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Jurbarkas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-95
18-25 29-31 19-18 18-21
Position#3
Record16-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#10
Record13-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.2
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Neptunas 2
05 Mar 2026
JURB69
NEPT63
08 Nov 2025
JURB68
NEPT71
20 Dec 2024
JURB84
NEPT95
25 Nov 2023
JURB88
NEPT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
71avg 79
A07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 79
H09/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 79
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
74-64
74
64
+10
73avg 79
H14/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 79
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
74avg 79
A28/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
86avg 79
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
70-96
70
96
-26
63avg 79
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
104-91
104
91
+13
108avg 79
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
66avg 79
A17/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
17-23
15-26
22-21
15-15
22-13
16-15
24-28
18-10
22-20
27-21
19-26
20-14
22-11
15-22
17-17
18-15
23-17
22-30
20-17
22-18
18-27
20-19
16-12
16-20
20-22
36-13
14-21
14-26
25-16
15-28
16-26
27-14
38-27
15-23
24-27
14-19
17-19
27-6
18-27
161.4Avg total
81.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.379.0161.3+3.376%
Season at home (10)85.776.7162.4+9.0100%
Season away (11)79.381.1160.4-1.855%
Last 10 (10)81.579.9161.4+1.670%
Last 5 (5)83.483.8167.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.585.5165.0-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)83.080.6163.6+2.472%
vs Weaker (6)85.374.3159.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 72
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
62avg 72
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
73-64
73
64
+9
62avg 72
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
65avg 72
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 72
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
66avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
73-65
73
65
+8
62avg 72
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 72
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
97-89
97
89
+8
88avg 72
H14/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
57avg 72
A17/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
22-19
14-23
17-12
16-19
22-25
27-19
15-20
15-18
20-17
23-8
15-21
25-25
13-21
22-26
18-21
21-16
24-29
22-24
19-11
19-24
19-24
23-15
21-24
19-12
16-21
19-20
19-12
15-22
11-20
19-23
23-23
26-22
19-23
24-13
28-31
23-26
16-17
22-13
15-12
157.9Avg total
78.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.877.2156.0+1.559%
Season at home (11)82.776.8159.5+5.973%
Season away (11)74.877.6152.5-2.845%
Last 10 (10)78.279.7157.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.279.4158.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.376.5149.8-3.250%
vs Similar ◀ (21)82.380.5162.8+1.962%
vs Weaker (3)86.076.7162.7+9.367%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
JurbarkasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A17/12
NKL
77.7Avg total
41.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.479.5+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.736.979.6+5.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.637.979.4+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.577.7+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.683.8+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.241.279.3-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.137.380.3+5.867%-
vs Weaker (6)43.234.077.2+9.267%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/12
NKL
80.3Avg total
37.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.581.9-1.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.580.3+3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)39.044.583.5-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.680.3-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.278.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.235.371.5+0.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.243.684.8-2.319%-
vs Weaker (3)43.339.382.7+4.033%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.6
56.1%
52.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
70.5%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.7
49.9%
52.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.1
30.8%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.413.8
71.1%
70.5%13.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWLWLWWWWL
Neptunas 2
WWLWLWLWLL
#3
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
-1.9
107.1
Offensive rating
103.3
104.9
Defensive rating
105.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
21.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.1%
3-point %
30.8%
66.8%
Assist %
49.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 103.3Defence104.9 · 105.1Shooting51.9% · 48.0%3-point %30.1% · 30.8%Ball care21.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds37.8% · 27.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jurbarkas wins
0
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas73-77
25/11/23Jurbarkas v Neptunas 288-75
07/10/23Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas82-90
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis76-71
14/12/24HOmega-Tauras104-91
12/12/24AVilkaviskis70-96
30/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga86-76
28/11/24ARytas 281-85 OT
16/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas 283-79
14/11/24HPlunges Olimpas74-64
12/11/24HVytis VDU86-77
09/11/24HRytas 277-71
07/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga78-89
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AAlytaus Alytus76-68
14/12/24HKretinga97-89
12/12/24ATelsiai68-88
05/12/24HSilute73-65
30/11/24AVytis VDU82-87
28/11/24HPlunges Olimpas86-80
23/11/24AVilkaviskis78-93
21/11/24HVilkaviskis73-64
16/11/24HAlytaus Alytus80-83
14/11/24ASilute69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%100%55%
Points / game82.385.779.3
Allowed / game79.076.781.1
Point differential+3.3+9.0-1.8
Avg total161.3162.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game78.882.774.8
Allowed / game77.276.877.6
Point differential+1.5+5.9-2.8
Avg total156.0159.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas2116576%82.379.0+3.3
2 Telsiai2317674%85.277.7+7.6
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2316770%80.372.3+8.0
4 Vytis VDU2214864%90.484.7+5.7
5 Omega-Tauras2214864%81.078.5+2.5
6 Vilkaviskis2314961%82.877.5+5.3
7 Neptunas 22213959%78.877.2+1.5
8 Suduva-Mantinga23131057%81.577.7+3.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 222121055%79.776.6+3.1
10 Silute23101343%80.181.3-1.2
11 Ukmerges Stekas2391439%76.779.6-2.8
12 Alytaus Alytus2391439%82.188.0-5.9
13 Plunges Olimpas2281436%78.082.1-4.1
14 Rytas 22381535%78.882.4-3.6
15 Kretinga2371630%79.385.3-5.9
16 Delikatesas Joniskis241234%76.692.8-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas1829191884
Neptunas 22531182195
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