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Jonava vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-87
25-27 17-19 23-27 27-14
Position#5
Record10-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game90.3
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#3
Record11-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game81.3
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Lietkabelis
10 Apr 2027
JON v LIE
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
JON v LIE
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
JON69
LIE67
16 Nov 2025
JON85
LIE96
18 Jun 2025
JON73
LIE81
13 Jun 2025
JON85
LIE104
22 Mar 2025
JON92
LIE87
17 Nov 2024
JON84
LIE82
09 Mar 2024
JON74
LIE92
07 Jun 2023
JON55
LIE75
02 Jun 2023
JON87
LIE88
19 Nov 2022
JON88
LIE91
02 Oct 2021
JON74
LIE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 76
H28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 76
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 76
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
53avg 76
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 76
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 76
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 76
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 76
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 76
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
43avg 76
A16/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-20
23-30
22-14
22-19
17-13
17-19
27-21
25-24
25-27
27-20
14-23
20-18
17-22
17-21
18-24
15-11
28-30
17-20
20-23
23-19
17-37
23-24
24-30
19-25
20-21
30-17
19-23
25-15
17-20
20-8
19-34
26-26
23-20
19-21
26-23
9-22
20-19
13-26
20-22
169.3Avg total
82.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.890.3176.0-4.548%
Season at home (10)87.590.6178.1-3.150%
Season away (11)84.290.0174.2-5.845%
Last 10 (10)82.486.9169.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)82.490.4172.8-8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.291.4172.6-10.138%
vs Similar (16)89.490.0179.4-0.656%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-82
97
82
+15
95avg 78
A25/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 78
H29/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
83avg 78
H01/02
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
71avg 78
A04/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
79avg 78
H08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
56-79
56
79
-23
43avg 78
A15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-91
100
91
+9
94avg 78
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 78
A02/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
60avg 78
A08/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 78
H15/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
31-24
25-22
25-19
22-20
18-27
26-25
26-19
19-24
23-23
19-22
29-29
14-18
19-28
24-17
20-28
25-19
21-20
17-30
23-19
13-24
14-14
18-20
11-21
23-31
29-18
22-18
26-24
29-15
15-19
22-23
25-15
23-20
15-18
12-17
25-19
24-19
20-6
15-27
23-23
168.7Avg total
84.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.781.3164.0+1.452%
Season at home (10)84.284.0168.2+0.250%
Season away (11)81.478.9160.3+2.555%
Last 10 (10)84.684.1168.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)80.878.2159.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)85.690.7176.3-5.133%
vs Similar (5)84.478.8163.2+5.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.581.8164.3+0.740%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
JonavaLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
LKL
83.5Avg total
40.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.285.7-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.044.987.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.583.4-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.683.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.884.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.046.084.0-8.012%-
vs Similar (16)44.145.689.8-1.544%-
vs Weaker (6)38.838.277.0+0.750%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/01
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/02
LKL
Venezia
#11
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/02
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H15/03
LKL
81.7Avg total
41.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.583.8+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.940.185.0+4.867%-
Last 30 away (18)40.542.482.9-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.481.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.244.586.7-2.347%-
vs Similar (5)44.637.281.8+7.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.239.180.3+2.150%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.4
49.9%
55.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.4
30.2%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.918.2
73.1%
75.0%18.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.7
53.2%
55.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.216.6
71.6%
75.0%16.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWWWLLLLWW
Lietkabelis
WWWWLLLLWW
#5
League position
#3
-6.5
Net rating
+1.1
107.2
Offensive rating
111.7
113.7
Defensive rating
110.6
48.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.2%
3-point %
35.1%
53.2%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 111.7Defence113.7 · 110.6Shooting48.2% · 53.0%3-point %30.2% · 35.1%Ball care15.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Jonava   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
6
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Lietkabelis v Jonava86-88
17/11/24Jonava v Lietkabelis84-82
24/03/24Lietkabelis v Jonava90-80
09/03/24Jonava v Lietkabelis74-92
04/11/23Lietkabelis v Jonava84-79
09/06/23Lietkabelis v Jonava84-72
07/06/23Jonava v Lietkabelis55-75
05/06/23Lietkabelis v Jonava63-82
02/06/23Jonava v Lietkabelis87-88
31/05/23Lietkabelis v Jonava80-89
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas62-89
09/03/25ASiauliai94-90
01/03/25HBC Wolves81-77
08/02/25ALietkabelis88-86
02/02/25HNevezis87-110
25/01/25ARytas80-84
18/01/25ABC Wolves72-85
11/01/25HBC Wolves91-94
05/01/25AMazeikiai83-72
28/12/24HNeptunas86-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HRytas82-75
08/03/25AJuventus75-74
02/03/25ANeptunas91-72
16/02/25ABC Wolves100-91
15/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas56-79
08/02/25HJonava86-88
04/02/25AVenezia77-91
01/02/25HJuventus90-98
29/01/25HCluj-Napoca92-91
25/01/25ABC Wolves97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game85.887.584.2
Allowed / game90.390.690.0
Point differential-4.5-3.1-5.8
Avg total176.0178.1174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%50%55%
Points / game82.784.281.4
Allowed / game81.384.078.9
Point differential+1.4+0.2+2.5
Avg total164.0168.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2119290%91.774.3+17.3
2 Rytas2217577%89.482.0+7.4
3 BC Wolves2013765%91.687.8+3.8
4 Lietkabelis21111052%82.781.3+1.4
5 Juventus21101148%83.585.5-2.0
6 Jonava21101148%85.890.3-4.5
7 Neptunas2291341%84.087.0-3.0
8 Siauliai2181338%91.896.2-4.5
9 Nevezis2161529%89.389.2+0.1
10 Mazeikiai2231914%80.695.9-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2517232792
Lietkabelis2719271487
← all games of the day
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