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Kretinga vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 57-72
11-19 23-12 10-18 13-23
Position#13
Record7-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game84.9
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record16-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game79.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Jurbarkas
29 Oct 2026
KRET79
JURB86
12 Mar 2026
KRET77
JURB88
16 Oct 2025
KRET65
JURB81
05 Jan 2025
KRET57
JURB72
28 Apr 2024
KRET84
JURB89
20 Apr 2024
KRET76
JURB84
04 Jan 2024
KRET89
JURB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
57avg 69
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 69
H23/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
72avg 69
A28/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 69
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 69
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 69
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 69
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
82avg 69
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 69
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 69
A21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
19-33
18-17
16-33
25-23
24-23
19-15
25-17
30-25
20-25
15-20
12-21
24-27
19-22
25-15
11-18
26-16
18-22
21-19
16-28
19-26
25-17
16-12
26-19
27-24
26-20
27-21
10-21
22-26
23-19
13-24
31-28
15-14
20-19
8-23
21-18
13-21
12-17
19-21
14-17
164.4Avg total
78.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.584.9163.3-6.429%
Season at home (12)77.782.0159.7-4.342%
Season away (12)79.287.8167.0-8.517%
Last 10 (10)78.885.6164.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)77.481.4158.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.183.3157.4-9.238%
vs Similar (14)79.883.7163.5-3.921%
vs Weaker (3)81.786.3168.0-4.733%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 79
H09/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 79
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
74-64
74
64
+10
73avg 79
H14/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 79
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
74avg 79
A28/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
86avg 79
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
70-96
70
96
-26
63avg 79
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
104-91
104
91
+13
108avg 79
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
66avg 79
A17/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
73avg 79
H20/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
22-13
16-15
24-28
18-10
22-20
27-21
19-26
20-14
22-11
15-22
17-17
18-15
23-17
22-30
20-17
22-18
18-27
20-19
16-12
16-20
20-22
36-13
14-21
14-26
25-16
15-28
16-26
27-14
38-27
15-23
24-27
14-19
17-19
27-6
18-27
18-25
29-31
19-18
18-21
162.6Avg total
82.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.479.7162.1+2.773%
Season at home (11)85.578.4163.9+7.291%
Season away (11)79.381.1160.4-1.855%
Last 10 (10)82.180.5162.6+1.670%
Last 5 (5)84.085.8169.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.483.8159.2-8.440%
vs Similar (19)83.181.4164.4+1.768%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.374.3159.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
KretingaJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A21/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H23/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/12
NKL
87.4Avg total
42.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.682.2-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.243.781.9-5.533%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.582.4-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.987.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.681.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.542.681.1-4.238%-
vs Similar (14)39.942.182.0-2.129%-
vs Weaker (3)42.345.387.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A17/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H20/12
NKL
79.7Avg total
41.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.980.0+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.038.181.1+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.337.778.9+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.979.7+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.887.4-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.641.277.8-4.640%-
vs Similar (19)43.338.381.5+5.063%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.234.077.2+9.267%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.0%
52.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
70.5%12.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.7
56.5%
52.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.5
29.9%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.513.6
69.7%
70.5%13.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLWWLLLWL
Jurbarkas
LWWLWLWWWW
#13
League position
#3
-9.7
Net rating
+2.4
104.6
Offensive rating
108.1
114.3
Defensive rating
105.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
29.9%
69.2%
Assist %
63.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 108.1Defence114.3 · 105.7Shooting51.9% · 52.0%3-point %32.6% · 29.9%Ball care19.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 37.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
5
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga87-86
28/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas84-89
25/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga93-76
20/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas76-84
17/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga78-87
04/01/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas89-82
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AUkmerges Stekas58-76
19/12/24HBC Olimpas Palanga64-74
14/12/24ANeptunas 289-97
12/12/24HVytis VDU90-86
07/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis86-74
05/12/24ARytas 281-85
30/11/24HOmega-Tauras79-82
28/11/24ATelsiai77-91
23/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga93-78
21/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga71-113
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HNeptunas 284-95
17/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis76-71
14/12/24HOmega-Tauras104-91
12/12/24AVilkaviskis70-96
30/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga86-76
28/11/24ARytas 281-85 OT
16/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas 283-79
14/11/24HPlunges Olimpas74-64
12/11/24HVytis VDU86-77
09/11/24HRytas 277-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeWLWWL42%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%42%17%
Points / game78.577.779.2
Allowed / game84.982.087.8
Point differential-6.4-4.3-8.5
Avg total163.3159.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game82.485.579.3
Allowed / game79.778.481.1
Point differential+2.7+7.2-1.8
Avg total162.1163.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas2216673%82.479.7+2.7
2 BC Olimpas Palanga2518772%81.771.8+10.0
3 Telsiai2518772%85.077.4+7.6
4 Vilkaviskis2516964%82.676.8+5.8
5 Vytis VDU2415962%89.484.5+4.9
6 Omega-Tauras2415962%81.179.3+1.8
7 Neptunas 224141058%79.378.4+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 223131057%79.676.3+3.3
9 Suduva-Mantinga25141156%82.378.4+3.9
10 Silute25111444%80.881.8-1.0
11 Ukmerges Stekas25111444%76.577.9-1.4
12 Rytas 22591636%79.582.8-3.3
13 Alytaus Alytus2591636%80.888.7-7.9
14 Plunges Olimpas2481633%77.281.8-4.5
15 Kretinga2471729%78.584.9-6.4
16 Delikatesas Joniskis251244%77.693.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1123101357
Jurbarkas1912182372
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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