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Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 114-109
28-32 25-26 29-30 32-21
Position#29
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game123.6
vs
Position#20
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Golden State Warriors
16 Dec 2026
IND v GSW
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
IND114
GSW109
10 Jan 2025
IND108
GSW96
08 Feb 2024
IND109
GSW131
14 Dec 2022
IND125
GSW119
13 Dec 2021
IND100
GSW102
24 Feb 2021
IND107
GSW111
18 Mar 2020
IND v GSW
upcoming
28 Jan 2019
IND100
GSW132
05 Apr 2018
IND126
GSW106
21 Nov 2016
IND83
GSW120
08 Dec 2015
IND123
GSW131
22 Feb 2015
IND104
GSW98
04 Mar 2014
IND96
GSW98
26 Feb 2013
IND108
GSW97
28 Feb 2012
IND102
GSW78
01 Mar 2011
IND109
GSW100
11 Nov 2009
IND108
GSW94
17 Dec 2008
IND127
GSW120
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
116-107
116
107
+9
108avg 110
H12/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
104-111
104
111
-7
90avg 110
H14/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
109-120
109
120
-11
105avg 110
A17/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
108-91
108
91
+17
95avg 110
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
91-103
91
103
-12
85avg 110
A23/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
118avg 110
H23/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
103-128
103
128
-25
92avg 110
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
110-114
110
114
-4
100avg 110
A26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
105-107
105
107
-2
82avg 110
A30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-128
108
128
-20
90avg 110
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
40-28
20-29
32-18
35-34
25-23
27-23
17-31
22-32
23-27
34-28
30-33
28-25
36-17
26-18
18-31
22-25
26-22
20-34
23-22
25-22
22-32
31-27
35-32
21-23
31-37
32-43
19-25
28-28
32-30
17-28
33-28
30-25
25-27
19-29
31-26
29-32
30-31
17-34
32-31
223.9Avg total
108.9Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)112.2123.6235.8-11.40%
Season at home (2)121.5134.5256.0-13.00%
Season away (3)106.0116.3222.3-10.30%
Last 10 (10)108.9115.0223.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)112.2123.6235.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)113.3114.8228.1-1.550%
vs Similar (14)115.2114.6229.9+0.657%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-121
110
121
-11
94avg 105
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
89-84
89
84
+5
98avg 105
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
79avg 105
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 105
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-109
119
109
+10
119avg 105
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
137-131 OT
137
131
+6
130avg 105
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
119-139
119
139
-20
112avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-118
131
118
+13
133avg 105
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
91avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
110-120
110
120
-10
103avg 105
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
24-32
25-31
38-28
11-19
28-24
30-17
20-24
13-21
33-24
22-24
20-21
22-23
14-25
21-22
22-23
28-22
27-32
35-25
29-30
27-31
34-39
33-24
26-26
28-28
28-41
35-34
28-36
36-37
29-24
36-24
30-33
33-25
13-24
32-14
20-16
25-34
33-26
26-27
26-33
216.4Avg total
108.0Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)119.0116.0235.0+3.067%
Season at home (3)122.0109.3231.3+12.7100%
Season away (3)116.0122.7238.7-6.733%
Last 10 (10)108.0108.4216.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)119.0117.4236.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)101.7102.7204.3-1.067%
vs Similar (22)107.8108.2216.0-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)117.6106.6224.2+11.060%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
Indiana PacersGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H12/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H14/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A17/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A23/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H23/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H31/10
NBA
110.6Avg total
55.4Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.455.7111.0-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.254.7113.9+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)52.056.5108.5-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)55.455.2110.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)54.657.4112.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.256.1110.3-1.844%-
vs Similar (14)56.655.2111.9+1.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A31/10
NBA
107.0Avg total
50.9Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.552.9105.5-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.953.4105.3-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)53.252.4105.6+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)50.956.1107.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)57.261.8119.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.353.799.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (22)52.153.2105.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)58.651.2109.8+7.460%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.125.1
48.2%
54.8%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.812.4
32.8%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws29.021.5
74.1%
78.1%21.5
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.5
54.5%
54.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.0
36.1%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws25.321.0
83.0%
78.1%21.0
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LLLLLLWLLW
Golden State Warriors
LWWLWWLLWL
#29
League position
#20
-5.9
Net rating
+0.2
105.0
Offensive rating
110.1
110.9
Defensive rating
109.9
48.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.8%
3-point %
36.1%
58.9%
Assist %
66.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 110.1Defence110.9 · 109.9Shooting48.6% · 54.3%3-point %32.8% · 36.1%Ball care14.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds26.4% · 25.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25HAtlanta Hawks108-128
30/10/25ADallas Mavericks105-107
26/10/25AMinnesota Timberwolves110-114
26/10/25AMemphis Grizzlies103-128
23/10/25HOklahoma City Thunder135-141 OT
23/06/25AOklahoma City Thunder91-103
20/06/25HOklahoma City Thunder108-91
17/06/25AOklahoma City Thunder109-120
14/06/25HOklahoma City Thunder104-111
12/06/25HOklahoma City Thunder116-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25AMilwaukee Bucks110-120
29/10/25HLos Angeles Clippers98-79
28/10/25HMemphis Grizzlies131-118
25/10/25APortland Trail Blazers119-139
24/10/25HDenver Nuggets137-131 OT
22/10/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-109
08/07/25HMiami Heat79-93
06/07/25HSan Antonio Spurs88-90
05/07/25HLos Angeles Lakers89-84
15/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves110-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game112.2121.5106.0
Allowed / game123.6134.5116.3
Point differential-11.4-13.0-10.3
Avg total235.8256.0222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game119.0122.0116.0
Allowed / game116.0109.3122.7
Point differential+3.0+12.7-6.7
Avg total235.0231.3238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs550100%118.2103.8+14.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder660100%119.7110.3+9.3
3 Chicago Bulls550100%122.8114.0+8.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers54180%125.0120.8+4.2
5 Milwaukee Bucks64267%123.7118.3+5.3
6 Portland Trail Blazers64267%121.2116.7+4.5
7 Golden State Warriors64267%119.0116.0+3.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers64267%117.5116.3+1.2
9 Denver Nuggets53260%124.0111.8+12.2
10 Miami Heat53260%125.4114.0+11.4
11 Detroit Pistons53260%115.0114.2+0.8
12 Los Angeles Clippers53260%111.2112.0-0.8
13 Houston Rockets42250%127.8117.5+10.2
14 Boston Celtics63350%113.3107.3+6.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers63350%113.7114.7-1.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves63350%115.5116.7-1.2
17 Atlanta Hawks63350%116.2118.3-2.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies63350%119.0122.0-3.0
19 Utah Jazz52340%120.2120.2+0.0
20 New York Knicks52340%113.4115.4-2.0
21 Dallas Mavericks52340%107.8115.4-7.6
22 Charlotte Hornets62433%120.8124.0-3.2
23 Toronto Raptors62433%119.8123.3-3.5
24 Orlando Magic62433%115.5120.0-4.5
25 Sacramento Kings62433%115.0119.5-4.5
26 Phoenix Suns62433%116.3121.0-4.7
27 Washington Wizards51420%118.4129.0-10.6
28 Indiana Pacers5050%112.2123.6-11.4
29 Brooklyn Nets5050%113.8127.8-14.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans5050%108.0123.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers28252932114
Golden State Warriors32263021109
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