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Jurbarkas vs Mazeikiai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record8-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#16
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game86.3
LithuaniaNKLRound 22· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai
12 Dec 2026
JURB v MAZ
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
JURB85
MAZ72
04 Oct 2025
JURB80
MAZ73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Jurbarkas
5.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.1
82.6▼ 2.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.5
79.0▼ 1.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
50%▼ 6%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.7
19.2▼ 1.5
🔥 Form · Mazeikiai
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.1
77.8▼ 3.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.6
89.0▲ 4.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
51%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.7
14.6▼ 1.1
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#12
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H01/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
102-78
102
78
+24
A03/10
NKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A10/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A15/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
19-18
29-18
22-22
21-20
22-16
29-19
30-23
20-16
21-29
24-18
10-16
21-16
24-23
28-26
15-13
27-13
12-13
24-21
28-15
20-19
24-11
18-18
22-24
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
162.5Avg total
86.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.173.5163.6+16.6100%
Season at home (3)88.372.7161.0+15.7100%
Season away (5)91.274.0165.2+17.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.576.0162.5+10.580%
Last 5 (5)82.679.0161.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.595.2171.7-18.717%
vs Similar (8)86.277.9164.1+8.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.979.6171.5+12.294%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A08/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H10/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
85-109
85
109
-24
H29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
10-24
20-15
20-24
21-30
18-20
16-16
15-20
18-18
16-13
23-16
18-25
16-24
17-21
14-19
25-19
13-27
13-12
21-24
15-28
16-21
21-25
25-28
23-18
24-27
24-25
16-23
13-15
21-22
16-17
10-24
25-17
19-14
17-17
17-18
17-25
13-28
22-26
26-35
24-20
160.2Avg total
74.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.286.3160.6-12.111%
Season at home (5)74.288.4162.6-14.220%
Season away (4)74.283.8158.0-9.50%
Last 10 (10)74.086.2160.2-12.210%
Last 5 (5)77.889.0166.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.191.2165.4-17.10%
vs Similar (19)82.585.4167.9-2.937%
vs Weaker (3)84.369.0153.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
JurbarkasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Patriotai
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H01/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#18
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/10
NKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
79.0Avg total
42.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.682.3+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.937.682.5+7.369%-
Last 30 away (17)42.839.382.1+3.565%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.547.586.0-9.017%-
vs Similar (8)45.835.581.2+10.288%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.736.881.4+7.975%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H10/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H29/10
NKL
79.0Avg total
35.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.583.6-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.043.385.3-1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.881.6-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.379.0-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.448.583.9-13.10%-
vs Similar (19)41.843.284.9-1.447%-
vs Weaker (3)41.732.774.3+9.067%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.7
51.0%
54.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.6
31.4%
30.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.615.9
70.4%
67.4%15.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.3
49.3%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
30.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.111.3
66.1%
67.4%11.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWLWWWWLWW
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#16
+12.4
Net rating
-13.9
92.9
Offensive rating
85.4
80.5
Defensive rating
99.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.4%
3-point %
33.1%
70.0%
Assist %
50.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 85.4Defence80.5 · 99.3Shooting49.3% · 49.4%3-point %31.4% · 33.1%Ball care14.4% · 17.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jurbarkas wins
1
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas62-91
23/03/26Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai85-72
20/03/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas87-92
31/01/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas84-83
04/10/25Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai80-73
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72
15/10/26ARytas 284-72
10/10/26AMazeikiai91-62
08/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-78
06/10/26AGargzdai75-79
03/10/26AKauno Atletas102-78
01/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai96-68
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga85-109
24/10/26AUkmerges Stekas70-74
22/10/26HPlunges Olimpas72-80
17/10/26HNeptunas 277-90
15/10/26AKedainiai BC85-92
10/10/26HJurbarkas62-91
08/10/26ATelsiai72-83
03/10/26HRytas 275-72
01/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga70-86
23/03/26AJurbarkas72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.188.391.2
Allowed / game73.572.774.0
Point differential+16.6+15.7+17.2
Avg total163.6161.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game74.274.274.2
Allowed / game86.388.483.8
Point differential-12.1-14.2-9.5
Avg total160.6162.6158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai990100%87.970.8+17.1
2 Jurbarkas880100%90.173.5+16.6
3 BC Olimpas Palanga97278%90.978.4+12.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga75271%93.480.4+13.0
5 Silute75271%84.078.1+5.9
6 Omega-Tauras96367%88.783.2+5.4
7 Neptunas 296367%77.074.2+2.8
8 Vytis VDU64267%95.092.8+2.2
9 Plunges Olimpas95456%80.378.7+1.7
10 Vilkaviskis84450%82.583.9-1.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 294544%95.295.4-0.2
12 Alytaus Patriotai94544%84.487.9-3.4
13 Kedainiai BC94544%78.282.2-4.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%81.990.8-8.9
15 Kretinga91811%80.289.9-9.7
16 Mazeikiai91811%74.286.3-12.1
17 Rytas 29090%73.385.8-12.4
18 Kauno Atletas8080%76.096.6-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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