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Iowa State vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:50
Final 108-74
55-29 53-45
Position#34
Record26-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game65.6
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
Tennessee State
USA
Position#51
Record23-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
91-42
91
42
+49
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A12/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
37-29
43-40
27-27
30-39
39-40
41-31
34-28
29-45
44-37
25-37
32-36
37-41
49-24
45-16
46-26
36-33
39-20
43-37
37-45
140.8Avg total
75.0Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.365.6146.9+15.776%
Season at home (19)86.861.7148.5+25.295%
Season away (15)74.370.6144.9+3.753%
Last 10 (10)75.065.8140.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)77.863.0140.8+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)69.074.0143.0-5.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)81.264.6145.8+16.681%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
44-38
43-27
40-29
29-37
44-34
41-37
45-57
42-42
47-38
40-26
40-27
33-38
46-33
35-21
32-21
36-28
32-27
55-34
38-33
145.2Avg total
79.5Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.573.3153.9+7.272%
Season at home (15)86.470.9157.3+15.587%
Season away (17)75.475.5150.8-0.159%
Last 10 (10)79.565.7145.2+13.890%
Last 5 (5)77.457.6135.0+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)77.073.4150.4+3.664%
vs Weaker (19)81.673.8155.4+7.779%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +7.1+7.1
Iowa StateTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
45-16
45
16
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A13/03
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.231.670.9+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.131.073.1+11.181%-
Last 30 away (14)35.932.468.3+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)36.634.671.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.870.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.038.075.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.530.970.4+8.674%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H08/03
NCAA
70.7Avg total
38.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.673.0+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.035.375.3+4.764%-
Last 30 away (16)35.235.871.0-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.070.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.829.469.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)36.036.672.6-0.636%-
vs Weaker (19)38.334.973.2+3.363%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iowa State wins
0
Tennessee State wins
No previous meetings.
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AArizona80-82
12/03/26ATexas Tech75-53
11/03/26HArizona State91-42
07/03/26HArizona State86-65
03/03/26AArizona57-73
28/02/26HTexas Tech73-82
25/02/26AUtah Utes75-59
22/02/26ABrigham Young69-79
17/02/26HHouston70-67
14/02/26HKansas74-56
Tennessee Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HMorehead State93-67
07/03/26HUT Martin68-55
28/02/26AUT Martin67-42
27/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State79-71
21/02/26HSiu Edwardsville80-53
20/02/26HLindenwood89-80
14/02/26AMorehead State86-94
13/02/26ASouthern Indiana73-71
07/02/26HWestern Illinois83-56
06/02/26HEastern Illinois77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL76%
HomeWWLWW95%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %76%95%53%
Points / game81.386.874.3
Allowed / game65.661.770.6
Point differential+15.7+25.2+3.7
Avg total146.9148.5144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%79%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %72%87%59%
Points / game80.586.475.4
Allowed / game73.370.975.5
Point differential+7.2+15.5-0.1
Avg total153.9157.3150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3533294%86.368.5+17.8
2 Houston3529683%77.262.4+14.8
3 Iowa State3426876%81.365.6+15.7
4 Texas Tech33231070%80.772.6+8.2
5 Kansas33231070%75.669.4+6.2
6 TCU34231168%77.971.8+6.1
7 Brigham Young35231266%83.575.4+8.1
8 UCF Knights32211166%81.078.5+2.5
9 Oklahoma State33191458%84.382.9+1.4
10 West Virginia32181456%69.264.8+4.4
11 Cincinnati33181555%73.167.6+5.5
12 Colorado32171553%80.079.4+0.5
13 Arizona State33171652%76.378.3-2.0
14 Baylor32161650%82.677.2+5.4
15 Kansas State32122038%79.681.8-2.3
16 Utah Utes32102231%74.379.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State3223972%80.573.3+7.2
2 UT Martin33221167%69.863.2+6.6
3 Southeast Missouri State33201361%74.570.6+3.9
4 Morehead State33201361%75.374.7+0.5
5 Siu Edwardsville32191359%71.064.7+6.3
6 Lindenwood33181555%77.872.7+5.1
7 Tennessee Tech31131842%73.374.5-1.2
8 Eastern Illinois33132039%67.170.3-3.2
9 UALR32122038%70.574.1-3.6
10 Southern Indiana3072323%68.773.7-5.0
11 Western Illinois3152616%64.976.8-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State5553108
Tennessee State294574
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