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Jurbarkas vs Mazeikiai Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record3-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.9
LithuaniaNKLRound 22· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai
12 Dec 2026
JURB v MAZ
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
JURB85
MAZ72
04 Oct 2025
JURB80
MAZ73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 80
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 80
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 80
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 80
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
no box
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
21-22
12-14
19-21
20-22
28-21
15-18
23-13
25-25
38-15
18-24
16-22
25-25
27-25
32-23
21-26
22-27
21-16
23-11
22-29
27-26
20-17
12-20
12-17
23-28
168.1Avg total
85.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.678.3166.9+10.385%
Season at home (6)88.780.0168.7+8.783%
Season away (7)88.676.9165.4+11.786%
Last 10 (10)85.183.0168.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)90.085.6175.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.196.0176.1-15.929%
vs Similar (6)85.575.7161.2+9.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.579.9170.5+10.688%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 73
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
67avg 73
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 73
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 73
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 73
H29/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 73
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
77-101
77
101
-24
no box
H05/11
NKL
Silute
#7
L
79-98
79
98
-19
no box
A07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-25
25-28
23-18
24-27
24-25
16-23
13-15
21-22
16-17
10-24
25-17
19-14
17-17
17-18
17-25
13-28
22-26
26-35
24-20
26-24
20-15
32-24
19-25
21-26
21-26
20-17
15-32
17-22
18-27
22-24
22-25
9-20
24-22
29-23
23-20
19-29
25-19
16-16
21-21
173.9Avg total
82.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.988.9167.9-10.021%
Season at home (7)78.791.3170.0-12.629%
Season away (7)79.186.6165.7-7.414%
Last 10 (10)82.691.3173.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.192.5169.6-15.59%
vs Similar (16)83.285.8168.9-2.644%
vs Weaker (3)90.373.7164.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
JurbarkasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/11
NKL
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.581.9+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.782.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.084.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.447.689.0-6.129%-
vs Similar (6)44.036.280.2+7.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.335.880.1+8.571%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H29/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H05/11
NKL
Silute
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H12/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A14/11
NKL
84.5Avg total
39.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.184.3-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.743.985.6-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.844.483.1-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.284.5-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.086.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.448.584.8-12.10%-
vs Similar (16)41.942.784.6-0.850%-
vs Weaker (3)44.336.080.3+8.367%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.1%14.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.4
49.7%
54.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.711.9
63.6%
67.1%11.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LWWWWLWWLW
Mazeikiai
LWLLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#15
+8.7
Net rating
-11.3
90.6
Offensive rating
87.9
81.9
Defensive rating
99.2
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.0%
3-point %
34.3%
69.6%
Assist %
52.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 87.9Defence81.9 · 99.2Shooting48.5% · 50.4%3-point %30.0% · 34.3%Ball care14.8% · 16.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jurbarkas wins
1
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas62-91
23/03/26Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai85-72
20/03/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas87-92
31/01/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas84-83
04/10/25Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai80-73
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANeptunas 267-82
12/11/26HPlunges Olimpas93-82
07/11/26HTelsiai102-101
05/11/26AOmega-Tauras97-86
03/11/26HTaurage91-77
31/10/26HSilute72-79
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAlytaus Patriotai81-85
12/11/26HVilkaviskis103-96 OT
07/11/26ASilute79-98
05/11/26HVytis VDU77-101
31/10/26AKauno Atletas97-88
29/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga85-109
24/10/26AUkmerges Stekas70-74
22/10/26HPlunges Olimpas72-80
17/10/26HNeptunas 277-90
15/10/26AKedainiai BC85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL85%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game88.688.788.6
Allowed / game78.380.076.9
Point differential+10.3+8.7+11.7
Avg total166.9168.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL21%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game78.978.779.1
Allowed / game88.991.386.6
Point differential-10.0-12.6-7.4
Avg total167.9170.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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