similar (15)108.1112.3220.5-4.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)119.7108.9228.6+10.880%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
120-135
120
135
-15
115avg 103
H19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
131-138 OT
131
138
-7
117avg 103
H22/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
131-137 OT
131
137
-6
119avg 103
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
135-142
135
142
-7
125avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
100-93
100
93
+7
89avg 103
A28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
94-124
94
124
-30
76avg 103
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
99-123
99
123
-24
72avg 103
A01/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
127-138
127
138
-11
112avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
134-128
134
128
+6
122avg 103
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
103-116
103
116
-13
84avg 103
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
26-30
26-34
38-34
42-32
30-31
27-37
23-22
31-34
42-29
25-35
28-28
33-34
26-34
41-43
35-31
32-22
24-29
23-25
21-17
23-35
23-21
25-38
23-30
31-38
20-27
19-25
29-33
31-38
27-33
34-40
35-27
41-30
26-31
40-36
27-31
26-39
29-26
29-24
19-27
244.8Avg total
117.4Scored
127.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)113.7119.4233.1-5.732%
Season at home (40)115.5119.7235.2-4.138%
Season away (39)111.8119.1230.9-7.326%
Last 10 (10)117.4127.4244.8-10.020%
Last 5 (5)111.4125.8237.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)112.1124.2236.3-12.013%
vs Similar (5)113.8123.6237.4-9.840%
vs Weaker (2)122.0122.0244.0+0.050%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Phoenix SunsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A20/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H23/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H25/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A31/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A02/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H08/04
NBA
118.4Avg total
60.8Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.957.6114.5-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.754.2107.9-0.535%-
Last 30 away (13)61.062.1123.1-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)60.857.6118.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)60.261.4121.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.460.6114.0-7.220%-
vs Similar (15)55.058.1113.1-3.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)61.455.5116.9+5.970%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H22/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H24/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A01/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H04/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A08/04
NBA
122.3Avg total
59.3Scored
63.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.363.3120.6-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.563.7120.2-7.225%-
Last 30 away (18)57.963.0120.9-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)59.363.0122.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)55.463.6119.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)56.763.0119.7-6.426%-
vs Similar (5)57.063.2120.2-6.240%-
vs Weaker (2)66.066.0132.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.627.9
55.1%
54.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.814.5
35.5%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
78.1%16.3
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.230.5
51.5%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.0
33.6%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws29.923.4
78.3%
78.1%23.4
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWLLWWLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLLWLLLL
#16
League position
#24
+3.8
Net rating
-9.0
113.1
Offensive rating
105.8
109.3
Defensive rating
114.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
12.5%
Turnover %
11.5%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
12.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.5%
3-point %
33.6%
59.7%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 105.8Defence109.3 · 114.8Shooting54.3% · 51.1%3-point %35.5% · 33.6%Ball care12.5% · 11.5%Off. rebounds35.8% · 12.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Phoenix Suns wins
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HHouston Rockets105-119
05/04/26AChicago Bulls120-110
02/04/26ACharlotte Hornets107-127
31/03/26AOrlando Magic111-115
31/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies131-105
29/03/26HUtah Jazz134-109
25/03/26HDenver Nuggets123-125
23/03/26HToronto Raptors120-98
22/03/26HMilwaukee Bucks105-108
20/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs100-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26ALos Angeles Clippers103-116
05/04/26HLos Angeles Lakers134-128
04/04/26HOrlando Magic127-138
01/04/26AMilwaukee Bucks99-123
31/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves94-124
28/03/26APortland Trail Blazers100-93
26/03/26ADenver Nuggets135-142
24/03/26HGolden State Warriors131-137 OT
22/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers131-138 OT
19/03/26HAtlanta Hawks120-135

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game113.1112.0114.3
Allowed / game111.1108.5113.8
Point differential+2.1+3.5+0.5
Avg total224.2220.4228.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (25)56% (16)22% (9)
Overtime %3%2%3%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLWLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %32%38%26%
Points / game113.7115.5111.8
Allowed / game119.4119.7119.1
Point differential-5.7-4.1-7.3
Avg total233.1235.2230.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)56% (9)38% (8)
Overtime %8%12%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder77621581%119.2107.5+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs78591976%119.6111.1+8.4
3 Detroit Pistons80582272%117.6109.6+8.0
4 Boston Celtics79542568%114.6106.9+7.7
5 Denver Nuggets80522865%121.9117.0+4.9
6 Los Angeles Lakers78502864%116.3115.1+1.1
7 Cleveland Cavaliers80512964%119.6115.3+4.3
8 New York Knicks77492864%116.6110.4+6.3
9 Houston Rockets79502963%114.8109.9+4.9
10 Minnesota Timberwolves80473359%117.6114.3+3.3
11 Toronto Raptors78443456%114.6111.8+2.8
12 Atlanta Hawks80453556%118.4115.9+2.5
13 Phoenix Suns78433555%113.1111.1+2.1
14 Orlando Magic78433555%115.6115.2+0.5
15 Philadelphia 76ers79433654%116.1116.5-0.4
16 Charlotte Hornets80433754%116.3111.3+5.0
17 Miami Heat78413753%120.6118.5+2.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers79413852%114.0112.4+1.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers80404050%115.4116.1-0.7
20 Golden State Warriors79374247%114.8115.0-0.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks80314939%110.5116.8-6.3
22 Chicago Bulls79304938%116.3121.3-5.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans80265432%115.4119.6-4.2
24 Dallas Mavericks79255432%113.7119.4-5.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies80255531%115.0120.2-5.2
26 Utah Jazz80215926%117.3126.3-8.9
27 Sacramento Kings80215926%110.8121.0-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets79205925%106.1115.5-9.3
29 Indiana Pacers79186123%112.4120.8-8.4
30 Washington Wizards79176222%112.9124.7-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns33282724112
Dallas Mavericks29242727107
← all games of the day
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