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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 81-99
18-35 24-16 20-20 19-28
Position#10
Record6-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game85.0
Nevezis-OPTIBET
Lithuania
vs
Juventus 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record14-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game85.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Juventus
28 Feb 2021
NOP81
JUV99
01 Dec 2020
NOP70
JUV87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 67
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
74avg 67
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 67
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-98
69
98
-29
64avg 67
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
54avg 67
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
76avg 67
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
47-78
47
78
-31
34avg 67
H02/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
53-108
53
108
-55
41avg 67
H06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 67
A10/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
12-33
31-16
19-21
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
14-29
17-21
23-23
15-25
10-27
14-17
25-30
10-20
24-15
11-14
18-19
26-28
18-24
18-12
12-32
16-21
18-22
14-23
8-12
7-21
7-26
16-32
11-23
19-27
16-14
24-24
15-22
18-21
158.7Avg total
69.8Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.185.0160.0-9.929%
Season at home (11)73.984.5158.5-10.645%
Season away (10)76.485.4161.8-9.010%
Last 10 (10)69.888.9158.7-19.110%
Last 5 (5)63.286.4149.6-23.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.287.6159.8-15.417%
vs Similar (9)79.081.4160.4-2.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Rytas
#14
W
105-78
105
78
+27
no box
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
CBet
#5
W
105-91
105
91
+14
99avg 85
A20/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
69avg 85
A23/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
H27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
90-87
90
87
+3
84avg 85
H31/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
87-92
87
92
-5
86avg 85
A03/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
92avg 85
A06/02
LKL
CBet
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
87avg 85
H10/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#10
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
28-13
23-28
28-14
32-28
27-21
22-21
24-21
18-17
20-14
21-20
20-18
29-20
22-17
20-18
18-20
22-28
24-24
19-24
25-11
24-23
17-27
23-18
23-24
24-26
20-22
25-12
23-16
27-18
27-18
12-29
28-26
11-16
23-30
20-20
19-18
21-11
19-22
25-18
21-18
171.2Avg total
90.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.585.7173.2+1.870%
Season at home (10)88.785.5174.2+3.280%
Season away (10)86.385.8172.1+0.560%
Last 10 (10)90.081.2171.2+8.880%
Last 5 (5)86.482.4168.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.992.3170.2-14.411%
vs Similar (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.780.2170.9+10.490%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
Nevezis-OPTIBETJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-58
23
58
-35
H06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/02
LKL
77.2Avg total
34.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.141.678.7-4.538%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.141.678.7-4.545%-
Last 30 away (10)37.141.578.6-4.430%-
Last 10 (10)34.043.277.2-9.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.274.4-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.943.279.2-7.333%-
vs Similar (9)38.739.378.0-0.744%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#14
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
CBet
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A20/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A23/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H31/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A03/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/02
LKL
CBet
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H10/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
87.9Avg total
46.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.440.884.1+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)44.542.286.7+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.887.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.846.786.4-6.911%-
vs Similar (1)34.046.080.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.238.985.1+7.475%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.215.9
46.5%
54.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.511.5
74.2%
75.2%11.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.222.7
61.0%
54.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
75.2%18.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLLLWLLLLL
Juventus
WLWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#4
-25.3
Net rating
+7.3
93.0
Offensive rating
115.0
118.3
Defensive rating
107.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
58.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
25.0%
Turnover %
21.7%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.0%
3-point %
36.5%
62.2%
Assist %
62.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 115.0Defence118.3 · 107.7Shooting47.8% · 58.6%3-point %33.0% · 36.5%Ball care25.0% · 21.7%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
2
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
01/12/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Juventus70-87
03/10/20Juventus v Nevezis-OPTIBET83-76
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/21ARytas73-81
06/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas53-108
02/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas47-78
31/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes64-89
27/01/21HNeptunas79-76
24/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas59-94
20/01/21ALietkabelis69-98
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
03/01/21ACBet85-87
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21ANeptunas86-69
13/02/21HLietkabelis73-84
10/02/21HCBet94-91
06/02/21AAlytaus Dzukija92-76
03/02/21ASiauliai87-92
31/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas90-87
27/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes89-75
23/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes79-69
20/01/21ACBet105-91
16/01/21ARytas105-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game75.173.976.4
Allowed / game85.084.585.4
Point differential-9.9-10.6-9.0
Avg total160.0158.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game87.588.786.3
Allowed / game85.785.585.8
Point differential+1.9+3.2+0.5
Avg total173.2174.2172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1715288%89.167.3+21.8
2 Rytas2015575%89.180.2+8.9
3 Lietkabelis2014670%84.777.2+7.5
4 Juventus2014670%87.585.7+1.9
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes2081240%79.482.0-2.6
6 Neptunas2081240%79.584.5-5.0
7 Alytaus Dzukija1761135%80.583.8-3.3
8 CBet2271532%85.891.7-6.0
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET2161529%75.185.0-9.9
10 Siauliai1951426%83.393.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET1824201981
Juventus3516202899
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