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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 137-131 (OT)
27-31 34-39 33-24 26-26 17-11
Position#20
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
103-89
103
89
+14
96avg 105
A05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
99-88
99
88
+11
95avg 105
A07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
93-117
93
117
-24
87avg 105
A09/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
97-102
97
102
-5
85avg 105
H11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
95avg 105
H13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-121
110
121
-11
94avg 105
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
89-84
89
84
+5
98avg 105
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
79avg 105
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 105
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-109
119
109
+10
119avg 105
A22/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
28-20
19-23
33-27
18-20
26-11
36-29
19-28
15-29
24-27
26-29
28-32
21-21
21-19
31-29
24-33
28-27
32-31
17-39
33-20
23-30
24-32
25-31
38-28
11-19
28-24
30-17
20-24
13-21
33-24
22-24
20-21
22-23
14-25
21-22
22-23
28-22
27-32
35-25
29-30
199.7Avg total
98.7Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)119.0109.0228.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)119.0109.0228.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)98.7101.0199.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)97.099.4196.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)84.088.5172.5-4.550%
vs Similar (21)106.7108.3215.0-1.648%
vs Weaker (7)119.7104.9224.6+14.971%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
131-115
131
115
+16
127avg 114
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-111
105
111
-6
99avg 114
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-101
120
101
+19
113avg 114
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-119
121
119
+2
113avg 114
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
106-149
106
149
-43
87avg 114
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
109avg 114
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
73avg 114
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-112
105
112
-7
91avg 114
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-107
119
107
+12
118avg 114
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
93-125
93
125
-32
83avg 114
A18/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
32-36
32-24
32-32
28-25
29-33
22-32
26-21
21-26
37-21
35-19
27-35
26-27
24-33
35-30
36-29
21-45
35-42
20-37
30-25
22-28
29-28
29-27
22-19
8-17
28-25
33-21
18-29
28-27
28-27
30-24
19-34
31-28
27-33
32-21
29-25
26-21
20-39
26-37
21-28
223.5Avg total
110.0Scored
113.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.0113.5223.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)103.4108.0211.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (18)115.6114.2229.8+1.361%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)117.2117.8235.0-0.620%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A09/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A22/10
NBA
93.5Avg total
45.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.452.1104.5+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.952.5104.4-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)52.951.8104.6+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)45.947.693.5-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.650.495.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.545.583.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (21)51.752.9104.5-1.252%-
vs Weaker (7)58.951.7110.6+7.157%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A18/05
NBA
111.9Avg total
53.5Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.358.6115.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.157.3115.4+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)56.460.1116.6-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)53.558.4111.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)49.454.6104.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (18)58.858.0116.8+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)61.459.0120.4+2.460%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.0
50.6%
54.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.0
34.9%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.218.7
80.6%
78.1%18.7
They take 77.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.826.5
52.2%
54.8%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.612.6
34.4%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.519.2
78.4%
78.1%19.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLLWLLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLWWLW
#20
League position
#6
-1.8
Net rating
-3.5
105.7
Offensive rating
109.2
107.5
Defensive rating
112.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
34.4%
62.9%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 109.2Defence107.5 · 112.7Shooting51.3% · 51.9%3-point %34.9% · 34.4%Ball care16.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds27.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-109
08/07/25HMiami Heat79-93
06/07/25HSan Antonio Spurs88-90
05/07/25HLos Angeles Lakers89-84
15/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves110-121
13/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves110-117
11/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves97-102
09/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves93-117
07/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves99-88
05/05/25AHouston Rockets103-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder93-125
16/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder119-107
14/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-112
11/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder87-92
10/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder113-104 OT
08/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder106-149
06/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-119
03/05/25HLos Angeles Clippers120-101
02/05/25ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
30/04/25HLos Angeles Clippers131-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game119.0-119.0
Allowed / game109.0-109.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total228.0-228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs110100%125.092.0+33.0
2 Utah Jazz110100%129.0108.0+21.0
3 Toronto Raptors110100%138.0118.0+20.0
4 Charlotte Hornets110100%136.0117.0+19.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks110100%133.0120.0+13.0
6 Golden State Warriors110100%119.0109.0+10.0
7 New York Knicks110100%119.0111.0+8.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies110100%128.0122.0+6.0
9 Chicago Bulls110100%115.0111.0+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves110100%118.0114.0+4.0
11 Orlando Magic110100%125.0121.0+4.0
12 Phoenix Suns110100%120.0116.0+4.0
13 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%133.0129.5+3.5
14 Philadelphia 76ers110100%117.0116.0+1.0
15 Boston Celtics1010%116.0117.0-1.0
16 Houston Rockets1010%124.0125.0-1.0
17 Detroit Pistons1010%111.0115.0-4.0
18 Miami Heat1010%121.0125.0-4.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers1010%114.0118.0-4.0
20 Sacramento Kings1010%116.0120.0-4.0
21 Indiana Pacers1010%135.0141.0-6.0
22 New Orleans Pelicans1010%122.0128.0-6.0
23 Cleveland Cavaliers1010%111.0119.0-8.0
24 Los Angeles Lakers1010%109.0119.0-10.0
25 Washington Wizards1010%120.0133.0-13.0
26 Brooklyn Nets1010%117.0136.0-19.0
27 Atlanta Hawks1010%118.0138.0-20.0
28 Los Angeles Clippers1010%108.0129.0-21.0
29 Dallas Mavericks1010%92.0125.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 29 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Golden State Warriors2734332617137
Denver Nuggets3139242611131
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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