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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 86-69
27-10 20-15 22-20 17-24
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#8
Record4-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game83.0
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava
17 Feb 2027
ZAL v JON
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
ZAL86
JON63
20 May 2026
ZAL102
JON82
08 Mar 2026
ZAL97
JON90
01 Feb 2026
ZAL104
JON91
17 Jan 2026
ZAL89
JON63
03 Jun 2025
ZAL86
JON78
29 May 2025
ZAL73
JON61
16 Mar 2025
ZAL89
JON62
01 Dec 2024
ZAL101
JON64
21 Apr 2024
ZAL101
JON57
15 Oct 2023
ZAL86
JON69
29 Jan 2023
ZAL76
JON80
13 Mar 2022
ZAL93
JON70
18 Jan 2022
ZAL68
JON59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 77
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 77
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
53avg 77
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 77
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 77
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 77
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 77
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 77
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 77
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
H13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-24
15-27
15-19
27-22
20-20
27-16
21-22
23-14
17-18
10-13
18-24
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
23-23
15-22
15-16
25-7
15-23
22-19
21-23
24-14
15-16
20-27
10-14
28-12
19-21
16-17
15-18
29-18
157.3Avg total
82.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.265.2149.5+19.0100%
Season at home (1)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)86.364.3150.7+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.974.4157.3+8.580%
Last 5 (5)78.271.8150.0+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.081.0152.0-10.025%
vs Similar (3)81.377.7159.0+3.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.274.4159.6+10.783%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 74
A31/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
85avg 74
H02/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
82-63
82
63
+19
78avg 74
A05/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
45avg 74
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 74
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 74
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
83avg 74
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 74
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 74
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-19
25-23
16-18
27-23
25-22
15-13
20-30
24-24
19-13
16-8
23-18
18-23
11-20
15-16
11-16
22-17
13-29
19-16
18-22
24-24
22-15
21-19
27-19
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-19
21-13
23-22
20-22
14-26
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
162.2Avg total
81.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.583.0171.5+5.5100%
Season at home (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)87.585.5173.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.780.5162.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)86.483.0169.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.986.0165.9-6.130%
vs Similar (14)80.679.7160.4+0.957%
vs Weaker (5)83.280.2163.4+3.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Zalgiris KaunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H06/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/10
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
41.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.980.6+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.881.3+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.937.979.9+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.480.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.878.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.877.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (3)35.339.374.7-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.638.381.9+5.370%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A31/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H02/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
85.3Avg total
42.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.480.9-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.442.783.1-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.278.9-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.585.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.242.280.4-4.020%-
vs Similar (14)40.340.580.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)38.843.682.4-4.80%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.7
55.3%
55.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
34.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.3
74.9%
73.2%17.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.2
57.3%
55.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.1
71.6%
73.2%15.1
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWLWL
Jonava
WWLWWLLWLW
#1
League position
#8
+11.0
Net rating
+0.8
112.2
Offensive rating
112.4
101.2
Defensive rating
111.6
54.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.8%
3-point %
35.0%
55.2%
Assist %
69.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 112.4Defence101.2 · 111.6Shooting54.0% · 55.2%3-point %34.8% · 35.0%Ball care17.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 27.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Jonava wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HCrvena zvezda79-74
09/10/23AMazeikiai73-69
05/10/23AVirtus Bologna82-79
01/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes78-68
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87
08/06/23ARytas68-69
06/06/23HRytas95-80
03/06/23ARytas71-94
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84
26/09/23AStrasbourg78-83
23/09/23AMazeikiai82-79
16/09/23HNevezis94-77
09/06/23ALietkabelis72-84
07/06/23HLietkabelis55-75
05/06/23ALietkabelis82-63
02/06/23HLietkabelis87-88
31/05/23ALietkabelis89-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.278.086.3
Allowed / game65.268.064.3
Point differential+19.0+10.0+22.0
Avg total149.5146.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.589.587.5
Allowed / game83.080.585.5
Point differential+5.5+9.0+2.0
Avg total171.5170.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%84.265.2+19.0
2 Rytas550100%96.477.8+18.6
3 Jonava440100%88.583.0+5.5
4 BC Wolves54180%91.876.4+15.4
5 Juventus54180%88.277.4+10.8
6 Lietkabelis54180%93.686.6+7.0
7 Neptunas41325%85.295.2-10.0
8 Siauliai51420%77.282.8-5.6
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes4040%85.593.0-7.5
10 Mazeikiai5050%70.082.0-12.0
11 Nevezis4040%76.295.5-19.2
12 Gargzdai4040%67.898.2-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2720221786
Jonava1015202469
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