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Jurbarkas vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 111-87
38-17 30-25 25-14 18-31
Position#5
Record16-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.9
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
Position#17
Record6-26
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.9
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Alytaus Alytus
14 Feb 2026
JURB111
ALYT87
16 Dec 2025
JURB76
ALYT71
09 Jan 2025
JURB80
ALYT53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
54-72
54
72
-18
42avg 73
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 73
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 73
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 73
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
120-82
120
82
+38
128avg 73
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 73
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
82avg 73
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 73
A07/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-15
13-15
9-19
17-26
15-23
27-12
22-22
21-14
24-20
12-21
18-25
20-25
27-20
22-27
23-14
23-22
22-17
20-23
17-22
24-16
19-15
18-21
27-19
27-15
31-13
40-22
22-32
21-26
27-19
17-25
18-14
22-23
17-26
22-29
23-17
13-17
26-16
23-19
9-22
164.1Avg total
83.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.377.9157.2+1.450%
Season at home (16)80.176.0156.1+4.156%
Season away (16)78.679.8158.4-1.244%
Last 10 (10)83.081.1164.1+1.930%
Last 5 (5)89.281.2170.4+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.078.5142.5-14.50%
vs Similar (16)77.477.0154.4+0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.278.1161.3+5.267%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 70
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
60-88
60
88
-28
49avg 70
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
no box
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
61avg 70
H22/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
60-94
60
94
-34
48avg 70
A24/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
89avg 70
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
91avg 70
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
83-62
83
62
+21
78avg 70
A05/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
59avg 70
H07/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
21-14
16-16
20-24
10-19
17-25
18-22
15-22
19-20
21-15
19-26
24-20
18-16
18-21
9-19
23-12
16-23
21-30
20-27
19-24
12-27
14-30
10-18
24-19
18-28
28-20
20-25
28-25
23-22
24-18
18-24
21-22
19-20
25-15
21-16
18-11
17-20
20-26
17-27
21-17
167.5Avg total
78.7Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.685.9164.4-7.319%
Season at home (16)79.183.3162.4-4.219%
Season away (16)78.188.4166.5-10.419%
Last 10 (10)78.788.8167.5-10.120%
Last 5 (5)81.489.2170.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.686.7163.3-10.013%
vs Similar (7)85.683.6169.1+2.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
JurbarkasAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/02
NKL
81.9Avg total
42.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.877.0+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.734.474.1+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.839.179.9+1.773%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.181.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.282.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.534.065.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (16)39.536.676.1+2.981%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.837.480.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H22/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A24/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/02
NKL
82.4Avg total
38.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.280.2-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.741.178.9-3.429%-
Last 30 away (16)38.343.181.4-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.444.082.4-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.285.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.142.679.7-5.526%-
vs Similar (7)41.040.781.7+0.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.2
55.8%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.7
35.9%
32.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
69.8%
69.3%11.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.2
49.1%
54.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
69.3%13.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LLLWWLWLLL
Alytaus Alytus
LWLLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#17
+6.9
Net rating
-14.1
95.5
Offensive rating
90.7
88.6
Defensive rating
104.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.9%
3-point %
32.4%
68.6%
Assist %
54.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 90.7Defence88.6 · 104.8Shooting54.9% · 48.9%3-point %35.9% · 32.4%Ball care18.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 18.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jurbarkas wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
16/12/25Jurbarkas v Alytaus Alytus76-71
25/10/25Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas70-76
09/01/25Jurbarkas v Alytaus Alytus80-53
10/10/24Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas74-97
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ATelsiai71-74
05/02/26HOmega-Tauras84-95
31/01/26AMazeikiai83-84
29/01/26HKedainiu SC120-82
27/01/26AUkmerges Stekas88-71
24/01/26ANeptunas 282-84
22/01/26HVytis VDU92-86
17/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga75-80
15/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas 281-83
10/01/26HVilkaviskis54-72
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HVilkaviskis75-90
05/02/26AUkmerges Stekas83-62
31/01/26APlunges Olimpas95-102 OT
29/01/26ASilute94-98
24/01/26AMazeikiai60-94
22/01/26HKedainiu SC76-104
18/01/26HOmega-Tauras81-84 OT
15/01/26ATelsiai83-81
08/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga60-88
03/01/26HVytis VDU80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game79.380.178.6
Allowed / game77.976.079.8
Point differential+1.4+4.1-1.2
Avg total157.2156.1158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)60% (5)0% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayWLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %19%19%19%
Points / game78.679.178.1
Allowed / game85.983.388.4
Point differential-7.3-4.2-10.4
Avg total164.4162.4166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3228488%90.575.1+15.4
2 Vytis VDU3223972%88.183.8+4.2
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 232211166%86.684.6+2.0
4 Kedainiu SC32201262%87.785.8+1.9
5 Vilkaviskis32181456%82.477.9+4.5
6 Mazeikiai32181456%84.180.7+3.4
7 Rytas 232181456%83.680.6+3.0
8 Telsiai32181456%84.884.4+0.3
9 Neptunas 233181555%79.177.4+1.8
10 Jurbarkas32161650%79.377.9+1.4
11 Kretinga33151845%84.086.0-2.0
12 Silute33141942%86.690.5-3.8
13 BC Olimpas Palanga33132039%80.184.2-4.1
14 Omega-Tauras33132039%84.688.8-4.2
15 Ukmerges Stekas3282425%79.289.1-9.9
16 Plunges Olimpas3382524%80.586.5-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus3262619%78.685.9-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas38302518111
Alytaus Alytus1725143187
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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