PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jacksonville State vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-58
39-34 36-24
Position#228
Record9-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#179
Record11-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Middle Tenn. St.
31 Dec 2026
JACK v MIDD
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
JACK75
MIDD58
14 Mar 2025
JACK70
MIDD68
06 Feb 2025
JACK77
MIDD63
21 Feb 2024
JACK76
MIDD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A20/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A04/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
42-40
29-38
30-24
31-34
50-41
38-22
40-45
36-31
31-33
27-27
42-51
31-25
40-39
43-46
39-42
22-34
40-43
34-27
30-33
141.8Avg total
70.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.066.3139.3+6.750%
Season at home (12)73.261.5134.8+11.858%
Season away (6)72.576.0148.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)70.671.2141.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)69.673.4143.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.567.2128.8-5.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.369.9138.1-1.647%
vs Weaker (9)78.464.3142.8+14.156%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-35
31-48
40-31
28-36
30-35
44-23
28-33
32-36
39-22
49-29
34-34
34-33
44-37
29-36
29-29
30-26
40-21
18-38
38-36
30-32
138.6Avg total
70.7Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.669.8145.4+5.861%
Season at home (11)82.269.1151.3+13.182%
Season away (7)65.370.9136.1-5.629%
Last 10 (10)70.767.9138.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)71.070.2141.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.677.8145.4-10.125%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.371.0145.3+3.369%
vs Weaker (7)86.466.4152.9+20.086%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
Jacksonville StateMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A13/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H17/01
NCAA
64.3Avg total
32.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.430.864.3+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.828.462.2+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)32.934.167.0-1.223%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.164.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.863.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)25.234.259.5-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.331.765.0+1.747%-
vs Weaker (9)36.128.664.7+7.667%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/01
NCAA
66.6Avg total
35.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.370.9+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.333.572.8+5.859%-
Last 30 away (13)35.533.068.5+2.546%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.366.6+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.468.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.436.070.4-1.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.233.069.2+3.246%-
vs Weaker (7)43.729.172.9+14.6100%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jacksonville State wins
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HLouisiana Tech64-60
15/01/26HSam Houston St.62-77
10/01/26AKennesaw State82-88
08/01/26HFlorida International71-64
04/01/26ALiberty69-78
03/01/26ADelaware67-64
30/12/25HWestern Kentucky78-67
20/12/25AEast Tennessee St81-75
18/12/25HEastern Kentucky59-62
13/12/25AGeorgia State73-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HMissouri State90-87 OT
15/01/26ALouisiana Tech58-59
11/01/26ANew Mexico State59-55
09/01/26AUTEP80-83 OT
04/01/26HSam Houston St.68-67
03/01/26HLouisiana Tech88-51
30/12/25AHouston60-69
21/12/25HCumberland University (TN)74-58
18/12/25HKennesaw State68-67
07/12/25HBelmont62-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %50%58%33%
Points / game73.073.272.5
Allowed / game66.361.576.0
Point differential+6.7+11.8-3.5
Avg total139.3134.8148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %61%82%29%
Points / game75.682.265.3
Allowed / game69.869.170.9
Point differential+5.8+13.1-5.6
Avg total145.4151.3136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%9%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1916384%80.168.1+12.0
2 Sam Houston St.1912763%84.674.8+9.8
3 New Mexico State1811761%77.269.2+8.0
4 Middle Tenn. St.1811761%75.669.8+5.8
5 Kennesaw State2012860%87.877.5+10.3
6 Louisiana Tech1911858%68.461.3+7.1
7 Western Kentucky1911858%79.875.8+4.1
8 Missouri State1911858%76.372.9+3.4
9 Jacksonville State189950%73.066.3+6.7
10 Florida International1991047%83.378.5+4.8
11 UTEP1971237%70.573.0-2.5
12 Delaware1851328%66.272.2-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State393675
Middle Tenn. St.342458
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.