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Jacksonville State vs Liberty Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#214
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.5
Jacksonville State
USA
vs
Liberty
USA
Position#154
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Liberty
21 Jan 2027
JACK v LIBE
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
JACK78
LIBE81
01 Feb 2025
JACK72
LIBE61
27 Jan 2024
JACK73
LIBE62
18 Feb 2023
JACK55
LIBE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A06/03
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#512
W
123-59
123
59
+64
H03/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A06/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
L
46-92
46
92
-46
A12/11
NCAA
UAB
#220
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
52-46
25-25
36-36
34-27
44-54
33-24
35-44
32-29
32-32
28-39
35-29
64-24
59-35
32-23
34-43
23-45
23-47
35-30
36-38
149.9Avg total
75.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
Season at home (2)97.063.5160.5+33.5100%
Season away (2)63.087.5150.5-24.50%
Last 10 (10)75.874.1149.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)76.674.0150.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)63.583.5147.0-20.050%
vs Similar (18)72.272.0144.2+0.244%
vs Weaker (9)75.168.7143.8+6.444%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/03
NCAA
High Point
#61
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A02/11
NCAA
Boyce
#514
W
113-54
113
54
+59
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
39-40
37-48
36-46
29-32
36-42
27-34
54-44
40-45
31-31
41-31
38-41
37-33
32-44
34-37
23-35
51-19
62-35
40-34
34-32
152.4Avg total
77.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.364.0145.3+17.367%
Season at home (2)93.560.0153.5+33.5100%
Season away (1)57.072.0129.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)77.275.2152.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)78.468.2146.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)69.972.0141.9-2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.871.1149.9+7.882%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.5-0.5
Jacksonville StateLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H27/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A06/03
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/03
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#512
W
64-24
64
24
+40
H03/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A06/11
NCAA
Houston
#147
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A12/11
NCAA
UAB
#220
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
33.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.028.862.8+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)30.133.663.7-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.230.263.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.268.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)27.039.566.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (18)31.331.362.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker (9)35.129.664.7+5.656%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/03
NCAA
High Point
#61
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/11
NCAA
Boyce
#514
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.969.9+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.632.574.1+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)31.833.365.1-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.373.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.871.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)32.835.067.8-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.232.271.4+7.082%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jacksonville State wins
6
Liberty wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Jacksonville State v Liberty78-81
04/01/26Liberty v Jacksonville State78-69
16/03/25Liberty v Jacksonville State79-67
28/02/25Liberty v Jacksonville State59-55
01/02/25Jacksonville State v Liberty72-61
27/01/24Jacksonville State v Liberty73-62
11/01/24Liberty v Jacksonville State51-61
18/02/23Jacksonville State v Liberty55-79
06/01/23Liberty v Jacksonville State75-41
30/01/22Liberty v Jacksonville State67-77
Jacksonville Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUAB71-68
12/11/26AHouston46-92
06/11/26ASouth Alabama80-83 OT
03/11/26HHannibal-LaGrange123-59
11/03/26HNew Mexico State63-68
07/03/26AUTEP64-61
06/03/26ANew Mexico State75-77 OT
28/02/26HLiberty78-81
27/02/26HDelaware80-70 OT
21/02/26ASam Houston St.78-82
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HN. Carolina Central74-66
07/11/26HBoyce113-54
02/11/26AHigh Point57-72
11/03/26HMissouri State69-77
07/03/26HSam Houston St.79-72
06/03/26HLouisiana Tech71-76
28/02/26AJacksonville State81-78
27/02/26AKennesaw State65-74
21/02/26HWestern Kentucky73-94
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.097.063.0
Allowed / game75.563.587.5
Point differential+4.5+33.5-24.5
Avg total155.5160.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Liberty
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.393.557.0
Allowed / game64.060.072.0
Point differential+17.3+33.5-15.0
Avg total145.3153.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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