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Jonava vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 106-101
29-22 29-24 23-24 25-31
Position#5
Record17-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game90.0
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#8
Record13-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game94.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Siauliai
06 Feb 2027
JON v SIA
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
JON63
SIA79
09 May 2026
JON86
SIA70
25 Jan 2026
JON79
SIA85
09 Oct 2025
JON88
SIA80
04 May 2025
JON106
SIA101
10 Oct 2024
JON87
SIA84
05 Oct 2024
JON104
SIA93
02 Apr 2024
JON81
SIA80
20 Jan 2024
JON72
SIA83
02 Oct 2023
JON85
SIA84
22 Dec 2022
JON74
SIA82
01 Dec 2022
JON82
SIA66
06 May 2022
JON70
SIA72
01 May 2022
JON82
SIA79
06 Mar 2022
JON62
SIA79
04 Dec 2021
JON58
SIA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
43avg 80
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 80
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
88avg 80
H29/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
98-97
98
97
+1
92avg 80
A05/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
102avg 80
A13/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
116-55
116
55
+61
106avg 80
H16/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
82avg 80
H21/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
78avg 80
H23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-80
102
80
+22
105avg 80
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-112
82
112
-30
70avg 80
A29/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
20-19
13-26
20-22
25-27
17-19
23-27
27-14
21-17
31-20
20-26
24-26
27-16
34-24
21-22
16-35
22-24
16-24
25-25
33-23
37-10
28-18
35-14
16-13
29-26
25-30
21-28
24-20
24-16
23-17
13-25
18-14
22-22
17-19
30-22
33-17
22-32
31-27
4-24
25-29
183.4Avg total
94.0Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)89.390.0179.3-0.757%
Season at home (15)90.487.5177.9+2.960%
Season away (15)88.292.5180.7-4.353%
Last 10 (10)94.089.4183.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)95.484.6180.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.695.1179.7-10.633%
vs Similar ◀ (17)90.190.4180.5-0.459%
vs Weaker (4)91.273.0164.2+18.275%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 88
H22/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
110-89
110
89
+21
105avg 88
H26/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
76avg 88
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
86-68
86
68
+18
89avg 88
H05/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
67avg 88
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
56-98
56
98
-42
46avg 88
A16/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-91
96
91
+5
96avg 88
H19/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 88
H22/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 88
A27/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 88
H30/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
26-16
24-18
23-22
24-16
32-28
31-18
23-27
21-28
21-23
22-26
18-25
24-16
16-20
28-18
18-14
27-24
17-26
22-19
7-23
11-21
17-21
17-31
11-25
30-26
22-21
23-21
21-23
21-21
29-28
20-22
15-21
26-28
19-19
27-14
23-29
33-26
33-30
22-17
34-23
179.2Avg total
89.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)91.194.6185.7-3.643%
Season at home (16)94.292.2186.4+1.956%
Season away (14)87.597.4184.9-9.929%
Last 10 (10)89.689.6179.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)90.893.4184.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)85.797.0182.7-11.327%
vs Similar ◀ (11)93.993.4187.3+0.555%
vs Weaker (4)106.594.2200.8+12.250%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
JonavaSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H29/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A05/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A13/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
65-28
65
28
+37
H16/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H21/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A29/04
LKL
90.9Avg total
48.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.786.8-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.643.589.1+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)41.143.985.0-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)48.042.990.9+5.140%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.495.0+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.347.387.7-7.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.844.389.1+0.547%-
vs Weaker (4)41.833.074.8+8.850%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H26/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A16/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H19/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H22/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/04
LKL
92.7Avg total
46.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.547.694.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.146.495.4+2.765%-
Last 30 away (13)43.249.292.4-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.092.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.248.296.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)45.749.695.3-3.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.445.590.9-0.245%-
vs Weaker (4)52.845.598.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.3
52.7%
55.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.8
39.7%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws25.218.4
73.0%
75.0%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.8
60.0%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
75.0%15.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWWLWWWWWL
Siauliai
WWLWLLWLWW
#5
League position
#8
+6.3
Net rating
+1.0
118.5
Offensive rating
116.0
112.2
Defensive rating
114.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
57.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.7%
3-point %
35.7%
57.6%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 116.0Defence112.2 · 114.9Shooting55.5% · 57.4%3-point %39.7% · 35.7%Ball care16.0% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Jonava   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
4
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Siauliai v Jonava90-94
16/12/24Siauliai v Jonava103-93
04/12/24Siauliai v Jonava90-104
10/10/24Jonava v Siauliai87-84
05/10/24Jonava v Siauliai104-93
02/04/24Jonava v Siauliai81-80
03/03/24Siauliai v Jonava89-86
20/01/24Jonava v Siauliai72-83
04/01/24Siauliai v Jonava80-77
02/10/23Jonava v Siauliai85-84
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25ARytas82-112
26/04/25ANevezis102-80
23/04/25HJuventus78-72
21/04/25HRytas99-104
16/04/25HMazeikiai116-55
13/04/25AJuventus115-109 OT
05/04/25ANeptunas98-97
29/03/25HNevezis96-89
22/03/25HLietkabelis92-87
16/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas62-89
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HMazeikiai122-96
27/04/25ANeptunas95-90
22/04/25HBC Wolves85-92
19/04/25HNevezis96-91
16/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas56-98
12/04/25ALietkabelis73-92
05/04/25HJuventus86-68
29/03/25HRytas82-102
26/03/25HBC Wolves110-89
22/03/25HNeptunas91-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayLWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%60%53%
Points / game89.390.488.2
Allowed / game90.087.592.5
Point differential-0.7+2.9-4.3
Avg total179.3177.9180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Siauliai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %43%56%29%
Points / game91.194.287.5
Allowed / game94.692.297.4
Point differential-3.6+1.9-9.9
Avg total185.7186.4184.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)57% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3129294%92.174.0+18.1
2 Rytas3125681%92.583.1+9.4
3 Jonava30171357%89.390.0-0.7
4 Lietkabelis31161552%82.881.3+1.5
5 BC Wolves31161552%89.589.0+0.5
6 Juventus31141745%84.086.7-2.8
7 Siauliai30131743%91.194.6-3.6
8 Neptunas31112035%85.088.6-3.6
9 Nevezis31102132%89.389.4-0.0
10 Mazeikiai3132810%79.098.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava29292325106
Siauliai22242431101
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