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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 89-62
22-9 19-20 26-13 22-20
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#5
Record10-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game90.3
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Jonava
17 Feb 2027
ZAL v JON
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
ZAL86
JON63
20 May 2026
ZAL102
JON82
08 Mar 2026
ZAL97
JON90
01 Feb 2026
ZAL104
JON91
17 Jan 2026
ZAL89
JON63
03 Jun 2025
ZAL86
JON78
29 May 2025
ZAL73
JON61
16 Mar 2025
ZAL89
JON62
01 Dec 2024
ZAL101
JON64
21 Apr 2024
ZAL101
JON57
15 Oct 2023
ZAL86
JON69
29 Jan 2023
ZAL76
JON80
13 Mar 2022
ZAL93
JON70
18 Jan 2022
ZAL68
JON59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
73-53
73
53
+20
67avg 81
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
72avg 81
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
111-81
111
81
+30
120avg 81
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-56
79
56
+23
70avg 81
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 81
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 81
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
81avg 81
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 81
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 81
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
12-10
18-15
18-16
16-24
26-26
24-17
21-22
29-25
30-20
24-20
28-16
24-13
14-14
20-18
21-11
21-25
22-20
25-24
23-20
23-22
21-21
23-17
19-20
21-13
20-22
18-22
11-13
12-18
18-20
13-10
22-18
24-14
17-20
24-15
18-27
14-22
17-25
29-14
23-20
159.4Avg total
84.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.875.0166.8+16.890%
Season at home (10)90.871.7162.5+19.1100%
Season away (10)92.878.2171.0+14.680%
Last 10 (10)84.275.2159.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.276.8157.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.087.8170.8-4.825%
vs Similar (10)78.682.0160.6-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.676.3167.9+15.2100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
77-95
77
95
-18
57avg 77
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 77
H28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 77
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 77
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
53avg 77
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 77
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 77
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 77
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 77
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 77
A09/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-23
22-22
20-26
20-18
21-20
23-30
22-14
22-19
17-13
17-19
27-21
25-24
25-27
27-20
14-23
20-18
17-22
17-21
18-24
15-11
28-30
17-20
20-23
23-19
17-37
23-24
24-30
19-25
20-21
30-17
19-23
25-15
17-20
20-8
19-34
26-26
23-20
19-21
26-23
171.4Avg total
83.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.090.3177.3-3.450%
Season at home (10)87.590.6178.1-3.150%
Season away (10)86.490.1176.5-3.750%
Last 10 (10)83.987.5171.4-3.650%
Last 5 (5)86.089.4175.4-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.091.7175.7-7.743%
vs Similar (17)89.390.0179.3-0.753%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
Zalgiris KaunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A09/03
LKL
Paris
#9
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
40.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.682.9+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.538.381.8+5.271%-
Last 30 away (13)45.338.984.2+6.462%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.476.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.534.584.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (10)38.142.180.2-4.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.937.484.2+9.581%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H02/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/03
LKL
84.7Avg total
41.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.686.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.044.987.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.044.285.2-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.284.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.887.4-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.346.786.0-7.414%-
vs Similar (17)44.245.990.2-1.741%-
vs Weaker (6)38.838.277.0+0.750%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.5
56.2%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
75.0%16.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.2
50.8%
55.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.3
29.8%
35.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.518.6
75.9%
75.0%18.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWWWLW
Jonava
WWWLLLLWWL
#1
League position
#5
+13.3
Net rating
-4.7
118.1
Offensive rating
108.9
104.8
Defensive rating
113.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.8%
3-point %
29.8%
63.9%
Assist %
51.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 108.9Defence104.8 · 113.6Shooting55.7% · 48.6%3-point %36.8% · 29.8%Ball care17.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.9% · 33.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Jonava wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HParis83-81
09/03/25ARytas83-76
06/03/25ABaskonia65-66
02/03/25HJuventus84-81 OT
27/02/25ACrvena zvezda86-80
16/02/25ANeptunas91-89
15/02/25HLietkabelis79-56
09/02/25HSiauliai111-81
06/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-89
04/02/25HAlba Berlin73-53
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ASiauliai94-90
01/03/25HBC Wolves81-77
08/02/25ALietkabelis88-86
02/02/25HNevezis87-110
25/01/25ARytas80-84
18/01/25ABC Wolves72-85
11/01/25HBC Wolves91-94
05/01/25AMazeikiai83-72
28/12/24HNeptunas86-82
22/12/24HBC Wolves77-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game91.890.892.8
Allowed / game75.071.778.2
Point differential+16.9+19.1+14.6
Avg total166.8162.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.087.586.4
Allowed / game90.390.690.1
Point differential-3.4-3.1-3.7
Avg total177.3178.1176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2018290%91.875.0+16.9
2 Rytas2116576%88.882.6+6.1
3 BC Wolves1912763%91.288.1+3.1
4 Lietkabelis21111052%82.781.3+1.4
5 Juventus20101050%84.084.5-0.6
6 Jonava20101050%87.090.3-3.4
7 Neptunas2191243%84.386.8-2.5
8 Siauliai1971237%92.297.0-4.8
9 Nevezis2051525%88.590.0-1.4
10 Mazeikiai2131814%81.195.6-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2219262289
Jonava920132062
← all games of the day
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