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Irbis Almaty vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-66
24-18 25-14 21-13 13-21
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game92.0
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar
16 Jan 2025
IRBI96
PAVL64
15 Jan 2025
IRBI105
PAVL74
26 Mar 2024
IRBI88
PAVL59
25 Mar 2024
IRBI94
PAVL65
28 Oct 2023
IRBI96
PAVL83
27 Oct 2023
IRBI83
PAVL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
60-90
60
90
-30
no box
A22/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
59-78
59
78
-19
no box
A23/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
52-81
52
81
-29
no box
H25/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
A03/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
no box
A04/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
85-56
85
56
+29
no box
H07/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
H08/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A12/05
National League
Almaty
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
91avg 98
A18/10
National League
Almaty
#6
W
108-82
108
82
+26
105avg 98
A19/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-33
18-29
17-18
10-10
14-18
13-28
14-14
18-18
15-18
16-25
15-9
6-29
27-23
11-26
19-22
33-24
21-26
21-11
10-23
24-16
14-17
24-12
27-12
20-15
15-21
26-12
18-18
27-18
20-20
23-18
21-19
14-27
21-12
18-19
30-25
22-24
28-13
32-25
28-25
20-19
160.0Avg total
79.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.581.0180.5+18.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)99.581.0180.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.480.6160.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)89.674.2163.8+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.382.7148.0-17.429%
vs Similar (21)81.578.9160.4+2.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)99.581.0180.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
no box
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
53avg 54
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
55avg 54
H23/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
19-17
10-20
14-16
14-8
20-25
14-22
22-19
14-27
23-24
17-16
21-17
27-25
29-21
16-23
17-22
22-16
21-22
21-18
16-14
16-15
17-30
21-24
6-20
22-14
13-14
14-17
11-16
19-18
19-19
21-21
19-13
20-28
21-22
10-17
17-19
20-24
25-27
15-25
11-22
152.2Avg total
71.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.592.0161.5-22.50%
Season at home (2)69.592.0161.5-22.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.780.5152.2-8.820%
Last 5 (5)67.481.0148.4-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.987.2158.1-16.314%
vs Similar (8)72.870.6143.4+2.162%
vs Weaker (8)81.271.5152.8+9.862%
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
Irbis AlmatyPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
33-62
33
62
-29
A22/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A23/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H25/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A03/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/05
National League
Almaty
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A18/10
National League
Almaty
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A19/10
National League
79.8Avg total
39.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.079.8-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.142.882.9-2.727%-
Last 30 away (19)38.139.978.0-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.679.8-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.233.878.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.447.382.7-11.914%-
vs Similar (21)38.939.578.4-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)49.534.584.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H23/10
National League
82.8Avg total
40.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.178.1-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.242.280.4-4.036%-
Last 30 away (19)39.537.376.8+2.368%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.482.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.280.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.546.082.5-9.514%-
vs Similar (8)41.232.673.9+8.6100%-
vs Weaker (8)41.233.474.6+7.988%-
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Irbis Almaty wins
0
Pavlodar wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23AAlmaty108-82
18/10/23AAlmaty91-80
12/05/23ATobol Kostanay78-84
08/05/23HTobol Kostanay86-69
07/05/23HTobol Kostanay85-56
04/05/23ATobol Kostanay85-91 OT
03/05/23ATobol Kostanay90-95
25/04/23HAstana52-81
23/04/23AAstana59-78
22/04/23AAstana60-90
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HTobol Kostanay71-98
22/10/23HTobol Kostanay68-86
11/04/23AGOTOBELES Astana78-71
10/04/23HKaspiy Aktau60-61
09/04/23ABars Petropavlovsk60-89
08/04/23HAtyrau 280-70
07/04/23AChelSU Kostanay89-91
06/04/23HBC Almaty 275-84
15/03/23AAltay70-74
14/03/23AKaraganda66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game99.5-99.5
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+18.5-+18.5
Avg total180.5-180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game69.569.5-
Allowed / game92.092.0-
Point differential-22.5-22.5-
Avg total161.5161.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau220100%83.064.5+18.5
2 Irbis Almaty220100%99.581.0+18.5
3 Aktobe330100%83.773.3+10.3
4 Tobol Kostanay32167%83.072.7+10.3
5 Astana 231233%75.077.0-2.0
6 Kaspiy Aktau3030%67.783.7-16.0
7 Almaty2020%81.099.5-18.5
8 Pavlodar2020%69.592.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Irbis Almaty2425211383
Pavlodar1814132166
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