PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jonava vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 96-89
21-17 31-20 20-26 24-26
Position#5
Record11-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game90.1
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#9
Record6-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game89.0
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Nevezis
27 Mar 2027
JON v NEV
upcoming
22 Sep 2026
JON85
NEV65
18 Apr 2026
JON90
NEV89
23 Oct 2025
JON88
NEV101
12 Oct 2025
JON86
NEV82
29 Mar 2025
JON96
NEV89
02 Feb 2025
JON87
NEV110
02 Oct 2024
JON93
NEV80
16 Sep 2023
JON94
NEV77
04 May 2023
JON89
NEV78
19 Oct 2022
JON82
NEV80
01 Oct 2022
JON71
NEV64
18 Oct 2021
JON88
NEV76
14 Oct 2021
JON83
NEV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 76
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 76
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
53avg 76
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 76
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 76
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 76
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 76
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 76
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
43avg 76
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 76
H22/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-13
17-19
27-21
25-24
25-27
27-20
14-23
20-18
17-22
17-21
18-24
15-11
28-30
17-20
20-23
23-19
17-37
23-24
24-30
19-25
20-21
30-17
19-23
25-15
17-20
20-8
19-34
26-26
23-20
19-21
26-23
9-22
20-19
13-26
20-22
25-27
17-19
23-27
27-14
170.4Avg total
83.0Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.090.1176.2-4.150%
Season at home (11)87.990.3178.2-2.455%
Season away (11)84.290.0174.2-5.845%
Last 10 (10)83.087.4170.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)83.485.8169.2-2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.490.9173.3-8.444%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.290.7179.9-1.553%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 81
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 81
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 81
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
67avg 81
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
110-87
110
87
+23
108avg 81
A02/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
107-94
107
94
+13
89avg 81
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-99
98
99
-1
98avg 81
A01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 81
H06/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 81
H16/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
81avg 81
H23/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
22-26
38-19
19-29
21-26
24-23
20-18
21-21
14-19
17-20
22-24
14-14
28-21
22-21
11-29
23-20
19-23
37-17
24-23
30-24
29-26
27-24
23-18
28-26
35-28
24-25
16-24
23-22
24-14
11-17
20-28
26-24
23-18
26-20
30-15
26-21
16-21
18-20
26-26
20-17
180.0Avg total
92.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.989.0177.8-0.127%
Season at home (12)85.786.8172.4-1.125%
Season away (10)92.791.6184.3+1.130%
Last 10 (10)92.088.0180.0+4.030%
Last 5 (5)94.286.8181.0+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.491.6178.0-5.114%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.089.6180.6+1.443%
vs Weaker (9)91.685.4177.0+6.156%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
JonavaNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/03
LKL
84.4Avg total
41.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.744.486.1-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.388.8-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.583.4-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.484.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.446.084.4-7.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.746.090.7-1.347%-
vs Weaker (6)38.838.277.0+0.750%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A02/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A09/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A01/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H16/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H23/03
LKL
89.8Avg total
46.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.544.690.1+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.989.9+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.490.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)46.043.889.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.689.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.145.991.0-0.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.845.490.1-0.643%-
vs Weaker (9)46.842.689.3+4.256%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.2
49.3%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
35.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.017.7
73.8%
75.0%17.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.4
55.3%
55.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.4
37.5%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws23.817.1
71.8%
75.0%17.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLWWWLLLLW
Nevezis
LWLLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-6.3
Net rating
+4.6
108.2
Offensive rating
116.8
114.5
Defensive rating
112.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.2%
3-point %
37.5%
53.4%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 116.8Defence114.5 · 112.2Shooting48.9% · 55.7%3-point %32.2% · 37.5%Ball care15.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Jonava   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
6
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Jonava v Nevezis87-110
06/11/24Nevezis v Jonava87-84
28/10/24Nevezis v Jonava93-105
02/10/24Jonava v Nevezis93-80
18/04/24Nevezis v Jonava116-83
13/01/24Nevezis v Jonava92-86
16/09/23Jonava v Nevezis94-77
04/05/23Jonava v Nevezis89-78
12/02/23Nevezis v Jonava91-83
16/11/22Nevezis v Jonava85-80
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HLietkabelis92-87
16/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas62-89
09/03/25ASiauliai94-90
01/03/25HBC Wolves81-77
08/02/25ALietkabelis88-86
02/02/25HNevezis87-110
25/01/25ARytas80-84
18/01/25ABC Wolves72-85
11/01/25HBC Wolves91-94
05/01/25AMazeikiai83-72
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-84
16/03/25HJuventus105-74
06/03/25HNeptunas81-83
01/03/25ARytas98-99
09/02/25ANeptunas107-94
02/02/25AJonava110-87
26/01/25AJuventus84-91
19/01/25ALietkabelis67-77
12/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas86-88
05/01/25ABC Wolves102-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game86.087.984.2
Allowed / game90.190.390.0
Point differential-4.1-2.4-5.8
Avg total176.2178.2174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeWWLWL25%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%25%30%
Points / game88.985.792.7
Allowed / game89.086.891.6
Point differential-0.1-1.1+1.1
Avg total177.8172.4184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (8)0% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2220291%91.374.6+16.7
2 Rytas2217577%89.482.0+7.4
3 BC Wolves2214864%91.388.6+2.6
4 Lietkabelis22111150%82.981.8+1.1
5 Jonava22111150%86.090.1-4.1
6 Juventus22101245%83.585.5-2.1
7 Neptunas2291341%84.087.0-3.0
8 Siauliai2291341%92.695.9-3.3
9 Nevezis2261627%88.989.0-0.1
10 Mazeikiai2231914%80.695.9-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2131202496
Nevezis1720262689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.