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Jacksonville State vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-62
33-31 40-31
Position#256
Record10-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#158
Record13-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Liberty
21 Jan 2027
JACK v LIBE
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
JACK78
LIBE81
01 Feb 2025
JACK72
LIBE61
27 Jan 2024
JACK73
LIBE62
18 Feb 2023
JACK55
LIBE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A19/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
90-60
90
60
+30
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#541
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H29/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#568
W
107-67
107
67
+40
H31/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H20/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
30-37
31-40
34-22
34-30
56-30
50-25
43-32
55-37
52-30
40-28
30-35
26-21
35-30
43-35
26-45
25-30
32-44
23-35
44-40
140.3Avg total
73.9Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.764.0134.6+6.750%
Season at home (10)74.261.6135.8+12.660%
Season away (10)67.166.3133.4+0.840%
Last 10 (10)73.966.4140.3+7.560%
Last 5 (5)64.868.6133.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.166.9129.0-4.729%
vs Similar (9)70.469.1139.6+1.344%
vs Weaker (12)72.062.9134.9+9.158%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
99-26
99
26
+73
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
56-101
56
101
-45
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
40-17
52-14
47-12
46-34
33-29
27-48
29-53
48-23
40-23
33-34
35-36
21-26
30-35
37-30
32-39
36-29
42-40
41-33
41-33
138.5Avg total
75.1Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.563.3139.8+13.265%
Season at home (16)78.060.6138.6+17.475%
Season away (4)70.274.0144.2-3.825%
Last 10 (10)75.163.4138.5+11.760%
Last 5 (5)71.069.2140.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (7)65.777.1142.9-11.414%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.560.4140.9+20.186%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +5.2+5.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +5.2+5.2
Jacksonville StateLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A19/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#541
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#568
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H31/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A25/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
35.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.364.4+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.927.963.9+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)32.332.664.9-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)35.731.967.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.861.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.329.961.1+1.457%-
vs Similar (9)32.831.364.1+1.478%-
vs Weaker (12)33.729.663.2+4.167%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
52-14
52
14
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
37.5Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.630.467.0+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (21)36.829.065.9+7.871%-
Last 30 away (9)36.033.769.7+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)37.530.668.1+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.464.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (7)32.036.968.9-4.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.428.266.7+10.281%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jacksonville State wins
2
Liberty wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24AMiddle Tenn. St.67-75
20/01/24HLouisiana Tech57-74
13/01/24AWestern Kentucky69-80
11/01/24ALiberty61-51
06/01/24HFlorida International70-63
31/12/23HTrevecca Nazarene107-67
29/12/23HFort Valley State Wildcats93-57
21/12/23AUALR90-60
19/12/23ATarleton65-62
15/12/23AWisconsin60-75
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HSam Houston St.82-66
19/01/24HFlorida International78-69
14/01/24ALouisiana Tech76-80 OT
11/01/24HJacksonville State51-61
06/01/24AWestern Kentucky68-70
01/01/24HBoyce88-46
30/12/23HAlabama56-101
21/12/23AUtah Valley State79-63
16/12/23HSt. Andrews99-26
14/12/23HTennessee State74-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game70.774.267.1
Allowed / game64.061.666.3
Point differential+6.7+12.6+0.8
Avg total134.6135.8133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW65%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20164
Win %65%75%25%
Points / game76.578.070.2
Allowed / game63.360.674.0
Point differential+13.2+17.4-3.8
Avg total139.8138.6144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%69%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2115671%75.463.2+12.2
2 Western Kentucky2014670%80.575.1+5.5
3 Liberty2013765%76.563.3+13.2
4 Kennesaw State2113862%84.479.0+5.4
5 Delaware2112957%75.371.0+4.3
6 Missouri State2112957%71.270.1+1.1
7 UTEP2011955%74.569.8+4.7
8 Sam Houston St.2011955%72.071.7+0.3
9 Jacksonville State20101050%70.764.0+6.7
10 New Mexico State2191243%69.471.7-2.3
11 Florida International2071335%77.077.2-0.1
12 Middle Tenn. St.2071335%63.066.5-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State334073
Liberty313162
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