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Jurbarkas vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-53
30-9 14-11 8-21 28-12
Position#3
Record17-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.7
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
Position#15
Record9-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game88.7
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Alytaus Alytus
14 Feb 2026
JURB111
ALYT87
16 Dec 2025
JURB76
ALYT71
09 Jan 2025
JURB80
ALYT53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 79
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
74-64
74
64
+10
73avg 79
H14/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 79
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
74avg 79
A28/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
86avg 79
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
70-96
70
96
-26
63avg 79
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
104-91
104
91
+13
108avg 79
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
66avg 79
A17/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
73avg 79
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
72-57
72
57
+15
71avg 79
A05/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
22-20
27-21
19-26
20-14
22-11
15-22
17-17
18-15
23-17
22-30
20-17
22-18
18-27
20-19
16-12
16-20
20-22
36-13
14-21
14-26
25-16
15-28
16-26
27-14
38-27
15-23
24-27
14-19
17-19
27-6
18-27
18-25
29-31
19-18
18-21
19-11
12-23
18-10
23-13
160.7Avg total
81.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.078.7160.7+3.274%
Season at home (11)85.578.4163.9+7.291%
Season away (12)78.779.1157.8-0.458%
Last 10 (10)81.679.1160.7+2.570%
Last 5 (5)81.282.0163.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.081.0153.0-9.050%
vs Similar (19)83.181.4164.4+1.768%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.471.9155.3+11.6100%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
88avg 72
A23/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 72
A28/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 72
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
113-88
113
88
+25
112avg 72
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
100-96
100
96
+4
99avg 72
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
91-108
91
108
-17
83avg 72
A14/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 72
H17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 72
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
58-107
58
107
-49
28avg 72
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
65avg 72
H04/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
22-29
19-20
22-18
11-17
16-18
27-22
30-22
29-24
15-17
13-20
17-30
19-16
35-15
27-26
32-31
20-10
31-16
26-26
23-44
25-19
20-34
21-26
25-29
26-23
17-16
13-22
12-15
8-21
26-20
21-24
21-18
13-35
16-21
15-28
14-23
25-17
17-25
19-23
14-23
173.7Avg total
83.5Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.888.7169.6-7.936%
Season at home (12)80.990.3171.2-9.425%
Season away (13)80.887.2168.0-6.546%
Last 10 (10)83.590.2173.7-6.740%
Last 5 (5)73.692.4166.0-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.188.2166.3-10.130%
vs Similar (2)112.594.5207.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
JurbarkasAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A17/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A05/01
NKL
79.7Avg total
41.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.779.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.081.4+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.637.478.1+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.579.7+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.284.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.541.578.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (19)43.338.381.5+5.063%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.434.075.4+7.457%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A23/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/01
NKL
83.6Avg total
42.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)40.442.482.8-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.342.083.3-0.750%-
Last 30 away (13)39.642.782.3-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.283.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.646.284.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.342.581.7-3.235%-
vs Similar (2)54.041.095.0+13.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.8
55.8%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.7
29.6%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.1
71.6%
70.5%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.924.4
50.9%
52.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.4
37.4%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.811.8
66.3%
70.5%11.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WLWWLWLWWW
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLWWLWW
#3
League position
#15
+3.1
Net rating
-8.1
108.2
Offensive rating
104.8
105.2
Defensive rating
112.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
20.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.6%
3-point %
37.4%
64.4%
Assist %
54.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 104.8Defence105.2 · 112.9Shooting51.2% · 52.4%3-point %29.6% · 37.4%Ball care20.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds37.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jurbarkas wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
10/10/24Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas74-97
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AKretinga72-57
20/12/24HNeptunas 284-95
17/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis76-71
14/12/24HOmega-Tauras104-91
12/12/24AVilkaviskis70-96
30/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga86-76
28/11/24ARytas 281-85 OT
16/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas 283-79
14/11/24HPlunges Olimpas74-64
12/11/24HVytis VDU86-77
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HVilkaviskis75-88
21/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga58-107
19/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga76-83
17/12/24HNeptunas 268-76
14/12/24AVytis VDU91-108
12/12/24HPlunges Olimpas100-96
05/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis113-88
01/12/24HTelsiai74-91
28/11/24AUkmerges Stekas84-79
23/11/24ARytas 296-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game82.085.578.7
Allowed / game78.778.479.1
Point differential+3.2+7.2-0.4
Avg total160.7163.9157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayWWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%25%46%
Points / game80.880.980.8
Allowed / game88.790.387.2
Point differential-7.9-9.4-6.5
Avg total169.6171.2168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas2317674%82.078.7+3.2
2 BC Olimpas Palanga2619773%81.872.0+9.8
3 Telsiai2518772%85.077.4+7.6
4 Vytis VDU2516964%89.284.2+5.0
5 Omega-Tauras2516964%81.379.2+2.1
6 Vilkaviskis27171063%82.676.9+5.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 224141058%79.976.1+3.8
8 Suduva-Mantinga26151158%82.378.1+4.2
9 Neptunas 225141156%79.278.6+0.6
10 Silute26111542%80.582.1-1.6
11 Ukmerges Stekas26111542%76.578.1-1.6
12 Rytas 22591636%79.582.8-3.3
13 Alytaus Alytus2591636%80.888.7-7.9
14 Plunges Olimpas2481633%77.281.8-4.5
15 Kretinga2671927%77.484.5-7.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis261254%77.393.1-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas301482880
Alytaus Alytus911211253
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