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Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-93
29-23 27-22 18-19 18-29
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game93.0
Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lithuania
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record3-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.0
LithuaniaLKL· Pieno zvaigzdziu arena (Pasvalys)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava
01 May 2024
PZV77
JON116
08 Oct 2023
PZV92
JON93
02 May 2023
PZV98
JON100
23 Nov 2022
PZV76
JON80
10 Oct 2022
PZV90
JON92
11 Oct 2021
PZV76
JON80
26 Oct 2020
PZV91
JON76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 69
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
43avg 69
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
68avg 69
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 69
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 69
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
no box
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
92avg 69
A05/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-106
90
106
-16
77avg 69
A18/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
92-95
92
95
-3
89avg 69
A25/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 69
A01/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
22-13
16-18
25-27
15-24
15-19
17-25
14-20
20-18
19-27
13-21
26-21
27-20
18-20
23-22
21-16
21-23
14-18
19-23
27-20
23-14
21-29
20-18
25-28
21-31
32-19
25-21
12-24
19-26
26-34
18-26
27-20
25-24
20-25
19-20
28-26
23-23
22-15
16-15
7-25
173.4Avg total
83.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.393.0176.3-9.70%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)83.393.0176.3-9.70%
Last 10 (10)83.889.6173.4-5.820%
Last 5 (5)87.694.8182.4-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.790.8168.5-13.112%
vs Similar (4)85.282.8168.0+2.575%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 74
A25/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 74
A31/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
85avg 74
H02/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
82-63
82
63
+19
78avg 74
A05/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
45avg 74
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 74
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 74
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
83avg 74
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 74
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 74
H02/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
16-26
22-29
25-19
25-20
23-19
25-23
16-18
27-23
25-22
15-13
20-30
24-24
19-13
16-8
23-18
18-23
11-20
15-16
11-16
22-17
13-29
19-16
18-22
24-24
22-15
21-19
27-19
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-19
21-13
23-22
20-22
14-26
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
161.2Avg total
80.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season at home (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.980.3161.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)82.281.4163.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.986.0165.9-6.130%
vs Similar (14)80.679.7160.4+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.478.8158.2+0.680%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Pieno ZvaigzdesJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A18/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A25/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A01/10
LKL
88.0Avg total
43.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.784.3-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.043.081.0-5.040%-
Last 30 away (15)41.346.387.7-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.988.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.094.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.045.384.2-6.331%-
vs Similar (4)44.240.885.0+3.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A31/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H02/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
83.2Avg total
42.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.880.5-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.483.5-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.277.4-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.183.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.242.280.4-4.020%-
vs Similar (14)40.340.580.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.040.080.0+0.020%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.0
35.9%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
73.2%15.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.7
58.1%
55.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
34.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
73.2%14.7
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLLLLWLLW
Jonava
WLWWLLWLWL
#11
League position
#8
-6.5
Net rating
+0.0
107.4
Offensive rating
111.6
113.8
Defensive rating
111.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
55.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.9%
3-point %
35.4%
58.1%
Assist %
73.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 111.6Defence113.8 · 111.6Shooting52.8% · 55.8%3-point %35.9% · 35.4%Ball care17.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds25.2% · 25.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Pieno Zvaigzdes   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
8
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
02/05/23Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava98-100 OT
06/03/23Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes84-77
23/11/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava76-80
26/10/22Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes81-70
10/10/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava90-92
02/04/22Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes91-82
20/12/21Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes77-69
11/10/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava76-80
26/10/20Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava91-76
13/10/20Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes77-89
Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas68-78
25/09/23ALietkabelis92-95
18/09/23ARytas90-106
05/05/23ALietkabelis90-95
02/05/23HJonava98-100 OT
30/04/23AJuventus81-84
26/04/23HGargzdai89-78
22/04/23HNeptunas78-87
20/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas61-88
17/04/23APrienai91-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84
26/09/23AStrasbourg78-83
23/09/23AMazeikiai82-79
16/09/23HNevezis94-77
09/06/23ALietkabelis72-84
07/06/23HLietkabelis55-75
05/06/23ALietkabelis82-63
02/06/23HLietkabelis87-88
31/05/23ALietkabelis89-80
25/05/23ARytas85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.3-83.3
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-9.7--9.7
Avg total176.3-176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.089.582.0
Allowed / game80.080.579.0
Point differential+7.0+9.0+3.0
Avg total167.0170.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.064.0+24.0
2 BC Wolves440100%88.568.5+20.0
3 Rytas440100%98.083.8+14.2
4 Jonava330100%87.080.0+7.0
5 Lietkabelis43175%90.082.0+8.0
6 Juventus32167%87.385.0+2.3
7 Siauliai41325%79.581.5-2.0
8 Neptunas41325%85.295.2-10.0
9 Mazeikiai3030%75.782.3-6.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3030%83.393.0-9.7
11 Nevezis3030%80.397.0-16.7
12 Gargzdai4040%67.898.2-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pieno Zvaigzdes2927181892
Jonava2322192993
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