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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 May 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 121-110
30-23 32-24 31-25 28-38
Position#7
Record56-35
FormWLWWW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#11
Record54-39
FormWWLLL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game110.1
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors
02 Apr 2027
MIN v GSW
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
MIN114
GSW119
26 Jan 2026
MIN108
GSW83
25 Jan 2026
MIN85
GSW111
14 May 2025
MIN121
GSW110
08 May 2025
MIN117
GSW93
06 May 2025
MIN88
GSW99
15 Jan 2025
MIN115
GSW116
21 Dec 2024
MIN103
GSW113
24 Mar 2024
MIN114
GSW110
01 Feb 2023
MIN119
GSW114
27 Nov 2022
MIN114
GSW137
01 Mar 2022
MIN129
GSW114
16 Jan 2022
MIN119
GSW99
29 Apr 2021
MIN126
GSW114
02 Jan 2020
MIN99
GSW84
08 Nov 2019
MIN125
GSW119
29 Mar 2019
MIN131
GSW130
19 Mar 2019
MIN107
GSW117
11 Mar 2018
MIN109
GSW103
10 Mar 2017
MIN103
GSW102
11 Dec 2016
MIN108
GSW116
21 Mar 2016
MIN104
GSW109
12 Nov 2015
MIN116
GSW129
11 Feb 2015
MIN91
GSW94
08 Dec 2014
MIN86
GSW102
06 Nov 2013
MIN93
GSW106
24 Feb 2013
MIN99
GSW100
16 Nov 2012
MIN98
GSW106
22 Apr 2012
MIN88
GSW93
04 Apr 2012
MIN94
GSW97
27 Feb 2011
MIN126
GSW123
27 Nov 2010
MIN94
GSW104
07 Apr 2010
MIN107
GSW116
06 Jan 2010
MIN101
GSW107
03 Mar 2009
MIN94
GSW118
02 Jan 2009
MIN115
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
116-105
116
105
+11
107avg 106
H13/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
117-95
117
95
+22
116avg 106
A20/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
85-94
85
94
-9
66avg 106
A23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
116-104
116
104
+12
103avg 106
H26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
116-113
116
113
+3
103avg 106
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
103-96
103
96
+7
96avg 106
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
74avg 106
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-93
117
93
+24
114avg 106
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 106
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-110
117
110
+7
110avg 106
A13/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
20-25
40-28
26-28
21-28
38-20
35-30
23-17
15-34
28-24
22-23
20-13
32-26
22-32
32-26
30-20
28-32
33-26
23-36
32-19
31-22
28-27
22-31
22-16
20-18
11-26
29-36
28-19
29-15
27-24
29-26
32-28
21-21
19-21
29-31
33-24
27-28
31-32
39-17
20-33
208.3Avg total
107.7Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)113.5108.4221.9+5.262%
Season at home (45)115.2108.1223.3+7.162%
Season away (46)112.0108.7220.6+3.361%
Last 10 (10)107.7100.6208.3+7.180%
Last 5 (5)105.499.0204.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)113.5107.8221.3+5.769%
vs Weaker (14)120.4105.5225.9+14.993%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
94-109
94
109
-15
80avg 107
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 107
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
109-106
109
106
+3
98avg 107
H29/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
116-131
116
131
-15
100avg 107
A30/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
107-115
107
115
-8
96avg 107
H03/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
103-89
103
89
+14
96avg 107
A05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
99-88
99
88
+11
95avg 107
A07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
93-117
93
117
-24
87avg 107
A09/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
97-102
97
102
-5
85avg 107
H11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
95avg 107
H13/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
28-32
25-27
23-22
18-22
28-27
23-22
35-22
28-26
22-31
32-23
27-26
24-40
25-36
31-31
36-24
21-25
27-28
36-33
23-29
23-19
28-20
19-23
33-27
18-20
26-11
36-29
19-28
15-29
24-27
26-29
28-32
21-21
21-19
31-29
24-33
28-27
32-31
17-39
33-20
209.9Avg total
103.2Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)112.8110.1222.9+2.758%
Season at home (47)111.9110.0221.9+1.957%
Season away (46)113.7110.2223.8+3.559%
Last 10 (10)103.2106.7209.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)100.4102.6203.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)107.3107.3214.5+0.055%
vs Weaker (8)121.0106.8227.8+14.275%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H13/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A20/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/05
NBA
101.6Avg total
51.1Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.152.5107.6+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.353.1109.5+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)53.951.9105.8+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)51.150.5101.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)48.846.895.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.653.0105.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker (14)58.151.9110.0+6.179%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H29/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A30/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/05
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A09/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H13/05
NBA
99.4Avg total
47.5Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.752.2106.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.053.4109.4+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)53.150.9104.0+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)47.551.999.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.892.0+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.752.5105.3+0.255%-
vs Weaker (8)60.051.4111.4+8.662%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.426.8
53.2%
54.3%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.312.3
33.9%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.5%
77.8%17.2
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.622.6
48.5%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.414.1
35.8%
35.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.7%
77.8%15.7
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLWWWLWW
Golden State Warriors
LLLWWLLWWL
#7
League position
#11
+7.5
Net rating
-3.7
113.5
Offensive rating
107.7
106.0
Defensive rating
111.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.9%
3-point %
35.8%
60.4%
Assist %
64.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 107.7Defence106.0 · 111.3Shooting52.2% · 50.9%3-point %33.9% · 35.8%Ball care13.1% · 13.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25AGolden State Warriors117-110
11/05/25AGolden State Warriors102-97
09/05/25HGolden State Warriors117-93
07/05/25HGolden State Warriors88-99
01/05/25ALos Angeles Lakers103-96
27/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers116-113
26/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers116-104
23/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers85-94
20/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers117-95
13/04/25HUtah Jazz116-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves110-117
11/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves97-102
09/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves93-117
07/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves99-88
05/05/25AHouston Rockets103-89
03/05/25HHouston Rockets107-115
30/04/25AHouston Rockets116-131
29/04/25HHouston Rockets109-106
27/04/25HHouston Rockets104-93
24/04/25AHouston Rockets94-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914546
Win %62%62%61%
Points / game113.5115.2112.0
Allowed / game108.4108.1108.7
Point differential+5.2+7.1+3.3
Avg total221.9223.3220.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (28)40% (15)69% (13)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL58%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934746
Win %58%57%59%
Points / game112.8111.9113.7
Allowed / game110.1110.0110.2
Point differential+2.7+1.9+3.5
Avg total222.9221.9223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%28%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (23)64% (14)44% (9)
Overtime %2%2%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder89731682%120.3107.4+12.9
2 Cleveland Cavaliers91692276%121.7111.9+9.7
3 Boston Celtics92672573%115.4106.2+9.2
4 New York Knicks92583463%114.8111.3+3.4
5 Indiana Pacers92583463%117.4114.8+2.6
6 Houston Rockets87543362%113.9109.5+4.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves91563562%113.5108.4+5.2
8 Denver Nuggets94563860%119.0116.1+2.9
9 Los Angeles Clippers89533660%112.5108.2+4.3
10 Los Angeles Lakers87513659%112.6111.9+0.7
11 Golden State Warriors93543958%112.8110.1+2.7
12 Memphis Grizzlies88493956%120.7116.9+3.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks85473855%115.3113.5+1.8
14 Detroit Pistons88464252%114.9113.2+1.7
15 Orlando Magic87434449%104.9105.4-0.5
16 Sacramento Kings83404348%115.6115.3+0.3
17 Dallas Mavericks83404348%114.3115.3-1.0
18 Atlanta Hawks82394348%118.2119.7-1.5
19 Chicago Bulls83394447%117.5119.2-1.8
20 Miami Heat88394944%110.0110.6-0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers82364644%110.9113.9-3.0
22 Phoenix Suns82364644%113.6116.6-3.0
23 San Antonio Spurs82344841%113.9116.7-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors82305237%110.9115.2-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets82265632%105.1112.2-7.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers82245829%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans82216126%109.8119.3-9.4
28 Charlotte Hornets82196323%105.1114.2-9.1
29 Washington Wizards82186422%108.0120.4-12.4
30 Utah Jazz82176521%111.9121.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30323128121
Golden State Warriors23242538110
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