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Ukmerges Stekas vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-87
19-29 13-21 18-19 29-18
Position#16
Record8-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game89.2
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record19-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game78.7
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas
03 Mar 2026
UKME79
JURB87
27 Jan 2026
UKME71
JURB88
18 Jan 2025
UKME84
JURB69
02 Dec 2023
UKME62
JURB54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
83avg 70
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 70
A24/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
71-88
71
88
-17
54avg 70
H27/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
48avg 70
A29/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
53avg 70
H05/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
62-80
62
80
-18
55avg 70
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 70
H10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
58avg 70
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
80-94
80
94
-14
60avg 70
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 70
A26/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
16-20
26-21
26-18
15-13
26-21
26-29
23-22
16-24
15-19
21-18
19-27
12-23
20-21
14-19
17-15
20-19
15-25
16-21
11-18
21-17
17-16
12-21
12-26
9-22
21-18
15-29
25-12
18-23
20-20
21-16
11-18
11-29
21-20
27-18
21-27
21-19
14-26
23-22
24-31
159.9Avg total
74.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.189.2168.2-10.123%
Season at home (17)76.987.1164.0-10.129%
Season away (18)81.191.2172.2-10.117%
Last 10 (10)74.485.5159.9-11.120%
Last 5 (5)72.886.0158.8-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.789.0168.7-9.325%
vs Similar (2)72.588.0160.5-15.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 75
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 75
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 75
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
120-82
120
82
+38
128avg 75
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 75
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
82avg 75
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 75
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
111-87
111
87
+24
120avg 75
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
78avg 75
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 75
H21/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
27-20
22-27
23-14
23-22
22-17
20-23
17-22
24-16
19-15
18-21
27-19
27-15
31-13
40-22
22-32
21-26
27-19
17-25
18-14
22-23
17-26
22-29
23-17
13-17
26-16
23-19
9-22
38-17
30-25
25-14
18-31
17-22
23-21
17-17
32-25
25-23
23-17
23-27
31-23
176.0Avg total
92.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.278.7159.9+2.554%
Season at home (18)83.177.4160.4+5.761%
Season away (17)79.280.1159.3-0.947%
Last 10 (10)92.283.8176.0+8.460%
Last 5 (5)91.486.2177.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.081.0141.0-21.00%
vs Similar (15)77.277.8155.0-0.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.079.3167.3+8.779%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
Ukmerges StekasJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H27/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/02
NKL
75.8Avg total
34.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.044.281.2-7.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.743.179.9-6.429%-
Last 30 away (16)37.345.182.4-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)34.141.775.8-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.642.076.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)36.744.080.8-7.321%-
vs Similar (2)41.546.588.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H29/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A31/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H05/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
68-42
68
42
+26
H14/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/02
NKL
87.0Avg total
47.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.778.6+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.635.477.9+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)41.338.179.4+3.171%-
Last 10 (10)47.539.587.0+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.488.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (15)39.136.175.1+3.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.837.483.1+8.471%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.0
48.2%
54.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
32.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.39.0
62.9%
69.3%9.0
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.8
58.6%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.8
39.3%
32.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.3%
69.3%11.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLLLLLLWW
Jurbarkas
WWWLLLWWLW
#16
League position
#5
-12.2
Net rating
+9.4
83.2
Offensive rating
102.8
95.4
Defensive rating
93.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
58.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.0%
3-point %
39.3%
51.0%
Assist %
70.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.2 · 102.8Defence95.4 · 93.4Shooting47.5% · 58.8%3-point %31.0% · 39.3%Ball care15.9% · 16.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
27/01/26Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas71-88
15/11/25Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas80-77
18/01/25Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas84-69
02/11/24Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas77-65
02/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas62-54
12/10/23Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas70-73
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26APlunges Olimpas82-98
21/02/26HSilute80-94
19/02/26ANeptunas 270-77
10/02/26HKedainiu SC70-81
07/02/26HRytas 262-80
05/02/26HAlytaus Alytus62-83
29/01/26AVilkaviskis63-78
27/01/26HJurbarkas71-88
24/01/26AOmega-Tauras90-85
22/01/26HTelsiai94-91 OT
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HPlunges Olimpas102-90
19/02/26ASilute89-85
14/02/26HAlytaus Alytus111-87
07/02/26ATelsiai71-74
05/02/26HOmega-Tauras84-95
31/01/26AMazeikiai83-84
29/01/26HKedainiu SC120-82
27/01/26AUkmerges Stekas88-71
24/01/26ANeptunas 282-84
22/01/26HVytis VDU92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game79.176.981.1
Allowed / game89.287.191.2
Point differential-10.1-10.1-10.1
Avg total168.2164.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %9%6%11%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWWLWW61%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %54%61%47%
Points / game81.283.179.2
Allowed / game78.777.480.1
Point differential+2.5+5.7-0.9
Avg total159.9160.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)60% (5)14% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3530586%90.575.5+15.1
2 Vytis VDU35251071%88.984.6+4.3
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 235241169%87.184.1+2.9
4 Kedainiu SC35211460%86.885.0+1.8
5 Neptunas 237221559%79.576.8+2.6
6 Vilkaviskis35191654%82.077.9+4.1
7 Jurbarkas35191654%81.278.7+2.5
8 Rytas 235191654%83.381.2+2.1
9 Mazeikiai35191654%83.381.5+1.8
10 Telsiai35191654%84.785.1-0.4
11 Kretinga37181949%83.184.9-1.8
12 Silute37162143%86.589.7-3.2
13 BC Olimpas Palanga36142239%79.382.9-3.6
14 Omega-Tauras36142239%83.988.2-4.3
15 Plunges Olimpas36102628%81.786.4-4.7
16 Ukmerges Stekas3582723%79.189.2-10.1
17 Alytaus Alytus3763116%78.887.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1913182979
Jurbarkas2921191887
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