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James Madison vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-57
47-28 35-29
Position#169
Record9-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#125
Record11-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · James Madison v Texas State
24 Jan 2026
JAME82
TEXA57
10 Mar 2024
JAME73
TEXA68
30 Dec 2023
JAME82
TEXA65
05 Jan 2023
JAME62
TEXA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

James Madison winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A30/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A17/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
33-35
22-34
46-43
39-37
41-43
28-48
46-55
39-34
39-40
25-36
39-30
27-44
43-25
27-38
38-42
32-36
40-41
40-36
43-54
153.3Avg total
73.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.677.4152.0-2.845%
Season at home (9)75.070.2145.2+4.878%
Season away (11)74.383.3157.5-9.018%
Last 10 (10)73.479.9153.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)70.876.4147.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.380.6148.9-12.329%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.779.8157.5-2.238%
vs Weaker (9)76.168.7144.8+7.489%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
48-45
32-41
38-48
25-39
42-26
33-45
47-55
46-40
38-39
28-29
37-36
37-43
45-40
29-22
30-32
27-28
47-39
27-32
43-40
151.4Avg total
74.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.971.0144.9+2.852%
Season at home (12)76.864.4141.2+12.483%
Season away (9)69.979.9149.8-10.011%
Last 10 (10)74.277.2151.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)71.071.2142.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.879.8148.5-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.579.8154.4-5.331%
vs Weaker (13)75.662.4138.0+13.277%
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.5+1.5
James MadisonTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A30/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H08/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
31.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.671.2-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.132.968.1+2.264%-
Last 30 away (16)35.938.073.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)31.437.568.9-6.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.238.068.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.935.767.6-3.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.438.573.9-3.238%-
vs Weaker (9)38.432.070.4+6.478%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#210
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
32.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.767.1+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.830.866.6+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)32.635.267.8-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)32.235.767.9-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.860.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.836.068.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.836.667.5-5.80%-
vs Weaker (13)38.527.866.3+10.892%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
James Madison wins
2
Texas State wins
James Madisonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HSouth Alabama83-90
17/01/26AMarshall72-77
15/01/26AAppalachian State65-80
10/01/26HOld Dominion70-69
08/01/26HMarshall64-66
03/01/26AArkansas State78-74
30/12/25AArkansas74-103
20/12/25AGeorgia Southern92-96 OT
18/12/25AOld Dominion68-77
06/12/25HNorfolk State68-67
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-72
17/01/26HSouthern Miss74-67
15/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette59-54
10/01/26AArkansas State82-83
09/01/26ASouthern Miss70-80 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Monroe84-79
31/12/25ATroy80-100
20/12/25HSouth Alabama67-65
18/12/25HArkansas State70-89
11/12/25HSouthern Univ.86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

James Madison
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeWWLWL78%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%78%18%
Points / game74.675.074.3
Allowed / game77.470.283.3
Point differential-2.8+4.8-9.0
Avg total152.0145.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%83%11%
Points / game73.976.869.9
Allowed / game71.064.479.9
Point differential+2.8+12.4-10.0
Avg total144.9141.2149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %10%8%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2014670%86.776.2+10.5
2 Marshall2013765%81.274.8+6.5
3 Arkansas State2013765%83.179.2+3.9
4 Georgia Southern2113862%82.780.2+2.5
5 South Alabama2012860%74.269.3+4.8
6 Appalachian State2213959%72.265.5+6.6
7 Coastal Carolina2112957%73.372.4+0.9
8 Texas State21111052%73.971.0+2.8
9 Southern Miss21111052%74.373.2+1.1
10 James Madison2091145%74.677.4-2.8
11 Georgia State2081240%70.573.3-2.8
12 Old Dominion2161529%74.177.6-3.4
13 Louisiana Lafayette2151624%60.169.2-9.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2131814%70.882.8-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
James Madison473582
Texas State282957
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