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James Madison vs Troy Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#282
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#325
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · James Madison v Troy
02 Jan 2027
JAME v TROY
upcoming
09 Mar 2025
JAME60
TROY79
05 Feb 2025
JAME64
TROY61
04 Mar 2023
JAME75
TROY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

James Madison win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Troy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#119
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#76
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#138
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
40-34
32-32
35-33
40-26
40-39
38-37
44-29
33-31
35-38
37-27
50-45
33-35
47-51
41-35
36-51
39-39
41-50
35-26
36-35
147.8Avg total
76.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.078.7154.7-2.733%
Season at home (1)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
Season away (2)75.575.0150.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.171.7147.8+4.460%
Last 5 (5)79.078.8157.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.677.4150.0-4.944%
vs Similar (16)75.173.6148.8+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)75.268.4143.6+6.880%
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#168
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#232
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#298
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#46
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
28-32
27-23
51-36
37-29
43-36
41-28
37-42
38-25
39-36
25-41
22-35
28-38
32-33
26-37
42-54
29-37
36-28
27-36
35-45
138.6Avg total
67.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.078.0144.0-12.025%
Season at home (2)67.070.0137.0-3.050%
Season away (2)65.086.0151.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)67.870.8138.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)62.277.6139.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.076.2141.2-11.233%
vs Similar (9)72.071.3143.3+0.756%
vs Weaker (15)80.368.7148.9+11.680%
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -1.2-1.2
James MadisonTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#119
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#76
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#138
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.367.8+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.032.068.0+4.080%-
Last 30 away (15)32.934.667.5-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.731.266.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.833.867.6+0.067%-
vs Similar (16)34.134.868.8-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.027.864.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#168
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#232
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#298
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#46
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.366.4+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.829.365.1+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)32.335.667.9-3.414%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.763.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.037.864.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)28.336.364.7-8.017%-
vs Similar (9)33.434.768.1-1.244%-
vs Weaker (15)36.929.266.1+7.760%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
James Madison wins
1
Troy wins
DateGameScore
30/01/26Troy v James Madison64-73
10/03/25James Madison v Troy60-79
06/02/25James Madison v Troy64-61
04/03/23James Madison v Troy75-72
20/01/23Troy v James Madison87-89 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ADelaware71-61
07/11/26AKentucky80-89
03/11/26HMiami (Ohio)77-86
05/03/26ASouthern Miss80-86
04/03/26HLouisiana Lafayette87-72
28/02/26HCoastal Carolina68-69
26/02/26HGeorgia Southern82-66
21/02/26AGeorgia State80-65
19/02/26ACoastal Carolina67-65
14/02/26HAppalachian State69-58
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANC State62-81
11/11/26HLoyola Marymount74-69 OT
07/11/26AFlorida State68-91
03/11/26HUMass60-71
19/03/26ANebraska47-76
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern77-61
08/03/26HSouthern Miss78-70
28/02/26HLouisiana Monroe80-65
25/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette78-59
21/02/26ASouth Alabama54-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

James Madison
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game76.077.075.5
Allowed / game78.786.075.0
Point differential-2.7-9.0+0.5
Avg total154.7163.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game66.067.065.0
Allowed / game78.070.086.0
Point differential-12.0-3.0-21.0
Avg total144.0137.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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