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Jonava vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 80-87
13-21 22-22 22-18 23-26
Position#33
Record1-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game88.0
Jonava
vs
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Position#22
Record1-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Jonavos sporto arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
45avg 74
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 74
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 74
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
83avg 74
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 74
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 74
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 74
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
68avg 74
H21/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
11-20
15-16
11-16
22-17
13-29
19-16
18-22
24-24
22-15
21-19
27-19
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-19
21-13
23-22
20-22
14-26
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
10-27
15-20
20-22
24-17
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
20-19
19-18
18-23
14-23
163.4Avg total
80.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.088.0192.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)104.088.0192.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.383.1163.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)84.486.6171.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.486.2164.5-7.827%
vs Similar (14)81.579.9161.4+1.657%
vs Weaker (4)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
W
85-55
85
55
+30
no box
H10/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
no box
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 67
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 67
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 67
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 67
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 67
A22/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
14-15
27-11
25-18
20-20
26-26
18-24
23-26
12-26
20-7
11-17
21-19
14-15
20-16
21-17
17-22
20-0
25-22
8-21
21-23
15-24
16-23
18-15
10-25
12-13
21-21
21-23
22-19
26-20
29-13
18-17
20-21
24-27
22-18
15-20
17-11
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
151.4Avg total
76.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.076.0154.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)78.076.0154.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.874.6151.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)77.278.0155.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.581.5150.0-13.050%
vs Similar (6)78.377.7156.0+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.864.8149.5+20.090%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
JonavaAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/10
LKL
82.0Avg total
39.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.280.2-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.542.282.6-1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.478.4-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.982.0-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.542.479.9-4.827%-
vs Similar (14)40.440.280.6+0.257%-
vs Weaker (4)37.042.879.8-5.80%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
72.9Avg total
38.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.634.075.6+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.132.677.6+12.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.635.273.8+3.456%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.572.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.546.084.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (6)37.539.076.5-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.032.074.9+11.086%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.9
56.4%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
33.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.3
67.8%
73.0%14.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.2
45.2%
52.2%34.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.3
32.4%
33.8%22.0
🏀 Free throws15.511.7
75.3%
73.0%11.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWLWWLWWLL
AEK Larnaca
LWWWLWWLLW
#33
League position
#22
-4.8
Net rating
-3.0
110.8
Offensive rating
93.8
115.6
Defensive rating
96.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
46.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.8%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
32.4%
72.4%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 93.8Defence115.6 · 96.8Shooting54.1% · 46.4%3-point %34.1% · 32.4%Ball care16.1% · 19.8%Off. rebounds27.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Jonava   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
No previous meetings.
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HBC Wolves71-83
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88
15/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas69-86
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84
26/09/23AStrasbourg78-83
23/09/23AMazeikiai82-79
16/09/23HNevezis94-77
09/06/23ALietkabelis72-84
07/06/23HLietkabelis55-75
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
18/10/23HRostock78-76
14/10/23HAchilleas K.93-71
09/10/23AAEL96-94 OT
27/09/23ABenfica59-87
25/09/23ALevice74-66
22/05/23AKeravnos72-70
17/05/23HKeravnos64-69
14/05/23AKeravnos87-96
10/05/23HKeravnos85-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game104.0-104.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total192.0-192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz110100%98.072.0+26.0
2 Legia110100%85.062.0+23.0
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Jonava110100%104.088.0+16.0
5 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
6 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
7 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
8 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
9 Manisa330100%86.778.0+8.7
10 Leiden110100%77.069.0+8.0
11 Gottingen110100%86.081.0+5.0
12 Mornar Bar110100%80.075.0+5.0
13 Bilbao110100%83.079.0+4.0
14 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
15 Spojnia Stargard110100%92.089.0+3.0
16 AEK Larnaca110100%78.076.0+2.0
17 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
18 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
19 FC Porto43175%84.578.2+6.2
20 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
21 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
22 Sabah Baku53260%77.677.4+0.2
23 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%85.577.0+8.5
24 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
25 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
26 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
27 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
28 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
29 Keravnos31233%87.082.7+4.3
30 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
31 Kataja31233%76.382.7-6.3
32 CSM Oradea1010%91.093.0-2.0
33 Den Bosch1010%89.092.0-3.0
34 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
35 Alba Fehervar1010%79.083.0-4.0
36 Anwil Wloclawek1010%79.083.0-4.0
37 Brindisi1010%87.091.0-4.0
38 TSU1010%81.086.0-5.0
39 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
40 Norrkoping1010%71.079.0-8.0
41 Bakken Bears2020%77.085.5-8.5
42 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
43 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
44 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
45 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
46 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
47 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
48 Peja1010%72.098.0-26.0
49 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 49 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1322222380
AEK Larnaca2122182687
← all games of the day
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