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Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#98
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game57.2
vs
Position#115
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Iowa State v Arizona
02 Jan 2027
IOWA v ARIZ
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
IOWA84
ARIZ67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
W
91-42
91
42
+49
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A12/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A13/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H20/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H22/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H28/03
NCAA
Memphis
#142
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#228
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#407
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Niagara
#384
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-16
46-26
36-33
39-20
43-37
37-45
55-29
53-45
31-30
51-33
33-34
29-42
39-40
37-40
46-29
37-28
41-18
43-29
–
–
142.6Avg total
80.7Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.257.2134.5+20.075%
Season at home (4)77.257.2134.5+20.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.761.9142.6+18.870%
Last 5 (5)74.261.0135.2+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)69.074.0143.0-5.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)79.364.4143.7+14.974%
This opponent (Arizona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H14/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H20/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H23/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H27/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H29/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
73-91
73
91
-18
H05/04
NCAA
UCLA
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#240
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H06/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#378
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#155
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
35-38
53-29
39-29
33-24
45-42
54-43
55-45
31-38
48-26
32-48
41-43
29-43
46-41
59-41
45-43
46-22
44-37
36-32
44-37
159.6Avg total
85.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.274.0161.2+13.275%
Season at home (2)97.071.5168.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)77.576.5154.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.973.7159.6+12.280%
Last 5 (5)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar (6)76.772.8149.5+3.883%
vs Weaker (23)87.070.4157.4+16.591%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +6.1+6.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +6.1+6.1
Iowa StateArizona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
W
45-16
45
16
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A13/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H20/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H22/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H28/03
NCAA
Memphis
#142
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#228
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#407
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H11/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
41.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.131.270.3+8.072%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.730.772.4+10.978%-
Last 30 away (11)35.031.966.9+3.164%-
Last 10 (9)41.029.670.6+11.478%-
Last 5 (5)38.030.268.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.038.075.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.430.469.8+9.073%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H20/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H27/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H29/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H05/04
NCAA
UCLA
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#240
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#378
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#155
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A14/11
NCAA
77.3Avg total
41.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.034.075.0+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.632.774.3+8.974%-
Last 30 away (11)40.036.476.4+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.677.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.043.072.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.035.872.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker (23)42.633.275.7+9.474%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iowa State wins
3
Arizona wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Arizona v Iowa State82-80
03/03/26Arizona v Iowa State73-57
02/03/25Iowa State v Arizona84-67
28/01/25Arizona v Iowa State86-75 OT
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNiagara66-45
11/11/26HSouthern Univ.84-47
07/11/26HSouthern Miss83-57
03/11/26HMemphis76-80
28/03/26HTennessee62-76
22/03/26HKentucky82-63
20/03/26HTennessee State108-74
13/03/26AArizona80-82
12/03/26ATexas Tech75-53
11/03/26HArizona State91-42
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAuburn80-69
11/11/26HNorthern Arizona90-59
06/11/26HCal Poly104-84
03/11/26AUCLA75-84
05/04/26HMichigan73-91
29/03/26HPurdue79-64
27/03/26HArkansas109-88
23/03/26HUtah State78-66
20/03/26HLIU Sharks92-58
14/03/26HHouston79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game77.277.2-
Allowed / game57.257.2-
Point differential+20.0+20.0-
Avg total134.5134.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Arizona
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.297.077.5
Allowed / game74.071.576.5
Point differential+13.2+25.5+1.0
Avg total161.2168.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Iowa State43175%77.257.2+20.0
11 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
12 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
13 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
14 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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