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Juventus vs Nevezis-OPTIBET Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 92-73
22-25 24-25 23-11 23-12
Position#4
Record19-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game85.2
Juventus 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
Position#10
Record8-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game84.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Juventus v Nevezis-OPTIBET
17 Apr 2021
JUV92
NOP73
03 Oct 2020
JUV83
NOP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#10
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
99-81
99
81
+18
A28/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H03/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
H07/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A14/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H20/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A27/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H07/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H10/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A14/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
19-22
25-18
21-18
35-18
16-24
20-20
28-19
22-17
24-13
29-16
23-12
18-27
16-24
24-27
20-24
21-23
27-15
29-19
18-23
19-29
24-21
25-19
10-19
14-29
30-24
23-15
19-20
27-18
20-33
23-17
16-22
22-28
19-18
20-20
24-17
25-26
16-21
20-18
30-24
171.0Avg total
88.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.885.2173.0+2.666%
Season at home (15)87.585.1172.5+2.467%
Season away (14)88.185.4173.6+2.764%
Last 10 (10)88.282.8171.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)85.287.6172.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.690.9169.5-12.212%
vs Similar (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.080.1172.1+11.890%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
53-108
53
108
-55
H06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A10/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H28/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H06/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A14/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-26
16-32
11-23
19-27
16-14
24-24
15-22
18-21
18-35
24-16
20-20
19-28
16-19
24-14
15-18
21-16
21-20
12-26
17-16
21-22
20-29
25-24
19-20
12-14
23-22
17-21
22-24
21-17
18-20
17-33
19-22
16-22
22-16
26-20
22-18
18-23
20-22
12-16
21-25
18-21
161.0Avg total
74.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.684.9160.6-9.328%
Season at home (15)75.383.8159.1-8.547%
Season away (14)76.086.1162.1-10.17%
Last 10 (10)74.286.8161.0-12.620%
Last 5 (5)77.685.8163.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.386.9160.2-13.720%
vs Similar (14)78.182.8160.9-4.636%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
JuventusNevezis-OPTIBET
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H03/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H07/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H20/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A27/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H07/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H10/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/04
LKL
87.6Avg total
43.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.787.1+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.342.986.2+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)45.542.688.1+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.187.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.249.492.6-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.948.188.0-8.212%-
vs Similar (1)34.046.080.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.640.587.1+6.167%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-58
23
58
-35
H06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H28/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/04
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A05/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/04
LKL
82.7Avg total
37.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.742.380.0-4.634%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.679.7-3.547%-
Last 30 away (14)37.443.080.4-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.982.7-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.684.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.243.780.9-6.533%-
vs Similar (14)38.340.779.0-2.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.4
60.5%
54.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.717.7
78.0%
75.2%17.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.5
45.7%
54.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.713.6
69.0%
75.2%13.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WWLLLWLWWW
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LWLLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#10
+5.6
Net rating
-16.7
113.4
Offensive rating
98.6
107.8
Defensive rating
115.3
57.2%
Effective FG%
46.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
21.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.2%
3-point %
32.2%
59.6%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 98.6Defence107.8 · 115.3Shooting57.2% · 46.7%3-point %35.2% · 32.2%Ball care19.4% · 21.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 36.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Juventus   ■ Nevezis-OPTIBET
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Juventus wins
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Nevezis-OPTIBET v Juventus81-99
01/12/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Juventus70-87
03/10/20Juventus v Nevezis-OPTIBET83-76
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21ANeptunas91-89
10/04/21HPieno Zvaigzdes85-83
07/04/21HSiauliai86-90
27/03/21ARytas86-88
20/03/21HLietkabelis78-88
14/03/21APieno Zvaigzdes95-80
07/03/21HZalgiris Kaunas78-102
03/03/21HNeptunas98-58
28/02/21ANevezis-OPTIBET99-81
14/02/21ANeptunas86-69
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes71-84
11/04/21HNeptunas88-77
05/04/21ACBet70-97
03/04/21ANeptunas83-84
20/03/21AAlytaus Dzukija76-87
13/03/21HCBet71-84
06/03/21HLietkabelis76-67
28/02/21HJuventus81-99
10/02/21ARytas73-81
06/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas53-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW66%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%67%64%
Points / game87.887.588.1
Allowed / game85.285.185.4
Point differential+2.6+2.4+2.7
Avg total173.0172.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeLLWLW47%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %28%47%7%
Points / game75.675.376.0
Allowed / game84.983.886.1
Point differential-9.3-8.5-10.1
Avg total160.6159.1162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2623388%89.870.1+19.7
2 Rytas2822679%88.079.4+8.5
3 Lietkabelis29191066%84.279.3+4.9
4 Juventus29191066%87.885.2+2.6
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes29121741%79.481.9-2.5
6 CBet29111838%84.188.3-4.1
7 Siauliai28101836%83.890.1-6.2
8 Alytaus Dzukija2891932%81.184.7-3.6
9 Neptunas2992031%77.285.1-7.9
10 Nevezis-OPTIBET2982128%75.684.9-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus2224232392
Nevezis-OPTIBET2525111273
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