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Jiangsu Dragons vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 102-100
26-20 20-27 38-19 18-34
Position#18
Record4-35
FormLLLLL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#9
Record20-19
FormLWLWW
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game99.0
ChinaCBARound 40· Suzhou Sports Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jiangsu Dragons v Guangzhou
27 Dec 2026
JIAN v GUAN
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
JIAN86
GUAN93
07 Jan 2025
JIAN91
GUAN100
16 Nov 2024
JIAN102
GUAN91
06 Mar 2024
JIAN102
GUAN100
01 Dec 2023
JIAN83
GUAN96
09 Jan 2023
JIAN100
GUAN93
11 Jan 2022
JIAN72
GUAN80
22 Jan 2021
JIAN94
GUAN119
03 Nov 2020
JIAN86
GUAN104
19 Dec 2019
JIAN110
GUAN99
04 Nov 2018
JIAN112
GUAN102
10 Jan 2018
JIAN114
GUAN102
15 Feb 2017
JIAN111
GUAN98
20 Nov 2015
JIAN128
GUAN112
09 Nov 2014
JIAN100
GUAN106
12 Feb 2014
JIAN116
GUAN108
07 Dec 2012
JIAN110
GUAN104
21 Dec 2011
JIAN106
GUAN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jiangsu Dragons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
84-110
84
110
-26
74avg 80
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
85-109
85
109
-24
75avg 80
A22/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
no box
H25/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
89-108
89
108
-19
67avg 80
A27/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
100-104
100
104
-4
89avg 80
A29/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
no box
H31/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
89-113
89
113
-24
76avg 80
H03/02
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
93-104
93
104
-11
91avg 80
A05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
72avg 80
H07/02
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
86-107
86
107
-21
69avg 80
H29/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-33
24-26
20-32
24-19
28-35
31-24
14-30
12-20
17-30
25-30
29-19
27-19
17-25
25-30
25-23
22-30
24-28
19-23
22-24
35-29
21-31
26-21
21-25
19-26
15-30
17-26
34-29
23-28
19-34
20-22
25-20
29-28
22-26
27-31
10-30
26-19
17-27
26-26
17-24
26-30
198.0Avg total
90.6Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)93.2104.0197.2-10.810%
Season at home (19)93.4102.3195.7-8.916%
Season away (20)93.0105.6198.6-12.65%
Last 10 (10)90.6107.4198.0-16.80%
Last 5 (5)88.0106.6194.6-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)92.2103.6195.9-11.47%
vs Similar (2)107.5110.0217.5-2.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
95avg 96
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 96
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 96
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 96
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 96
H05/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
30-19
21-22
21-14
33-32
30-28
29-27
31-26
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
203.0Avg total
104.5Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)101.799.0200.7+2.751%
Season at home (20)104.798.5203.2+6.260%
Season away (19)98.699.5198.1-0.942%
Last 10 (10)104.598.5203.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)104.094.4198.4+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)98.2103.8202.0-5.525%
vs Similar (13)99.9101.4201.3-1.531%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)104.396.7201.0+7.677%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -10.3-10.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -10.3-10.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
Jiangsu DragonsGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A22/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H25/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A27/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H31/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H03/02
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H07/02
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H29/02
CBA
99.4Avg total
43.6Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.951.797.7-5.817%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.252.797.9-7.515%-
Last 30 away (17)46.551.097.5-4.518%-
Last 10 (10)43.655.899.4-12.20%-
Last 5 (5)42.054.896.8-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)45.751.997.6-6.214%-
vs Similar (2)49.049.098.0+0.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
105.9Avg total
52.9Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.451.6103.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.151.4105.4+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)49.151.8100.9-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)52.953.0105.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)54.248.2102.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.257.2107.5-7.025%-
vs Similar (13)51.751.8103.5-0.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)51.549.6101.2+1.954%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.7
45.0%
52.7%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.8
33.5%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.519.2
78.4%
76.0%19.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.4
52.8%
52.7%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.8
37.5%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
76.0%15.9
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jiangsu Dragons
LLLLLLLLLL
Guangzhou
WWLWLWLLWW
#18
League position
#9
-18.2
Net rating
+4.4
99.2
Offensive rating
114.7
117.5
Defensive rating
110.3
47.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
37.5%
62.6%
Assist %
58.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 114.7Defence117.5 · 110.3Shooting47.1% · 53.8%3-point %33.5% · 37.5%Ball care17.0% · 13.9%Off. rebounds21.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Jiangsu Dragons   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jiangsu Dragons wins
8
Guangzhou wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HShanxi Zhongyu86-107
07/02/24HLiaoning85-106
05/02/24AFujian93-104
03/02/24HBeijing89-113
31/01/24HXinjiang87-103
29/01/24AShandong100-104
27/01/24ALiaoning89-108
25/01/24HFujian108-110 OT
22/01/24AZhejiang Chouzhou85-109
19/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha84-110
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
22/01/24AShandong105-112
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
18/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-113
14/01/24HNingbo Rockets92-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL16%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %10%16%5%
Points / game93.293.493.0
Allowed / game104.0102.3105.6
Point differential-10.8-8.9-12.7
Avg total197.2195.7198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%5%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (12)29% (7)0% (5)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW51%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %51%60%42%
Points / game101.7104.798.6
Allowed / game99.098.599.5
Point differential+2.7+6.2-0.9
Avg total200.7203.2198.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang3932782%106.495.6+10.8
2 Liaoning3932782%103.593.2+10.3
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou39291074%108.399.7+8.6
4 Zhejiang Guangsha39261367%103.996.5+7.4
5 Guangdong39251464%108.4104.5+3.9
6 Shenzhen39251464%106.1102.6+3.6
7 Beijing Royal Fighters39231659%106.0103.2+2.8
8 Shanghai39231659%105.9103.2+2.7
9 Qingdao39231659%102.0100.3+1.7
10 Guangzhou39201951%101.799.0+2.7
11 Shanxi Zhongyu39192049%108.9110.9-2.0
12 Beijing39182146%100.5101.7-1.3
13 Tianjin39182146%106.5108.6-2.0
14 Nanjing Tongxi39172244%102.0104.6-2.5
15 Shandong39162341%101.5103.4-1.8
16 Jilin39152438%104.0107.3-3.3
17 Fujian39152438%102.7106.2-3.5
18 Ningbo Rockets3963315%92.3105.5-13.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons3943510%93.2104.0-10.8
20 Sichuan3943510%98.5112.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jiangsu Dragons26203818102
Guangzhou20271934100
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