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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-95
28-26 19-19 14-27 29-23
Position#7
Record10-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#8
Record11-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game94.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 81
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 81
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 81
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 81
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
66avg 81
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
97avg 81
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 81
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
85avg 81
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 81
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 81
A24/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
19-15
23-22
15-25
14-24
17-11
28-20
24-26
24-25
21-14
22-20
29-18
22-18
16-26
18-24
22-23
14-20
22-14
15-28
16-18
16-27
24-34
22-21
35-16
14-26
20-24
34-21
24-14
18-22
23-15
23-30
21-30
24-36
18-17
20-25
32-22
16-30
24-21
22-26
23-26
175.2Avg total
84.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.688.5173.1-3.936%
Season at home (14)80.785.7166.4-5.029%
Season away (14)88.591.2179.7-2.743%
Last 10 (10)84.990.3175.2-5.430%
Last 5 (5)90.696.6187.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.589.7169.2-10.221%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.088.9171.9-5.914%
vs Weaker (9)94.784.7179.3+10.078%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
90-94
90
94
-4
82avg 87
H09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
84-100
84
100
-16
72avg 87
A17/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 87
H22/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
110-89
110
89
+21
105avg 87
H26/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
76avg 87
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
86-68
86
68
+18
89avg 87
H05/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
67avg 87
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
56-98
56
98
-42
46avg 87
A16/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-91
96
91
+5
96avg 87
H19/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 87
H22/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-23
21-19
23-26
26-33
28-26
12-17
18-24
18-22
26-16
24-18
23-22
24-16
32-28
31-18
23-27
21-28
21-23
22-26
18-25
24-16
16-20
28-18
18-14
27-24
17-26
22-19
7-23
11-21
17-21
17-31
11-25
30-26
22-21
23-21
21-23
21-21
29-28
20-22
15-21
175.7Avg total
85.3Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)89.894.8184.6-4.939%
Season at home (15)92.392.0184.3+0.353%
Season away (13)86.997.9184.8-11.023%
Last 10 (10)85.390.4175.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)79.288.2167.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)86.197.4183.5-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (11)95.194.6189.7+0.555%
vs Weaker (3)101.393.7195.0+7.733%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -5.3-5.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -5.3-5.3
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/04
LKL
82.9Avg total
38.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.585.1-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.343.984.2-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)40.945.486.3-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)38.144.882.9-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.450.489.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.545.284.7-5.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.747.085.7-8.30%-
vs Weaker (9)43.741.685.2+2.144%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A17/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H26/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A16/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H19/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H22/04
LKL
92.1Avg total
45.6Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.047.593.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.045.893.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)43.749.493.1-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)45.646.592.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.887.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)45.649.695.1-4.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)46.045.991.9+0.155%-
vs Weaker (3)48.342.090.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.7
57.5%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.6
38.2%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.517.7
78.7%
75.0%17.7
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.123.0
58.8%
55.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.5
31.6%
35.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.4
75.9%
75.0%16.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLWLLLWWL
Siauliai
LWLLWLWWLL
#7
League position
#8
-7.2
Net rating
-5.6
111.6
Offensive rating
110.6
118.7
Defensive rating
116.2
57.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
23.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.2%
3-point %
31.6%
67.8%
Assist %
58.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.6Defence118.7 · 116.2Shooting57.5% · 54.5%3-point %38.2% · 31.6%Ball care23.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 32.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Siauliai v Neptunas91-78
25/01/25Neptunas v Siauliai80-90
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
02/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas102-82
05/05/24Siauliai v Neptunas104-98
11/03/24Neptunas v Siauliai85-76
24/09/23Siauliai v Neptunas90-82
15/04/23Siauliai v Neptunas87-89
06/03/23Neptunas v Siauliai93-79
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25ARytas85-103
21/04/25AJuventus94-100
15/04/25HBC Wolves85-97
12/04/25HRytas92-85
05/04/25HJonava97-98
30/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas67-80
22/03/25ASiauliai78-91
15/03/25AMazeikiai96-77
06/03/25ANevezis83-81
02/03/25HLietkabelis72-91
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/25HBC Wolves85-92
19/04/25HNevezis96-91
16/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas56-98
12/04/25ALietkabelis73-92
05/04/25HJuventus86-68
29/03/25HRytas82-102
26/03/25HBC Wolves110-89
22/03/25HNeptunas91-78
17/03/25ABC Wolves84-100
09/03/25HJonava90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game84.680.788.5
Allowed / game88.585.791.2
Point differential-3.9-5.0-2.7
Avg total173.1166.4179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Siauliai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %39%53%23%
Points / game89.892.386.9
Allowed / game94.892.097.9
Point differential-4.9+0.3-11.0
Avg total184.6184.3184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)57% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %11%13%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2927293%91.873.4+18.3
2 Rytas2923679%91.683.0+8.6
3 Jonava29171259%89.689.3+0.3
4 BC Wolves29161355%89.788.3+1.3
5 Lietkabelis29151452%83.081.1+1.9
6 Juventus29121741%83.386.8-3.6
7 Siauliai28111739%89.894.8-4.9
8 Neptunas28101836%84.688.5-3.9
9 Nevezis29101934%89.388.6+0.8
10 Mazeikiai2932610%78.297.3-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2819142990
Siauliai2619272395
← all games of the day
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