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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-98
16-27 24-34 22-21 35-16
Position#7
Record9-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record12-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game90.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 80
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
99-63
99
63
+36
104avg 80
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-107
94
107
-13
110avg 80
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 80
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 80
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 80
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 80
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 80
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 80
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
66avg 80
H30/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
17-21
11-21
31-20
21-17
27-12
26-18
25-16
26-29
24-27
18-23
26-28
27-24
16-20
22-14
22-25
25-21
20-22
24-25
20-23
15-29
19-15
23-22
15-25
14-24
17-11
28-20
24-26
24-25
21-14
22-20
29-18
22-18
16-26
18-24
22-23
14-20
22-14
15-28
16-18
169.9Avg total
84.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.386.7170.0-3.439%
Season at home (11)77.883.6161.5-5.827%
Season away (12)88.389.5177.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)84.585.4169.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)79.284.0163.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.387.7166.0-9.325%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.288.7170.8-6.517%
vs Weaker (12)94.985.9180.8+9.067%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 77
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
53avg 77
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 77
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 77
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 77
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 77
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 77
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
43avg 77
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 77
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
88avg 77
H29/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
25-27
27-20
14-23
20-18
17-22
17-21
18-24
15-11
28-30
17-20
20-23
23-19
17-37
23-24
24-30
19-25
20-21
30-17
19-23
25-15
17-20
20-8
19-34
26-26
23-20
19-21
26-23
9-22
20-19
13-26
20-22
25-27
17-19
23-27
27-14
21-17
31-20
20-26
24-26
173.4Avg total
84.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.590.1176.6-3.652%
Season at home (12)88.690.2178.8-1.658%
Season away (11)84.290.0174.2-5.845%
Last 10 (10)84.389.1173.4-4.850%
Last 5 (5)85.086.4171.4-1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.490.9173.3-8.444%
vs Similar ◀ (15)88.790.4179.1-1.753%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/03
LKL
82.5Avg total
40.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.684.4-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.741.983.6-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)42.043.385.3-1.336%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.782.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.276.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.143.984.0-3.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.342.582.8-2.217%-
vs Weaker (12)44.341.285.6+3.150%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H29/03
LKL
86.2Avg total
42.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.985.6-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.544.387.8-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.583.4-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.986.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.083.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.446.084.4-7.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.745.089.7-0.353%-
vs Weaker (6)38.838.277.0+0.750%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.7
55.7%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.715.8
72.8%
75.0%15.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.2
49.1%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
75.0%18.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWWLLWLWL
Jonava
WWLWWWLLLL
#7
League position
#5
-0.7
Net rating
-6.4
112.6
Offensive rating
110.8
113.3
Defensive rating
117.2
56.4%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
14.4%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.3%
3-point %
33.6%
64.8%
Assist %
54.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 110.8Defence113.3 · 117.2Shooting56.4% · 49.6%3-point %38.3% · 33.6%Ball care18.8% · 14.4%Off. rebounds32.7% · 31.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas67-80
22/03/25ASiauliai78-91
15/03/25AMazeikiai96-77
06/03/25ANevezis83-81
02/03/25HLietkabelis72-91
16/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas89-91
15/02/25HBC Wolves87-83
09/02/25HNevezis94-107
01/02/25HMazeikiai99-63
25/01/25HSiauliai80-90
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HNevezis96-89
22/03/25HLietkabelis92-87
16/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas62-89
09/03/25ASiauliai94-90
01/03/25HBC Wolves81-77
08/02/25ALietkabelis88-86
02/02/25HNevezis87-110
25/01/25ARytas80-84
18/01/25ABC Wolves72-85
11/01/25HBC Wolves91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL39%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%27%50%
Points / game83.377.888.3
Allowed / game86.783.689.5
Point differential-3.4-5.8-1.2
Avg total170.0161.5177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%58%45%
Points / game86.588.684.2
Allowed / game90.190.290.0
Point differential-3.6-1.6-5.8
Avg total176.6178.8174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2321291%90.874.3+16.6
2 Rytas2318578%89.982.0+7.9
3 BC Wolves2314961%90.188.2+1.9
4 Lietkabelis23121152%82.781.0+1.7
5 Jonava23121152%86.590.1-3.6
6 Juventus24111346%82.785.2-2.5
7 Siauliai24101442%91.995.0-3.1
8 Neptunas2391439%83.386.7-3.4
9 Nevezis2471729%89.488.5+0.9
10 Mazeikiai2432112%80.095.4-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1624223597
Jonava2734211698
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